Technical Papers
Apr 29, 2020

Effects of Weather and Calendar Events on Mode-Choice Behaviors for Public Transportation

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 146, Issue 7

Abstract

Understanding travel behavior decisions is a fundamental aim of transportation planning. However, data from surveys or travel diaries that were traditionally used for travel mode-choice modeling are costly and have certain inaccuracies and cover limited populations. Therefore, recently, smart card data collected from automated fare collection systems have gradually become more popular for travel behavior analysis and modeling, but relatively little attention has been paid to investigating the daily variability in travel behavior decisions using more than 1-year smart card data, apart for some descriptive studies. In this study, mode-choice behaviors in public transit were investigated in Seoul using 20-month smart card data to investigate the daily variability in the ratio of the number of subway passengers depending on origin and destination. For this aim, the effects of temporal features such as weather and calendar events as well as the route information and built environments of origin and destination stations were considered on a daily basis for different time periods. To overcome the limitation that the purpose of travel cannot be identified from smart card data, this study attempted to precisely estimate subway connections and extract travel records for commuting from regular commuters’ cards. The models were trained using 1-year data and were validated using 8-month data, which verified that the selected factors explain the daily variability in mode-choice behaviors for public transportation.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

No data, models, or code were generated or used during the study.

Acknowledgments

This work was supported by a National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korean government, Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning (MSIP) (No. 2017R1C1B5014805).

