Assessing the Effect of the Integration among the Urbanization and Industries Development in Three Gorges Reservoir Area in China Based on P-VAR Models
Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 142, Issue 2
Abstract
Urbanization is an important engine in regional economic development and transformation. In this paper, panel-vector autoregressive (P-VAR) models are constructed based on panel data of the Three Gorges reservoir in China during the period 2007–2011. Using the impulse-response function and variance decomposition, this paper empirically analyzes the relevance between urbanization and industry development. The authors find that (1) agriculture development has a short and weak effect on urbanization, but the latter has no such effect on the former; (2) there is no significant integration between urbanization and manufacturing industry development; and (3) service development has a long, persistent, and gradually strengthening effect on urbanization and vice versa. This indicates a prominent integration between urbanization and service development. The findings suggest that policies that promote and support service and modern agriculture development will promote the New Urbanization development of the Three Gorges Reservoir area.
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Acknowledgments
The research is funded by the science and technology research program of Chongqing Board of Education (KJ121002) and the science and technology research program of Sichuan International Studies University (sisu201422).
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Published In
Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 142 • Issue 2 • June 2016
Copyright
© 2015 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Nov 8, 2014
Accepted: Jul 2, 2015
Published online: Sep 22, 2015
Discussion open until: Feb 22, 2016
Published in print: Jun 1, 2016
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