Case Studies
Jun 19, 2024

Flood Resilience Quantification Framework of Rural Communities: Case Study of Harlan County, Kentucky

Publication: Natural Hazards Review
Volume 25, Issue 4

Abstract

Communities need to prepare for anticipated hazards, adapt to varying conditions, and resist and recover rapidly from disturbances. Protecting the built environment from natural and human-made hazards and understanding the impact of these hazards helps allocate resources efficiently. Recently, an indicator-based and time-dependent approach was developed for continuously defining and measuring the functionality and disaster resilience at the community level. The PEOPLES framework consists of seven dimensions (population and demographics, environmental and ecosystem, organized governmental services, physical infrastructure, lifestyle and community competence, economic development, and social-cultural capital), and the indicator-based approach finds qualitative characteristics and transforms them into quantitative measures. The proposed framework is used to study the resilience of rural communities subject to flood hazards. Harlan County, Kentucky, in the US Appalachian region is chosen as a case study to evaluate the proposed resilience quantification framework subject to severe flooding. The results show the validity of the proposed approach as a decision-support mechanism to assess and enhance the resilience of rural communities. The novelty of this case study paper is threefold: (1) a holistic indicator-based resilience quantification framework is used, (2) the aim of this study is focused on rural communities, and (3) it offers a unified way of addressing the effects of flood hazards.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

All data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Acknowledgments

The first author was funded by the Lyman T. Johnson Fellowship given by the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Kentucky. The authors extend their sincere appreciation.