References

Aaheim, H. A., and K. E. Hauge. 2005. Impacts of climate change on travel habits: A national assessment based on individual choices. Oslo, Norway: Center for International Climate Research.
Alsger, A. A., M. Mesbah, L. Ferreira, and H. Safi. 2015. “Use of smart card fare data to estimate public transport origin–destination matrix.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2535 (1): 88–96. https://doi.org/10.3141/2535-10.
Boarnet, M., and R. Crane. 2001. “The influence of land use on travel behavior: Specification and estimation strategies.” Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract. 35 (9): 823–845. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0965-8564(00)00019-7.
Briand, A. S., E. Côme, M. K. El Mahrsi, and L. Oukhellou. 2015. “A mixture model clustering approach for temporal passenger pattern characterization in public transport.” In Proc., 2015 IEEE Int. Conf. on Data Science and Advanced Analytics, DSAA 2015. New York: IEEE.
Calabrese, F., F. C. Pereira, G. Di Lorenzo, L. Liu, and C. Ratti. 2010. The geography of taste: Analyzing cell-phone mobility and social events, 22–37. Berlin: Springer.
Chu, K., and R. Chapleau. 2010. “Augmenting transit trip characterization and travel behavior comprehension.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2183 (1): 29–40. https://doi.org/10.3141/2183-04.
Cools, M., and L. Creemers. 2013. “The dual role of weather forecasts on changes in activity-travel behavior.” J. Transp. Geogr. 28 (Apr): 167–175. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.11.002.
de Montigny, L., R. Ling, and J. Zacharias. 2012. “The effects of weather on walking rates in nine cities.” Environ. Behav. 44 (6): 821–840. https://doi.org/10.1177/0013916511409033.
Devillaine, F., M. Munizaga, and M. Trépanier. 2012. “Detection of activities of public transport users by analyzing smart card data.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2276 (1): 48–55. https://doi.org/10.3141/2276-06.
Frank, L., M. Bradley, S. Kavage, J. Chapman, and T. K. Lawton. 2008. “Urban form, travel time, and cost relationships with tour complexity and mode choice.” Transportation 35 (1): 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-007-9136-6.
Frank, L. D., and G. Pivo. 1994. “Impacts of mixed use and density on utilization of three modes of travel: Single-occupant vehicle, transit, and walking.” Transp. Res. Rec. 1466: 44–52.
Hensher, D. A., J. M. Rose, and W. H. Greene. 2015. Applied choice analysis. 2nd ed. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
Hörcher, D., D. J. Graham, and R. J. Anderson. 2017. “Crowding cost estimation with large scale smart card and vehicle location data.” Transp. Res. Part B: Methodol. 95 (Jan): 105–125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trb.2016.10.015.
Jang, W. 2010. “Travel time and transfer analysis using transit smart card data.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2144 (1): 142–149. https://doi.org/10.3141/2144-16.
Jánošíková, Ľ., J. Slavík, and M. Koháni. 2014. “Estimation of a route choice model for urban public transport using smart card data.” Transp. Plann. Technol. 37 (7): 638–648. https://doi.org/10.1080/03081060.2014.935570.
Johansson, M. V., T. Heldt, and P. Johansson. 2006. “The effects of attitudes and personality traits on mode choice.” Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract. 40 (6): 507–525. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2005.09.001.
Kieu, L. M., A. Bhaskar, and E. Chung. 2015. “Passenger segmentation using smart card data.” IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 16 (3): 1537–1548. https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2014.2368998.
Klöckner, C. A., and T. Friedrichsmeier. 2011. “A multi-level approach to travel mode choice—How person characteristics and situation specific aspects determine car use in a student sample.” Transp. Res. Part F: Traffic Psychol. Behav. 14 (4): 261–277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trf.2011.01.006.
Klöckner, C. A., and E. Matthies. 2004. “How habits interfere with norm-directed behaviour: A normative decision-making model for travel mode choice.” J. Environ. Psychol. 24 (3): 319–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2004.08.004.
Korea Transport DataBase. 2014. “Passenger travel survey.” Accessed April 9, 2020. https://www.ktdb.go.kr/eng/contents.do?key=244.
Lee, S. G., and M. Hickman. 2014. “Trip purpose inference using automated fare collection data.” Public Transp. 6 (1): 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12469-013-0077-5.
Liu, C., Y. O. Susilo, and A. Karlström. 2015. “The influence of weather characteristics variability on individual’s travel mode choice in different seasons and regions in Sweden.” Transp. Policy 41 (Jul): 147–158. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2015.01.001.
Liu, X., C. Kang, L. Gong, and Y. Liu. 2016. “Incorporating spatial interaction patterns in classifying and understanding urban land use.” Int. J. Geog. Inf. Sci. 30 (2): 334–350. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2015.1086923.
Liu, Y., F. Wang, Y. Xiao, and S. Gao. 2012. “Urban land uses and traffic ‘source-sink areas’: Evidence from GPS-enabled taxi data in Shanghai.” Landscape Urban Plann. 106 (1): 73–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2012.02.012.
Long, Y., and J.-C. Thill. 2015. “Combining smart card data and household travel survey to analyze job–housing relationships in Beijing.” Comput. Environ. Urban Syst. 53 (Sep): 19–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2015.02.005.
