Technical Papers
Jan 27, 2015

Discriminatory Power of Heterogeneity Statistics with Respect to Error of Precipitation Quantile Estimation

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 20, Issue 10

Abstract

At low sample size, sampling error may be reduced by pooling multiple gauge records. This creates an error component due to heterogeneity, the degree to which the pooled regional data’s quantile estimates are different from the true at-site quantiles. Heterogeneity statistics attempt to quantify the degree to which error is added due to regional heterogeneity. They are justified through elucidation of a so-called reasonable proxy relationship with error caused by heterogeneity and through the ability of heterogeneity thresholds to detect heterogeneous regions. In this paper, previous findings regarding three heterogeneity statistics H1H3 are revisited; a previous finding that H1 is superior to H2 and H3 is amended based on simulation experiments and upon enumeration of all possible regionalizations of a small gauge dataset across time scales from daily to monthly. Thresholds defined based on H1 are shown to be 4× too high for application to H2 and new thresholds are derived for H2. Two nonparametric heterogeneity statistics are tested and found to achieve only the unsatisfactory performance level of H3.

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Acknowledgments

Data was provided by the State Climatology Office, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, Division of Ecological and Water Resources. The writers thank Jason Giovannettone for assistance. Financial support provided by the George Mason University Presidential Scholarship is gratefully acknowledged.

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Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 20Issue 10October 2015

History

Received: Mar 23, 2014
Accepted: Dec 11, 2014
Published online: Jan 27, 2015
Discussion open until: Jun 27, 2015
Published in print: Oct 1, 2015

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Authors

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Michael J. Wright, Ph.D. [email protected]
Engineer in Training, Volgenau School of Engineering, George Mason Univ., 4400 University Dr., Fairfax, VA 22030 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Mark. H. Houck, Ph.D., F.ASCE [email protected]
P.E.
Professor, Volgenau School of Engineering, George Mason Univ., 4400 University Dr., Fairfax, VA 22030. E-mail: [email protected]
Celso M. Ferreira, Ph.D., M.ASCE [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Volgenau School of Engineering, George Mason Univ., 4400 University Dr., Fairfax, VA 22030. E-mail: [email protected]

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