Research Article
Jul 1966
Flood Proofing in a Flood Plain: A Stochastic Model
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VIEW THE REPLYPublication: Journal of the Hydraulics Division
Volume 92, Issue 4
Abstract
A mathematical model of an urban flood plain incorporates a statistical description of flood proofing measures. Measures that are either permanent or dynamic, i.e., contingent and dependent on the flood warning time, are considered. Dynamic flood proofing is treated by a probabilistic approach which accounts for the various uncertainties associated with the diffusion and implementation of flood warnings. The expected value and standard deviation of damage to the entire flood plain reach are expressed in terms of a flood proofing index, which indicates the extent of dynamic flood proofing in the flood plain. The influence of the flood proofing index on the flood damage statistics is studied by means of a hypothetical numerical example.
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Published In
Journal of the Hydraulics Division
Volume 92 • Issue 4 • July 1966
Pages: 63 - 76
Copyright
© 1966 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Jul 1966
Published online: Feb 3, 2021
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Authors
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Viraf S. Bhavnagri, AM.ASCE
Design Engr., Engineering Construction Corporation, Ltd, Bombay India; formerly, Graduate Student, Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Carnegie Inst. of Tech., Pittsburgh, Pa.
George Bugliarello, AM.ASCE
Prof. of Biotechnology and Civ. Engrg., Chmn., Biotechnology Program Carnegie Inst. of Tech., Pittsburgh Pa.
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