Ma, X., C. Liu, H. Wen, Y. Wang, and Y. J. Wu. 2017. “Understanding commuting patterns using transit smart card data.” J. Transp. Geogr. 58 (Jan): 135–145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.12.001.
McFadden, D. 1973. Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior, 105–142. New York: Academic.
Morency, C., M. Trépanier, and B. Agard. 2007. “Measuring transit use variability with smart-card data.” Transp. Policy 14 (3): 193–203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2007.01.001.
Pas, E. I. 1998. “Time in travel choice modeling: From relative obscurity to center stage.” In Theoretical foundations of travel choice modeling, edited by T. Gärling, T. Laitila, and K. Westin, 231–250. Oxford, UK: Univ. of California Transportation Center.
Pelletier, M.-P., M. Trépanier, and C. Morency. 2011. “Smart card data use in public transit: A literature review.” Transp. Res. Part C: Emerging Technol. 19 (4): 557–568. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2010.12.003.
Sabir, M., M. J. Koetse, and P. Rietveld. 2008. The impact of weather conditions on mode choice: Empirical evidence for the Netherlands, 1–24. Amsterdam, Netherlands: Dept. of Spatial Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.
Saneinejad, S., M. J. Roorda, and C. Kennedy. 2012. “Modelling the impact of weather conditions on active transportation travel behaviour.” Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ. 17 (2): 129–137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2011.09.005.
Scheiner, J., and C. Holz-Rau. 2007. “Travel mode choice: Affected by objective or subjective determinants?” Transportation 34 (4): 487–511. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-007-9112-1.
Schwanen, T., M. Dijst, and F. M. Dieleman. 2002. “A microlevel analysis of residential context and travel time.” Environ. Plann. A 34 (8): 1487–1507. https://doi.org/10.1068/a34159.
Seoul Metropolitan Government. 2014. “Composition of daily passenger transportation.” Accessed April 9, 2020. https://data.seoul.go.kr/dataList/250/S/2/datasetView.do.
Seoul Urban Solutions Agency. 2020. “Smart card and fare system.” Accessed April 9, 2020. https://susa.or.kr/en/Smart-Card-and-Fare-System.
S.-P., Hong, Y.-H. Min, M.-J. Park, K. M. Kim, and S. M. Oh. 2016. “Precise estimation of connections of metro passengers from Smart Card data.” Transportation 43 (5): 749–769. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-015-9617-y.
Statistics Korea. 2015. “Time use survey.” Accessed April 9, 2020. https://kostat.go.kr/portal/eng/pressReleases/11/6/index.board?.
Statistics Korea. 2017a. 2016 census on establishments. Daejeon, South Korea: Statistics Korea.
Statistics Korea. 2017b. “2016 population and housing census.” Accessed April 9, 2020. https://kostat.go.kr/portal/eng/pressReleases/11/6/index.board?.
Tan, R., M. Adnan, D.-H. Lee, and M. E. Ben-Akiva. 2015. “New path size formulation in path size logit for route choice modeling in public transport networks.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2538 (1): 11–18. https://doi.org/10.3141/2538-02.
Thom, E. C. 1959. “The discomfort index.” Weatherwise 12 (2): 57–61. https://doi.org/10.1080/00431672.1959.9926960.
Train, K. 1986. In Vol. of 10 Qualitative choice analysis: Theory, econometrics, and an application to automobile demand. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Wang, Y., G. H. de Almeida Correia, E. de Romph, and H. J. Timmermans. 2017. “Using metro smart card data to model location choice of after-work activities: An application to Shanghai.” J. Transp. Geogr. 63 (Jun): 40–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2017.06.010.
Xie, L., H. Li, and X. Xu. 2018. “Research on the route choice behavior of subway passengers based on AFC data.” In Proc., 3rd Int. Conf. on Electrical and Information Technologies for Rail Transportation (EITRT) 2017, edited by L. Jia, Y. Qin, J. Suo, J. Feng, L. Diao, and M. An, 769–777. Singapore: Springer.
Yuan, G.-X., K.-W. Chang, C.-J. Hsieh, and C.-J. Lin. 2010. “A comparison of optimization methods and software for large-scale l1-regularized linear classification.” J. Mach. Learn. Res. 11 (Nov): 3183–3234.
Zhang, J., D. Shen, L. Tu, F. Zhang, C. Xu, Y. Wang, C. Tian, X. Li, B. Huang, and Z. Li. 2017. “A real-time passenger flow estimation and prediction method for urban bus transit systems.” IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 18 (11): 3168–3178. https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2017.2686877.
Zhao, J., F. Zhang, L. Tu, C. Xu, D. Shen, C. Tian, X. Y. Li, and Z. Li. 2017. “Estimation of passenger route choice pattern using smart card data for complex metro systems.” IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 18 (4): 790–801. https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2016.2587864.
Zhou, M., D. Wang, Q. Li, Y. Yue, W. Tu, and R. Cao. 2017. “Impacts of weather on public transport ridership: Results from mining data from different sources.” Transp. Res. Part C: Emerging Technol. 75 (Feb): 17–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2016.12.001.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 146Issue 7July 2020

History

Received: Aug 22, 2019
Accepted: Jan 6, 2020
Published online: Apr 29, 2020
Published in print: Jul 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Sep 29, 2020

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Assistant Professor, Information Technology Management Programme, International Fusion School, Seoul National Univ. of Science and Technology (SeoulTech), 232 Gongreungno, Nowon-gu, Seoul 01811, Republic of Korea. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0196-3832. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share