Technical Papers
May 25, 2022

Multicriteria Decision-Making Model for the Selection of an Affordable Prefabricated Housing System Using Delphi-AHP Method

Publication: Journal of Architectural Engineering
Volume 28, Issue 3

Abstract

In cases where the use of a prefabricated housing system is necessary, the lack of a proper decision-making model for selecting an affordable prefabricated housing system can lead to the selection of an unsuitable system, deviation from project goals, loss of employer capital, and depriving residents comfort. Accordingly, this study aims to propose a decision-making model for the selection of an affordable prefabricated housing system for Iran. The research method of the present article is descriptive-analytic, in which Delphi and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) are used for data analysis, and the research subjects who filled up questionnaires included 150 experts. Using the Delphi method, 25 important criteria and 5 decision dimensions were identified. Then, using the AHP method, it was found that the decision-making dimension of sustainability (with 7 specific criteria) was the most important and the ecoMOD was the most affordable prefabricated system. According to the results, decision makers in the construction industry in Iran are suggested to consider seven criteria of the sustainability dimension for selecting a system before any other criteria.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The authors sincerely thank all experts involved in the Delphi and AHP panel for their responses and insightful comments. The authors also thank the editor and reviewers of the Journal of Architectural Engineering because of their valuable comments.

Notation

The following symbols are used in this paper:
!
factorial of an integer is the product of all integers below it down to one. For example, 4! = 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 24; and
(n2)
number of binary combinations out of n options. For example, options: {a, b, c} → binary combinations: {ab, bc, ac} (32) = 3.