References

Aitsi-Selmi, A., V. Murray, C. Wannous, C. Dickinson, D. Johnston, A. Kawasaki, A.-S. Stevance, and T. Yeung. 2016. “Reflections on a science and technology agenda for 21st century disaster risk reduction.” Int. J. Disaster Risk Sci. 7 (1): 1–29. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-016-0081-x.
Alam, M. S., B. G. Simpson, and A. R. Barbosa. 2023. “Fragility and recovery models for energy, water, and wastewater systems for seismic regional risk and resilience assessment: State-of-the-art review and database.” Nat. Hazards Rev. 24 (4): 04023036. https://doi.org/10.1061/NHREFO.NHENG-1661.
Aldrich, D. P., and M. A. Meyer. 2015. “Social capital and community resilience.” Am. Behav. Sci. 59 (2): 254–269. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764214550299.
ARC (Appalachian Regional Commission). 2020. “The Appalachian region.” Accessed June 15, 2020. https://www.arc.gov/.
Asher, J. 2018. “Flood hits Harlan.” Accessed June 15, 2020. https://www.harlanenterprise.net/2018/02/12/flood-hits-harlan/.
Ayyub, B. M. 2014. “Systems resilience for multihazard environments: Definition, metrics, and valuation for decision making.” Risk Anal. 34 (2): 340–355. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12093.
Baho, D. L., C. R. Allen, A. S. Garmestani, H. B. Fried-Petersen, S. E. Renes, L. H. Gunderson, and D. G. Angeler. 2017. “A quantitative framework for assessing ecological resilience.” Ecol. Soc. J. Intgr. Sci. Resilience Sustainability 22 (3): 1. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-09427-220317.
Barton, S. 2020. “Coal camp documentary project.” Accessed June 15, 2020. https://appalachianprojects.as.uky.edu.
Bruneau, M., S. E. Chang, R. T. Eguchi, G. C. Lee, T. D. O’Rourke, A. M. Reinhorn, M. Shinozuka, K. Tierney, W. A. Wallace, and D. Von Winterfeldt. 2003. “A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities.” Earthquake Spectra 19 (4): 733–752. https://doi.org/10.1193/1.1623497.
Burton, H. V., G. Deierlein, D. Lallemant, and T. Lin. 2016. “Framework for incorporating probabilistic building performance in the assessment of community seismic resilience.” J. Struct. Eng. 142 (8): C4015007. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0001321.
Caruson, K., and S. A. MacManus. 2011. “Gauging disaster vulnerabilities at the local level: Divergence and convergence in an ‘all-hazards’ system.” Adm. Soc. 43 (3): 346–371. https://doi.org/10.1177/0095399711400049.
Chacko, J., L. P. Rees, C. W. Zobel, T. R. Rakes, R. S. Russell, and C. T. Ragsdale. 2016. “Decision support for long-range, community-based planning to mitigate against and recover from potential multiple disasters.” Decis. Support Syst. 87 (Apr): 13–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2016.04.005.
Cimellaro, G. P., C. Renschler, A. M. Reinhorn, and L. Arendt. 2016. “PEOPLES: A framework for evaluating resilience.” J. Struct. Eng. 142 (10): 04016063. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0001514.
City-Data. 2020. “Stats about all us cities-real estate, relocation info, crime, house prices, cost of living, races, home value estimator, recent sales, income, photos, schools, maps, weather, neighborhoods, and more (June).” Accessed June 15, 2020. https://city-data.com.
Cutter, S. L., K. D. Ash, and C. T. Emrich. 2016. “Urban–rural differences in disaster resilience.” Ann. Am. Assoc. Geogr. 106 (6): 1236–1252. https://doi.org/10.1080/24694452.2016.1194740.
Di Baldassarre, G., A. Viglione, G. Carr, L. Kuil, K. Yan, L. Brandimarte, and G. Blöschl. 2015. “Debates—Perspectives on socio-hydrology: Capturing feedbacks between physical and social processes.” Water Resour. Res. 51 (6): 4770–4781. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR016416.
DREAM Structures Lab. 2021. “Data repository.” Accessed May 9, 2024. https://www.sotostructures.com/research/data/.
EIA (Energy Information Administration). 2017. “Electricity—US Energy Information Administration (EIA).” Accessed June 15, 2020. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data.php.
Eid, M. S., and I. H. El-Adaway. 2018. “Decision-making framework for holistic sustainable disaster recovery: Agent-based approach for decreasing vulnerabilities of the associated communities.” J. Infrastruct. Syst. 24 (3): 04018009. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000427.
Endres, K. L. 1999. “Compilation of GIS data layers for flash flood forecasting.” Ph.D. thesis, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological Univ.
English, E. C., C. J. Friedland, and F. Orooji. 2017. “Combined flood and wind mitigation for hurricane damage prevention: Case for amphibious construction.” J. Struct. Eng. 143 (6): 06017001. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0001750.
Esteghamati, M. Z., A. Rodriguez-Marek, and M. M. Flint. 2023. “A reliability-based decision support system for resilient and sustainable early design.” In Resilient and sustainable buildings, 177–228. Reston, VA: ASCE. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784485057.ch4.
Estep, B. 2022. “‘We’re trapped.’ Scores of small bridges damaged in record eastern Kentucky flooding.” Accessed May 22, 2023. https://www.kentucky.com/news/state/kentucky/article264072046.html.
Falter, D., N. Dung, S. Vorogushyn, K. Schröter, Y. Hundecha, H. Kreibich, H. Apel, F. Theisselmann, and B. Merz. 2016. “Continuous, large-scale simulation model for flood risk assessments: Proof-of-concept.” J. Flood Risk Manage. 9 (1): 3–21. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12105.
