Development of P-TRANE: GIS-Based Model of Bus Transit Network Evolution
Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 140, Issue 1
Abstract
This paper describes the development and the main components of a simulation framework aimed to model the bus transit network evolution. The prediction model of transit network evolution (P-TRANE) is a geographic information system (GIS)-based model that develops future predictions of service changes in the bus transit spatial network and service functionality at future time steps. These changes happen as a result of the periodic service review process and are influenced by a group of variables, including the changes in the future transit ridership pattern and future land use distribution changes. The main objective for P-TRANE is to function as a transit supply prediction component for the transportation/land use modeling simulation frameworks, such as the integrated land use, transportation, and environment (ILUTE), by generating the future bus network (supply) information for ILUTE. However, P-TRANE could be an aid to transit agencies and urban planners by means of providing a decision support system prediction tool. Preliminary model results on the case study of the Toronto Transit Commission bus network show that it is successful in identifying transit routes prone to frequency changes (poor performance and/or overcrowding). Furthermore, results show that the P-TRANE GIS module is a promising tool capable of proposing new bus lines, including feeder lines serving rapid transit projects/stations.
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Acknowledgments
This project was financially supported by the NSERC Project Grant and the Joint Program in Transportation. The authors also thank the Toronto Transit Commission (TTC) for the data and cooperation.
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Published In
Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 140 • Issue 1 • March 2014
Copyright
© 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Apr 15, 2012
Accepted: Jun 17, 2013
Published online: Jun 19, 2013
Published in print: Mar 1, 2014
Discussion open until: May 11, 2014
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