Inoperability Input-Output Model for Interdependent Infrastructure Sectors. I: Theory and Methodology
Publication: Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 11, Issue 2
Abstract
The paper discusses the theory and methodology supporting the development of the inoperability input-output model (IIM). The IIM is based on Leontief’s input-output model, which characterizes interdependencies among sectors in the economy and analyzes initial disruptions to a set of sectors and the resulting ripple effects. An advantage of building on Leontief’s model is that it is supported by publications of the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Independent computer runs of the IIM can represent the entire nation or sectors within particular U.S. regions. A dynamic extension of the IIM analyzes different temporal frames of recovery and characterizes the required sector adjustments for achieving new production levels. The IIM can systemically prioritize and manage the sectors deemed to be economically critical and also identify those sectors whose continued operability is critical during recovery. A companion paper demonstrates applying the IIM to attacks on electric power and telecommunications.
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Acknowledgments
We acknowledge the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse Attack (the EMP Commission) through the Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) for providing partial support for this study. We appreciate the support and input received from Jim Scouras of the staff of the EMP Commission. We are grateful for the valuable inputs contributed by Mike Frankel, Ira Kohlberg, Rob Mahoney, Walter Scott, and Paul Spraggs during our regular progress meetings, which helped us define the scope and direction for the study. We appreciate the contributions of Dr. Stan Kaplan, Dr. Irwin Pikus, and Dr. Lester Fink at the University of Virginia. We also highly appreciate the editorial assistance of Grace Zisk and the tireless care and support that we received from Della Dirickson, Manager of the University of Virginia Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems. The National Science Foundation, under a grant to the University of Virginia Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems provided partial support for this study (NSF 0301553: Input-Output Risk Model of Critical Infrastructure Systems, May 2003–January 2006).
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Information
Published In
Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 11 • Issue 2 • June 2005
Pages: 67 - 79
Copyright
© 2005 ASCE.
History
Received: May 11, 2004
Accepted: Nov 19, 2004
Published online: Jun 1, 2005
Published in print: Jun 2005
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