References

Abdul Kadir, M. R., W. P. Lee, M. S. Jaafar, S. M. Sapuan, and A. A. A. Ali. 2006. “Construction performance comparison between conventional and industrialised building systems in Malaysia.” Struct. Surv. 24 (5): 412–424. https://doi.org/10.1108/02630800610712004.
Anand, K. B., and K. Ramamurthy. 2003. “Laboratory-based productivity study on alternative masonry systems.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 129 (3): 237–242. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2003)129:3(237).
Architects, I. S. 2011. “The Modules/Interface Studio Architects.” Accessed June 19, 2020. https://www.archdaily.com/108948/the-modules-interface-studio-architects/%3E%20ISSN%200719-8884.
Arditi, D., and K. Mochtar. 2000. “Trends in productivity improvement in the US construction industry.” Construct. Manage. Econ. 18 (1): 15–27. https://doi.org/10.1080/014461900370915.
Armacost, R. L., P. J. Componation, M. A. Mullens, and W. W. Swart. 1994. “An AHP framework for prioritizing customer requirements in QFD: An industrialized housing application.” IIE Trans. 26 (4): 72–79. https://doi.org/10.1080/07408179408966620.
Ashford, J. L. 2002. The management of quality in construction. London: Routledge.
Barlow, J., and R. Ozaki. 2005. “Building mass customised housing through innovation in the production system: Lessons from Japan.” Environ. Plann. A Econ. Space 37 (1): 9–20. https://doi.org/10.1068/a3579.
Barrett, P., and G. Aouad. 1998. Hybrid concrete structures for the UK market. Final Report to Reinforced Concrete Council. Salford, UK: University of Salford.
BHRC. 2022. “Systems approved by the road, housing & urban development research center.” Accessed February 16, 2022. https://www.bhrc.ac.ir.
Blismas, N., and R. Wakefield. 2009. “Drivers, constraints and the future of offsite manufacture in Australia.” Constr. Innovation 9 (1): 72–83. https://doi.org/10.1108/14714170910931552.
Burati, J. L. Jr, J. J. Farrington, and W. B. Ledbetter. 1992. “Causes of quality deviations in design and construction.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 118 (1): 34–49. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1992)118:1(34).
Cho, H. 2013. Management of technology in the perspective of management innovation. Seoul, South Korea: Hakhyunsa.
Daget Yidnekachew, T., and H. Zhang. 2019. “Decision-making model for the evaluation of industrialized housing systems in Ethiopia.” Eng. Constr. Archit. Manage. 27 (1): 296–320. https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-05-2018-0212.
Egan, J. 1998. Rethinking construction. London: Dept. of Environment, Transport and the Region.
Eghbali, H., and M. Ahmadvand. 2021. Presentation of a model for evaluation of industrial methods of residential-administrative with focus on light buildings (LSF). Rochester, NY: SSRN. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3786610.
Fondahl, J. W. 1991. “The development of the construction engineer: Past progress and future problems.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 117 (3): 380–392. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1991)117:3(380).
Ghodsi-pour, S. 2007. Analytical hierarchy process (AHP). Tehran, Iran: Amirkabir University of Tech. Pub.
Gibb, A., and F. Isack. 2003. “Re-engineering through pre-assembly: Client expectations and drivers.” Build. Res. Inf. 31 (2): 146–160. https://doi.org/10.1080/09613210302000.
Gibb, A. G. F., and F. Isack. 2001. “Client drivers for construction projects: Implications for standardization.” Eng. Constr. Archit. Manage. 8 (1): 46–58. https://doi.org/10.1108/eb021169.
Gibb, A. G. F., and R. H. Neale. 1997. “Management of prefabrication for complex cladding: Case study.” J. Archit. Eng. 3 (2): 60–69. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1076-0431(1997)3:2(60).
Goodier, C., and A. Gibb. 2007. “Future opportunities for offsite in the UK.” Construct. Manage. Econ. 25 (6): 585–595. https://doi.org/10.1080/01446190601071821.
Han, R. 2003. “Comparison analysis of residential building.” J. Shan Xi Archit. 29 (3): 224.
Helmer, O., and N. Rescher. 1959. “On the epistemology of the inexact sciences.” Manage. Sci. 6 (1): 25–52. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.6.1.25.
Holloway, J. 2012. “SAVMS: Prefab modular housing in under 3 weeks?” Accessed November 21, 2012. https://newatlas.com/cso-arquitectura-savms/25118/.
Hsu, C.-C., and B. A. Sandford. 2007. “The Delphi technique: Making sense of consensus.” Pract. Assess. Res. Eval. 12 (1): 10.
Huffman, C., and B. E. Kahn. 1998. “Variety for sale: Mass customization or mass confusion?” J. Retailing 74 (4): 491–513. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-4359(99)80105-5.
Idrus, A. B., and J. B. Newman. 2002. “Construction related factors influencing the choice of concrete floor systems.” Construct. Manage. Econ. 20 (1): 13–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01446190110101218.
Iverson, J. K., and N. M. Hawkins. 1994. “Performance of precast/prestressed building structures during Northridge earthquake.” PCI J. 39 (2): 38–55. https://doi.org/10.15554/pcij.03011994.38.55.
Jiang, W., Z. Huang, Y. Peng, Y. Fang, and Y. Cao. 2020. “Factors affecting prefabricated construction promotion in China: A structural equation modeling approach.” PLoS One 15 (1): e0227787.
Kamali, M., and K. Hewage. 2017. “Development of performance criteria for sustainability evaluation of modular versus conventional construction methods.” J. Cleaner Prod. 142: 3592–3606. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.10.108.
Kim, K. D., and K. Choi. 2012. “A study on the policy of sustainable domestic timber supply using Delphi technique and AHP.” J. Korean Soc. For. Sci. 101 (3): 434–442.
Liina Transitional Shelter/Aalto University Wood Program. 2011. Accessed June 10, 2021. https://www.archdaily.com/174909/liina-transitional-shelter-aalto-university-wood-program.
LLC. 2021. Accessed August 9, 2015. http://allamericanmodularllc.com/.
