Bayesian Belief Network Model for Decision Making in Highway Maintenance: Case Studies
Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 135, Issue 12
Abstract
This paper presents two case studies that were conducted to illustrate the functionality and application of a decision support system for predicting the influence of decisions made by state highway agencies regarding important work zone project variables such as work window, work zone length, lane closure strategy, and contract incentives on the cost, duration, quality, safety, and public satisfaction of a particular project under consideration. The first case study describes in detail the operation and function of the three major levels of the proposed framework using a completed project, whereas the second case study provides an opportunity for the application of the decision support system to a work zone project in the planning stages using the input of the actual decision maker for the project.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
The writers acknowledge the help and support provided by the Indiana Department of Transportation (INDOT) in the data collection and case studies conducted during this research. However, the opinions and findings expressed here are those of the writers alone and not necessarily the views or positions of INDOT.
References
Ahmad, I. (1990). “Decision-support system for modeling bid/no-bid decision problem.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 116(4), 595–608.
Bayraktar, M. E. (2006). “A decision model to determine the optimal time-cost trade-off in highway work zones.” Ph.D. thesis, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, Ind.
Bayraktar, M. E., and Hastak M. (2009). “A decision support system for selecting the optimal contracting strategy in highway work zone projects.” Autom. Constr., 18(6), 834–843.
Bhargava, H. K., King, A. S., and McQuay, D. S. (1995). “DecisionNet: An architecture for modeling and decision support over the World Wide Web.” Proc., 3rd Int. Conf. on Decision Support Sys., International Society for Decision Support Systems, Austin, Tex., 499–506.
Binder, K., and Heermann, D. W. (2002). Monte Carlo simulation in statistical physics: An introduction, Springer, New York.
Carr, R. I. (2000). “Construction congestion cost (CO3) traffic impact and construction cost.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 126(2), 114–121.
Chung, T. H., Abraham, D. M., and Gokhale, S. B. (2004). “Decision support system for microtunneling applications.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 130(6), 835–843.
Einstein, H. H., et al. (1987). “Computer based decision support systems for underground construction.” Proc., Rapid Excavation and Tunneling Conf., Vol. 2, Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration (SME), Littleton, Colo., 1287–1309.
Fishman, G. S. (1978). Principles of discrete simulation, Wiley, New York.
Gokhale, S., and Hastak, M. (2000). “Decision aids for the selection of installation technology for underground municipal infrastructure systems.” Trenchless Technology Research, 15(1), 1–11.
Hanna, A. S., Russell, J. S., Taha, M. A., and Park, S. C. (1997). “Artificial neural networks for civil engineers: Fundamentals and applications.” Application of neural networks to owner-contractor prequalification, The Society, New York, 124–136.
Hastak, M. (1994a). “Decision support system for project cost control strategy and planning.” Ph.D. thesis, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, Ind.
Hastak, M. (1994b). “A decision support system for evaluating the suitability of a robotics system for a construction project.” Proc., ASCE Sponsored Specialty Conf.: First Congress on Computing in Civil Engineering, ASCE, Reston, Va., 507–514.
Hastak, M., and Abu-Mallouh, M. (2001). “A decision support system for subway station rehabilitation and planning.” Proc., 2nd Int. Conf. on Decision Making in Urban and Civil Engineering, Lavoisier, France, 273–284.
Hastak, M., Cui, Q., Safi, B., and Gokhale, S. (2005). “A decision support system for infrastructure rehabilitation planning.” Proc., ASCE Int. Conf. on Computing in Civil Engineering, ASCE, Reston, Va., ⟨www.iccc2005.org⟩ (Oct. 15, 2006).
Hastak, M., Halpin, D. W., and Vanegas, J. A. (1994). “A decision support system for the expansion of international operations of A/E/C Firms.” Proc., ASCE Sponsored Specialty Conf.: First Congress on Computing in Civil Engineering, ASCE, Reston, Va., 735–742.
Hastak, M., and Vanegas, J. A. (1993). “Decision support systems in construction management.” Proc., 5th Int. Conf. on Computing in Civil and Building Engineering, ASCE, Reston, Va., 1555–1562.
Hong, T. (2005). “A life cycle performance model for FRP bridge deck panels.” Ph.D. dissertation, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, Ind.
Indiana DOT (INDOT). (2004). “Interstate highways lane-closure policy.” Rep. Prepared for Contracts and Construction Div., Desing Memo. No. 03–08, INDOT, Indianapolis.
Loughlin, D. H., Neal, K., Ranjithan, S., Downey Brill, E., and Baugh, J. W. (1995). “Decision support system for air quality management.” Proc., ASCE Conf.: 2nd Congress on Computing in Civil Engineering, ASCE, Reston, Va., 1367–1374.
Mariano, R., Schuermann, T., and Weeks, M. J. (2000). Simulation-based inference in econometrics: Methods and applications, Cambridge University Press, New York.
Maxwell, D., Back, W., and Toon, J. (1998). “Optimization of crew configurations using activity-based costing.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 124(2), 162–168.
McIntyre, C., and Parfitt, M. K. (1998). “Decision support system for residential development site selection process.” J. Archit. Eng., 4(4), 125–131.
Molenaar, K. R., and Songer, A. D. (2001). “Web-based decision support systems: Case study in project delivery.” J. Comput. Civ. Eng., 15(4), 259–267.
Shen, L. Y., and Wu, Y. Z. (2005). “Risk concession model for build/operate/transfer contract projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 131(2), 211–220.
Sukumaran, P. (2003). “System analyzing the factors affecting construction schedule in highway work zones.” MS thesis, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN.
Sukumaran, P., Bayraktar, M. E., Hong, T., and Hastak, M. (2006). “Model for analysis of factors affecting construction schedule in highway work zones.” J. Transp. Eng., 132(6), 508–517.
Touran, A. (1993). “Probabilistic cost estimating with subjective correlations.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 119(1), 58–71.
Vanegas, J., and Hastak, M. (1995). “A multimedia decision support system for evaluating the use of modularization in industrial construction.” Proc., ASCE Sponsored Specialty Conf.: 2nd Congress on Computing in Civil Engineering, ASCE, Reston, Va., 1076–1083.
Yates, J. K. (1993). “Construction decision support system for delay analysis.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 119(2), 226–244.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2009 ASCE.
History
Received: Oct 27, 2008
Accepted: Jun 29, 2009
Published online: Jul 3, 2009
Published in print: Dec 2009
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.