TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jun 15, 2011

Empirical Assessment of the Likelihood and Duration of Highway Project Time Delays

Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 138, Issue 3

Abstract

Delays in the completion of highway construction and maintenance projects are important concerns to state highway agencies and contractors alike because such time delays can have a number of adverse consequences, such as extending the duration of active work zones, contributing to road-user dissatisfaction and increasing the risk of litigation regarding delay responsibility. In this paper, using data from 1,722 highway projects in Indiana, random-parameter statistical models are estimated to study the factors that contribute to the likelihood of encountering a project time delay and its duration. The model estimation results show that the likelihood and duration of project time delays are significantly influenced by factors such as project cost (contract bid amount), project type, planned project duration, and the likelihood of adverse weather.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The writers would like to acknowledge the contribution of Professor Kumares C. Sinha and Dr. Bob G. McCullouch of Purdue University and Claire Bordat, Mike Onran, and Mike Jenkins of the Indiana Department of Transportation for their immense assistance in data acquisition and other areas of the study. The contents of this paper reflect the views of the writers, who are responsible for the facts and the accuracy of the data presented herein. The contents do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of any agency, nor do the contents constitute a standard, specification, or regulation.

References

Al-Momani, A. H. (2000). “Construction delay: A quantitative analysis.” Int. J. Proj. Manage., 18(1), 51–59.
Anastasopoulos, P. Ch., Labi S., and McCullouch, B. G. (2009). “Analyzing the duration and prolongation of performance-based contracts through hazard-based duration and zero-inflated random parameters Poisson models.” Transp. Res. Rec., 2136, 11–19.
Anastasopoulos, P. Ch., and Mannering, F. L. (2009). “A note on modeling vehicle-accident frequencies with random-parameters count models.” Accid. Anal. Prev., 41(1), 153–159.
Anastasopoulos, P. Ch., and Mannering, F. L. (2011). “An empirical assessment of fixed and random parameter logit models using crash- and non-crash-specific injury data.” Accid. Anal. Prev., 43(3), 1140–1147.
Arditi, D., Akan, G. T., and Gurdamer, S. (1985). “Reasons for delays in public projects in Turkey.” J. Constr. Manage. Econ., 3(2), 171–181.
Bhat, C. (2003). “Simulation estimation of mixed discrete choice models using randomized and scrambled Halton sequences.” Transport. Res. Part B, 37(9), 837–855.
Chan, D., and Kumaraswamy, M. (1997). “A comparative study of causes of time overruns in Hong Kong construction projects.” Int. J. Proj. Manage., 15(1), 55–63.
Ellis, R., and Thomas, R. (2002). “The root causes of delays in highway construction.” NCHRP 20-24, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, DC.
Frimpong, Y., Oluwoyeb, J., and Crawford, L. (2003). “Causes of delay and cost overruns in construction of groundwater projects in a developing countries; Ghana as a case study.” Int. J. Proj. Manage., 21(5), 321–326.
Greene, W. (2007). Limdep, Version 9.0. Econometric Software, Inc., Plainview, NY.
Halton, J. (1960). “On the efficiency of certain quasi-random sequences of points in evaluating multi-dimensional integrals.” Numer. Math., 2(1), 84–90.
Jahren, C., and Ashe, A. (1990). “Predictors of cost-overrun rates.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 116(3), 548–551.
Kaming, P., Olomolaiye, P., Holt, G., and Harris, F. (1997). “Factors influencing construction time and cost overruns on high-rise projects in Indonesia.” Construction Management and Economics, 15(1), 83–94.
Kraiem, Z. M. (1987). “Concurrent delays in construction projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 113(4), 591–601.
Lo, T., Fung, I., and Tung, K. (2006). “Construction delays in Hong Kong civil engineering projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 132(6), 636–649.
Majid, M., and McCaffer, R. (1998). “Factors of non-excusable delays that influence contractor’s performance.” J. Manage. Eng., 14(3), 42–49.
Milton, J. C., Shankar, V. N., and Mannering, F. L. (2008). “Highway accident severities and the mixed logit model: An exploratory empirical analysis.” Accid. Anal. Prev., 40(1), 260–266.
Train, K. (2003). Discrete choice methods with simulation, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Washington, S. P., Karlaftis, M. G., and Mannering, F. L. (2011). Statistical and econometric methods for transportation data analysis, 2nd Ed., Chapman & Hall/CRC Boca Raton, FL.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 138Issue 3March 2012
Pages: 390 - 398

History

Received: Jun 12, 2010
Accepted: Jun 13, 2011
Published online: Jun 15, 2011
Published in print: Mar 1, 2012

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Panagiotis Ch. Anastasopoulos, A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Visiting Assistant Professor, School of Civil Engineering, Research Program Manager, Center for Road Safety, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN 47907 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Samuel Labi, A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor of Civil Engineering, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN 47907. E-mail: [email protected]
Abhishek Bhargava [email protected]
Project Associate, Agile Assets Inc., 6212 Shanda Dr., Raleigh, NC 27609. E-mail: [email protected]
Fred L. Mannering, M.ASCE [email protected]
Charles Pankow Professor of Civil Engineering, Associate Director, Center for Road Safety, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN 47907. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share