Research Article
Jan 1963
Calculated Risks of Impounding Reservoir Yield
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VIEW THE REPLYAuthors: John B. Stall, M.ASCE, and James C. NeillAuthor Affiliations
Publication: Journal of the Hydraulics Division
Volume 89, Issue 1
Abstract
A system of droughts risks is developed which governs the yield of an impounding reservoir. By using a frequency curve of annual events the probability that an event (drought in this case) of selected magnitude will not occur in any one year can be determined. The corresponding probability that this event will not occur during any design period of n years is the nth power of the one-year probability. This is based on the law of multiplication of probabilities. By considering various magnitudes and various design periods a system of governing probabilities or risks is calculated. This system of risks allows the engineer to exercise his judgment as to the severity of these drought risks as they might affect municipal pumpage or yield.
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Published In
Journal of the Hydraulics Division
Volume 89 • Issue 1 • January 1963
Pages: 25 - 34
Copyright
© 1963 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Jan 1963
Published online: Feb 3, 2021
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John B. Stall, M.ASCE
Engr., Illinois State Water Survey, Urbana, Ill.
James C. Neill
Statistician, Illinois State Water Survey, Urbana, Ill.
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