FEMA. 1957. Kentucky flood. DR-66-KY. Washington, DC: FEMA.
FEMA. 2018. “Disasters.” Accessed June 13, 2020. https://fema.gov.
FEMA. 2019. Kentucky severe storms, straight-line winds, flooding, landslides, and mudslides. DR-4428-KY. Washington, DC: FEMA.
FEMA. 2023. Kentucky Covid-19 pandemic. DR-4497. Washington, DC: FEMA.
Ganapati, N. E., S. Cheng, and S. Ganapati. 2013. “Resilient rural communities: Housing recovery patterns following Hurricane Katrina.” In Disaster resiliency, 121–142. New York: Routledge.
Giardina, G., V. Macchiarulo, F. Foroughnia, J. N. Jones, M. R. Whitworth, B. Voelker, P. Milillo, C. Penney, K. Adams, and T. Kijewski-Correa. 2024. “Combining remote sensing techniques and field surveys for post-earthquake reconnaissance missions.” Bull. Earthquake Eng. 22 (Jun): 3415–3439. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-023-01716-9.
Guidotti, R., H. Chmielewski, V. Unnikrishnan, P. Gardoni, T. McAllister, and J. van de Lindt. 2016. “Modeling the resilience of critical infrastructure: The role of network dependencies.” Sustainable Resilient Infrastruct. 1 (3–4): 153–168. https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2016.1254999.
Horney, J., M. Nguyen, D. Salvesen, C. Dwyer, J. Cooper, and P. Berke. 2017. “Assessing the quality of rural hazard mitigation plans in the southeastern United States.” J. Plann. Educ. Res. 37 (1): 56–65. https://doi.org/10.1177/0739456X16628605.
Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre Norwegian Refugee Council. 2023. “Global report on internal displacement (2023): Internal displacement and food security.” Accessed May 22, 2023. https://www.internal-displacement.org/global-report/grid2023/.
Jennings, M. E., W. O. Thomas, and H. C. Riggs. 1994. Nationwide summary of US Geological Survey regional regression equations for estimating magnitude and frequency of floods for ungaged sites, 1993. Washington, DC: USGS.
Jerolleman, A. 2020. “Challenges of post-disaster recovery in rural areas.” In Louisiana’s response to extreme weather, 285–310. New York: Springer.
Kammouh, O., A. Z. Noori, V. Taurino, S. A. Mahin, and G. P. Cimellaro. 2018. “Deterministic and fuzzy-based methods to evaluate community resilience.” Earthquake Eng. Eng. Vib. 17 (2): 261–275. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11803-018-0440-2.
Kammouh, O., A. Zamani Noori, G. P. Cimellaro, and S. A. Mahin. 2019. “Resilience assessment of urban communities.” ASCE-ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Eng. Syst. Part A: Civ. Eng. 5 (1): 04019002. https://doi.org/10.1061/AJRUA6.0001004.
Kapucu, N., C. V. Hawkins, and F. I. Rivera. 2013. “Disaster resiliency: Interdisciplinary perspectives.” In Disaster resiliency, 23–36. New York: Routledge.
Kaushal, S. S., M. Gutierrez Soto, and R. Napolitano. 2023. “Understanding the performance of historic masonry structures in Mayfield, KY after the 2021 Tornadoes.” J. Cult. Heritage 63 (Apr): 120–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.culher.2023.07.002.
Kijewski-Correa, T., et al. 2019. “Steer-Hurricane Dorian: Preliminary virtual reconnaissance report (PVRR).” DesignSafe-CI 1 (1): 1–90. https://doi.org/10.17603/ds2-saf8-4d32.
Kijewski-Correa, T., D. B. Roueche, K. M. Mosalam, D. O. Prevatt, and I. Robertson. 2021. “Steer: A community-centered approach to assessing the performance of the built environment after natural hazard events.” Front. Built Environ. 7 (Jan): 636197. https://doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2021.636197.
Koliou, M., J. W. van de Lindt, T. P. McAllister, B. R. Ellingwood, M. Dillard, and H. Cutler. 2020. “State of the research in community resilience: Progress and challenges.” Sustainable Resilient Infrastruct. 5 (3): 131–151. https://doi.org/10.1080/23789689.2017.1418547.
KTC (Kentucky Transportation Cabinet). 2020. “Maps/resources | Kentucky transportation cabinet.” Accessed May 13, 2020. https://transportation.ky.gov/Pages/Maps-Resources.aspx.
LaLone, M. B. 2012. “Neighbors helping neighbors: An examination of the social capital mobilization process for community resilience to environmental disasters.” J. Appl. Soc. Sci. 6 (2): 209–237. https://doi.org/10.1177/1936724412458483.
Li, L., A. Chang-Richards, M. Boston, K. Elwood, and C. M. Hutt. 2023. “Post-disaster functional recovery of the built environment: A systematic review and directions for future research.” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 95 (Jul): 103899. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.103899.
Marie, M. 2019. “Harlan County still dealing with cleanup a year after severe flooding (February).” Accessed May 13, 2020. https://www.wymt.com/content/news/Harlan-County-still-dealing-with-cleanup-a-year-after-severe-flooding-505691371.html.
McAllister, T. P. 2016. “Community resilience: The role of the built environment.” In Multi-hazard approaches to civil infrastructure engineering, 533–548. New York: Springer.
Melendez, A., D. Caballero-Russi, M. Gutierrez Soto, and L. F. Giraldo. 2022. “Computational models of community resilience.” Nat. Hazards 111 (2): 1121–1152. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05118-5.
Miguez, M. G., I. P. Raupp, and A. P. Veról. 2019. “An integrated quantitative framework to support design of resilient alternatives to manage urban flood risks.” J. Flood Risk Manage. 12 (S2): e12514. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12514.
