Retrofit Priority of Transport Network Links under an Earthquake
Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 129, Issue 4
Abstract
This paper analyzes the economic impact of an earthquake on transportation network that contains more detail for the Midwest states. Two aspects of cost are considered in the paper: final demand loss and transport cost increase. The 1812 New Madrid earthquake is used to develop a scenario for the analysis. The modeling system includes a transportation network loss function, a final demand loss function, and an integrated commodity flow model. After running the earthquake scenario, the analysis identifies the most significant link on the network in an economic sense as well as the link with the greatest physical disruption. The results reveal that the links with greater physical disruption are not always the ones exhibiting the greater economic damage. The resulting outputs can provide information to perform a cost-benefit analysis as well as to support a decision-making process on the optimal retrofit priority of bridges and links on the transportation network.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
Brookshire, D. S., Chang, S. E., Cochrane, H., Olson, R. A., Rose, A., and Steenson, J.(1997). “Direct and indirect economic losses from earthquake damage.” Earthquake Spectra, 13(4), 683–701.
Chang, S. E. (1998). “Direct economic impacts.” Engineering and socioeconomic impacts of earthquakes: An analysis of electricity lifeline disruptions in the New Madrid area, M. Shinozuka, A. Rose, and R. T. Eguch, eds., Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Buffalo, N.Y., 75–94.
Cho, S., Gordon, P., Richardson, H. W., Moore, J. E., and Shinozuka, M.(2000). “Analyzing transportation reconstruction network strategies: A full cost approach.” Rev. Urban Reg. Develop. Studies, 12(3), 212–227.
Cochrane, H. (1974). “Predicting the economic impact of earthquakes.” Social science perspectives on the coming San Francisco earthquake, H. C. Cochrane, J. E. Haas, M. J. Bowden, and R. W. Kates, eds., Natural Hazards Research Paper No. 25, Natural Hazards Research and Applications Information Center, Boulder, Colo.
Cochrane, H. C. (1997). “Forecasting the economic impact of a Midwest earthquake.” Economic consequences of earthquakes: Preparing for the unexpected, B. G. Jones, ed., Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Buffalo, N.Y., 223–247.
Davis, H. C., and Salkin, E. L.(1984). “Alternative approaches to the estimation of economic impacts resulting from supply constraints.” Ann. Reg. Sci., 18, 25–34.
Eguchi, R. T. (1997). “Mitigating risks to lifeline systems through natural hazard reduction and design.” Economic consequences of earthquakes: Preparing for the unexpected, B. G. Jones, ed., Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Buffalo, N.Y., 111–123.
Hwang, H., Chiu, Y. H., and Liu, J. B. (2001). “Seismic fragility analysis of reinforced concrete bridges.” Paper presented in the 8th Int. Conf. on Structural Safety and Reliability, International Association for Structural Safety and Reliability, Newport Beach, Calif.
Hwang, H., Jernigan, J. B., and Lin, Y. (1998). Evaluation of seismic damage to bridges and highway systems in Shelby County, Tennessee, Center for Earthquake Research and Information, Memphis, Tenn.
Hwang, H., Jernigan, J. B., and Lin, Y.(2000). “Evaluation of seismic damage to Memphis bridges and highway systems.” J. Bridge Eng., 5(4), 322–330.
Kim, T. J., Ham, H., and Boyce, D. E.(2002). “Economic impacts of transportation network changes: Implementation of a combined transportation network and input-output model.” Papers Reg. Sci., 81, 223–246.
Moses, L. N.(1955). “The stability of interregional trading patterns and input-output analysis.” Am. Econ. Rev., 45(5), 803–832.
Okuyama, Y. (1997). “A review of interregional/multiregional input-output modeling.” Discussion Paper (97-T-2), Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, Urbana, Ill.
Quigley, J. M.(1998). “Earthquake! The use of economics, engineering, and statistical information to invest in seismic safety.” J. Appl. Reg. Sci., 3, 9–20.
Rose, A. Z. (1981). “Utility lifelines and economic activity in the context of earthquakes.” Social and Economic Impact of Earthquakes on Utility Lifelines, J. Isenberg, ed., American Society of Civil Engineers, New York, 107–120.
Rose, A., and Benavides, J. (1998). “Regional economic impacts.” Engineering and socioeconomic impacts of earthquakes: An analysis of electricity lifeline disruptions in the New Madrid area, M. Shinozuka, A. Rose, and R. T. Eguch, eds., Multidisciplinary Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, Buffalo, N.Y., 95–123.
Rose, A., Benavides, J., Chang, S. E., Szczesniak, P., and Lim, D.(1997). “The regional economic impact of an earthquake: Direct and indirect effects of electricity lifeline disruptions.” J. Regional Sci., 37(3), 437–458.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 129 • Issue 4 • December 2003
Pages: 195 - 210
Copyright
Copyright © 2003 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Mar 2, 2002
Accepted: Jan 2, 2003
Published online: Nov 14, 2003
Published in print: Dec 2003
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.