Research Article
Oct 1982
Worth of Inflow Forecast for Reservoir Operation
Publication: Journal of the Water Resources Planning and Management Division
Volume 108, Issue 3
Abstract
This study assesses improved benefits that might be gained from the use of long-range streamflow forecasts in the operation of a typical multipurpose reservoir. Long-range is defined as a period of time ranging from one month to one year. The Oroville-Thermalito reservoir system of the California State Water Project (SWP) is selected for study; major benefits to be derived from long-term streamflow prediction for this system are hydropower generation, water conservation for irrigation and/or other beneficial uses, and decreased seepage damage to crops. Flood control benefits are potentially high but those benefits are more amenable to short-term rather than long-term forecasting. Incremental benefits are determined as functions of forecast time and accuracy on the basis of general adherence to current operating rules. The reservoir is theoretically operated over the 1914-73 time period; forecasts and comparisons are based on the historical streamflows. Procedure failure is defined as inability to meet a minimum storage constraint at any time over the 60-year period. To provide an additional evaluation of benefits from forecasting, analyses are also made using the historical means as estimates of future streamflows.
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Information
Published In
Journal of the Water Resources Planning and Management Division
Volume 108 • Issue 3 • October 1982
Pages: 257 - 269
Copyright
© 1982 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Oct 1982
Published online: Feb 12, 2021
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William W-G. Yeh, M.ASCE
Prof., School of Engrg. and Applied Science, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Calif
Leonard Becker
Asst. Research Engr., School of Engrg. and Applied Science, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, Calif
Robert Zettlemoyer
Civ. Engr., Dept. of Water Resources, Sacrarnento, Calif
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.