Miranda, E. A., et al. 2020. “Steer-07 Jan. 2020 Puerto Rico Mw6.4 earthquake: Preliminary virtual reconnaissance report (PVRR).” DesignSafe-CI 1 (1): 1–77. https://doi.org/10.17603/ds2-xfhz-fz88.
Montz, B. E., and G. A. Tobin. 2008. “Livin’large with levees: Lessons learned and lost.” Nat. Hazards Rev. 9 (3): 150–157. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2008)9:3(150).
Mukherjee, S., R. Nateghi, and M. Hastak. 2018. “A multi-hazard approach to assess severe weather-induced major power outage risks in the US.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 175 (Sep): 283–305. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2018.03.015.
Nazari, N., J. Van De Lindt, and Y. Li. 2015. “Effect of mainshock-aftershock sequences on woodframe building damage fragilities.” J. Perform. Constr. Facil. 29 (1): 04014036. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CF.1943-5509.0000512.
NRC (National Academy Research Council). 2013. Levees and the national flood insurance program: Improving policies and practices. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.
Ormsby, T., E. Napoleon, R. Burke, C. Groessl, and L. Feaster. 2004. Getting to know ArcGIS desktop: Basics of ArcView, ArcEditor, and ArcInfo. Redlands, CA: Environmental Systems Research Institute.
Remo, J. W., N. Pinter, and M. Mahgoub. 2016. “Assessing illinois’s flood vulnerability using HAZUS-MH.” Nat. Hazards 81 (Apr): 265–287. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-2077-z.
Roueche, D. B., et al. 2024. “Performance of Hurricane-Resistant Housing during the 2022 Arabi, Louisiana, Tornado.” J. Struct. Eng. 150 (5): 04024029. https://doi.org/10.1061/JSENDH.STENG-1298.
Scawthorn, C., et al. 2006a. “HAZUS-MH flood loss estimation methodology. II. Damage and loss assessment.” Nat. Hazards Rev. 7 (2): 72–81. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2006)7:2(72).
Scawthorn, C., N. Blais, H. Seligson, E. Tate, E. Mifflin, W. Thomas, J. Murphy, and C. Jones. 2006b. “HAZUS-MH flood loss estimation methodology. I: Overview and flood hazard characterization.” Nat. Hazards Rev. 7 (2): 60–71. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2006)7:2(60).
Schwab, J. 2016. “Planning and climate change: Creating resilience in US communities.” In Living with climate change: How communities are surviving and thriving in a changing climate, edited by J. A. Bullock, G. D. Haddow, K. S. Haddow, and D. P. Coppola, 71–81. New York: Auerbach Publications.
Scott, S. L., S. McSpirit, P. Breheny, and B. M. Howell. 2012. “The long-term effects of a coal waste disaster on social trust in appalachian Kentucky.” Organ. Environ. 25 (4): 402–418. https://doi.org/10.1177/1086026612467983.
Sofia, G. E. I. N., and L. Slater. 2020. “It’s time to revise estimates of river flood hazards–EOS (March).” Accessed May 13, 2020. https://eos.org/opinions/its-time-to-revise-estimates-of-river-flood-hazards.
Sung, K., H. Jeong, N. Sangwan, and D. J. Yu. 2018. “Effects of flood control strategies on flood resilience under sociohydrological disturbances.” Water Resour. Res. 54 (4): 2661–2680. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021440.
Tate, E., C. Munoz, and J. Suchan. 2015. “Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of the HAZUS-MH flood model.” Nat. Hazards Rev. 16 (3): 04014030. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000167.
Tatum, G., and N. Brenkus. 2023. “Hurricane-induced biodeterioration of wood structures: A state-of-the-art review.” Nat. Hazards Rev. 24 (4): 03123005. https://doi.org/10.1061/NHREFO.NHENG-1688.
USCB (United States Census Bureau). 2010. “United States Census Bureau—Harlan County, Kentucky.” Accessed May 13, 2020. https://data.census.gov/profile/Harlan_County,_Kentucky?g=050XX00US21095.
USDA. 2017. “Rural America at a glance.” Accessed May 13, 2020. https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details/?pubid=85739.
USGS. 2020. “USGS water data for the nation.” Accessed May 13, 2020. https://www.usgs.gov/data/usgs-water-data-nation.
Zoumpoulaki, A., N. Avradinis, and S. Vosinakis. 2010. “A multi-agent simulation framework for emergency evacuations incorporating personality and emotions.” In Proc., Hellenic Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, 423–428. New York: Springer.
Zsarnóczay, A., G. G. Deierlein, C. J. Williams, T. L. Kijewski-Correa, A.-M. Esnard, L. N. Lowes, and L. Johnson. 2023. “Community perspectives on simulation and data needs for the study of natural hazard impacts and recovery.” Nat. Hazards Rev. 24 (1): 04022042. https://doi.org/10.1061/NHREFO.NHENG-1551.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Natural Hazards Review
Natural Hazards Review
Volume 25Issue 4November 2024

History

Received: May 30, 2023
Accepted: Feb 6, 2024
Published online: Jun 19, 2024
Published in print: Nov 1, 2024
Discussion open until: Nov 19, 2024

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

ASCE Technical Topics:

Authors

Affiliations

Graduate Research Assistant, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Kentucky, 161 Oliver H. Raymond Bldg., Lexington, KY 40506. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3382-2532.
Mariantonieta Gutierrez Soto, Ph.D., M.ASCE https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1609-5801 [email protected]
Assistant Professor, School of Engineering Design and Innovation, Pennsylvania State Univ., 307 Engineering Design and Innovation Bldg., University Park, PA 16802 (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1609-5801. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share