Monjo-Carrió, J., I. Oteiza, and J. de Llano. 2007. “Integrated design and production: Decision-making tools for optimal industrialization of housing construction.” In Proc., Int. Council for Research and Innovation in Building and Construction World Building Congress, 3317–3326. Ontario, ON: CIB.
MYCC. 2010. “Prefabricated nature/MYCC.” Accessed June 19, 2020. https://www.archdaily.com/70220/prefabricated-nature-mycc/ ISSN 0719-8884.
Nanyama, V. N., R. Basua, A. Sawhneya, and J. Prasadb. 2015. Multi-attributes evaluation methodology for emerging housing technologies. Kraków, Poland: Creative Construction Conference.
Nelson, S. K. 2014. A social construction of affordable housing and Nimby in a Southern California county. San Bernardino: California State University.
O’Neill, D., and S. Organ. 2016. “A literature review of the evolution of British prefabricated low-rise housing.” Struct. Surv. 34 (2): 191–214. https://doi.org/10.1108/SS-08-2015-0037.
Pan, W., A. R. J. Dainty, and A. G. F. Gibb. 2012. “Establishing and weighting decision criteria for building system selection in housing construction.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 138 (11): 1239–1250. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000543.
Pan, W., A. G. F. Gibb, and A. R. J. Dainty. 2008. “Leading UK housebuilders” utilization of offsite construction methods.” Build. Res. Inf. 36 (1): 56–67. https://doi.org/10.1080/09613210701204013.
Pan, Y.-h. 2007. Application of industrialized housing system in major cities in China: A case study of Chongqing. Hong Kong: Hong Kong Polytechnic Univ.
Saaty, T. L. 2008. “Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process.” Int. J. Serv. Sci. 1 (1): 83–98. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJSSCI.2008.017590.
Saaty, T. L., and L. G. Vargas. 2012. Models, methods, concepts & applications of the analytic hierarchy process. Vol. 175. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Springer.
Salama, T., A. Salah, O. Moselhi, and M. Al-Hussein. 2017. “Near optimum selection of module configuration for efficient modular construction.” Autom. Constr. 83: 316–329. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2017.03.008.
Samimi, D., and M. Safiuddin. 2019. “Analysis of Prefabricated Construction: Productivity, Benefits, Risks & Applications in Canadian Perspectives.” In 7th Int. Constr. Conf. Point Claire, QC: CSCE.
Schmidt, R. C. 1997. “Managing Delphi surveys using nonparametric statistical techniques.” Decis. Sci. 28 (3): 763–774. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5915.1997.tb01330.x.
Schmid, T., and C. Testa. 1969. Systems Building: Bauen Mit Systemen. Constructions Modulaires [by] Thomas Schmid [and] Carlo Testa. [English Translation by Henry A. Frey. Version Française Par André Chappex.]: Editions d'Architecture.
Shahpari, M., F. M. Saradj, M. S. Pishvaee, and S. Piri. 2020. “Assessing the productivity of prefabricated and in-situ construction systems using hybrid multi-criteria decision making method.” J. Build. Eng. 27: 100979. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2019.100979.
Smith, R. E. 2010. Prefab architecture: A guide to modular design and construction. Chichester, UK: Wiley.
Tam, C. M., Z. M. Deng, and S. X. Zeng. 2002. “Evaluation of construction methods and performance for high rise public housing construction in Hong Kong.” Build. Environ. 37 (10): 983–991. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0360-1323(01)00081-6.
Tavares, V., N. Soares, N. Raposo, P. Marques, and F. Freire. 2021. “Prefabricated versus conventional construction: Comparing life-cycle impacts of alternative structural materials.” J. Build. Eng. 41: 102705. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobe.2021.102705.
Thai, H.-T., T. Ngo, and B. Uy. 2020. “A review on modular construction for high-rise buildings.” In Vol. 28 of Structures, 1265–1290. London: Elsevier.
Thomas, L. S. 1970. “Analytic Hierarchy Process AHP. Memberikan kerangka yang komprehensif dan rasional dalam menstrukturkan …”.
Tummala, V. R., and Y. Wan. 1994. “Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) in practice: A survey of applications and recent developments.” J. Math. Modell. Sci. Comput. 3 (1): 1–38.
Venables, T. 2004. Modern methods of construction in Germany—Playing the off-site rule. Rep. of a DTI Global Watch Mission. London: Dept. of Trade and Industry.
Young, B. E., R. D. Seidu, M. Thayaparan, and J. Appiah-Kubi. 2020. “Modular construction innovation in the UK: The case of residential buildings.” In Proc., 10th Annual Industrial Engineering and Operations Management Conf. Dubai: IEOM Society.
Zavrtanik, N., J. Prosen, M. Tušar, and G. Turk. 2016. “The use of artificial neural networks for modeling air void content in aggregate mixture.” Autom. Constr. 63: 155–161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2015.12.009.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Architectural Engineering
Journal of Architectural Engineering
Volume 28Issue 3September 2022

History

Received: Nov 23, 2021
Accepted: Mar 31, 2022
Published online: May 25, 2022
Published in print: Sep 1, 2022
Discussion open until: Oct 25, 2022

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Postgraduate Researcher, Golestan Univ., Gorgan 47416-74443, Iran. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5120-2962. Email: [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Architecture, Golestan Univ., Gorgan 49138-15759, Iran (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2779-2995. Email: [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Architecture, Golestan Univ., Gorgan 49138-15759, Iran. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5442-8606. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

  • Analytic Network Process-Based Sustainability Life Cycle Assessment of Concrete Bridges in Coastal Regions, Sustainability, 10.3390/su141710688, 14, 17, (10688), (2022).

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share