Assessment of Motorcycle Ownership, Use, and Potential Changes due to Transportation Policies in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 145, Issue 12
Abstract
Although motorcycles are the main mode of transportation in many megacities in developing countries, very little research has been conducted on motorcycle operations and related issues. This paper addresses (1) the empirical analysis of the current status of motorcycle ownership and utilization in Ho Chi Minh City, (2) the estimation of the number of motorcycles used in this city, and (3) the analysis and modeling of different transportation policy scenarios. For (1) and (2), the survey results indicate that on average motorcycle ownership (2.33 motorcycles) is higher than that of working-age people in a family (2.29 people). The total number of motorcycles operating in Ho Chi Minh City is estimated to be almost 2 million fewer than that of registered motorcycles. For (3), the results show that each proposed scenario has its own advantage. The demand management policy, which involves either reducing demand via ride sharing or reducing the number of working days per fortnight to 9, is found to be the only single policy that results in little to no adverse impact on total vehicle trips, emissions, fuel consumption, or revenue.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
The support of the National Traffic Safety Committee (NTSC) and the Vietnam Association of Motorcycle Manufacturers (VAMM) in the financing of and comments on this study is acknowledged. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of NTSC, VAMM, or the Government of Vietnam.
References
ALMEC Corporation. 2004. The study on urban transport master plan and feasibility study in Ho Chi Minh metropolitan area (HOUTRANS): Final report. Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: ALMEC Corporation.
Chang, C. C., C. K. Nien, C. Y. Tsai, and G. R. Her. 2012. “Comparison of tail-pipe emissions from motorcycles and passenger cars.” J. Air Waste Manage. Assoc. 45 (2): 116–124. https://doi.org/10.1080/10473289.1995.10467347.
Chiou, Y. C., C. H. Wen, S. H. Tsai, and W. Y. Wang. 2009. “Integrated modeling of car/motorcycle ownership, type and usage for estimating energy consumption and emissions.” Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract. 43 (7): 665–684. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2009.06.002.
Cho, H. J., and Y. T. Wu. 2004. “Modeling and simulation of motorcycle traffic flow.” In Proc., IEEE Int. Conf. on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 6262–6267. Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Decker, S., D. Otte, D. L. Cruz, C. W. Müller, M. Omar, C. Krettek, and S. Brand. 2016. “Injury severity of pedestrians, bicyclists and motorcyclists resulting from crashes with reversing cars.” Accid. Anal. Prev. 94 (Sep): 46–51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2016.05.010.
Hensher, D. A., and T. Ton. 2002. “TRESIS: A transportation, land use and environmental strategy impact simulator for urban areas.” Transportation 29 (4): 439–457. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1016335814417.
Ho, Q. C., and T. Yamamoto. 2009. “Comparative analysis on determinant factors of household vehicle ownership between Ho Chi Minh and Hanoi metropolitans, Vietnam.” In Proc., 8th Int. Conf. of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. Kawaguchi, Japan: J-stage.
Hoang, M. 2016. “Technological applications for alleviating traffic accidents.” [In Vietnamese.] Stinfo 1–2 (1): 6–7.
Hsu, T. P. 2004. “Segregated flow concept for motorcycle traffic.” [In Japanese.] IATSS Rev. 29 (3): 32–42.
Hsu, T. P., and Y. J. Lin. 2007. “Multinomial logit model of motorcycle ownership and car ownership in Taiwan.” In Proc., 7th Int. Conf. of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. Kawaguchi, Japan: J-stage.
Hsu, T. P., A. F. M. Sadullah, and N. X. Dao. 2003. “A comparison study on motorcycle traffic development in some Asian countries: Case of Taiwan, Malaysia and Vietnam.” J. East. Asia Soc. Transp. Stud. 5: 179–193.
Hsu, T. P., C. C. Tsai, and Y. J. Lin. 2007. “Comparative analysis of household car and motorcycle ownership characteristics.” J. East. Asia Soc. Transp. Stud. 7 (Dec): 105–115. https://doi.org/10.11175/easts.7.105.
ITD Group. 2012. Project proposal study of Ho Chi Minh City congestion charging system (HCCS): Final report. Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: ITD Group.
Kepaptsoglou, K., C. Milioti, Z. Christoforou, and M. G. Karlaftis. 2011. “An empirical investigation of motorcycle ownership and usage.” In Proc., First Congress of Transportation and Development Institute (TDI), 1075–1084. Reston, VA: ASCE.
Lai, W. T., and J. L. Lu. 2007. “Modeling the working mode choice, ownership and usage of car and motorcycle in Taiwan.” J. East. Asia Soc. Transp. Stud. 7 (Dec): 869–885. https://doi.org/10.11175/easts.7.869.
Lai, W. T., J. L. Lu, and Y. S. Chiang. 2006. “The study of multi-vehicle household mix demand model on auto/motorcycle ownership and use in Taiwan area.” Transp. Plann. J. 35 (3): 309–336.
Lan, L. W., and C. W. Chang. 2003. “Moving behaviors of motorbikes in mixed traffic: Particle hopping model.” J. East. Asia Soc. Transp. Stud. 5 (Sep): 23–37.
Lan, L. W., and C. W. Chang. 2005. “Inhomogeneous cellular automata modeling for mixed traffic with cars and motorcycles.” J. Adv. Transp. 39 (3): 323–349. https://doi.org/10.1002/atr.5670390307.
Law, T. H., H. Hamid, and C. N. Goh. 2015. “The motorcycle to passenger car ownership ratio and economic growth: A cross-country analysis.” J. Transp. Geogr. 46 (Jun): 122–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2015.06.007.
Leong, L. V., and A. F. M. Sadullah. 2007. “A study on the motorcycle ownership: A case study in Penang state, Malaysia.” In Proc., 7th Int. Conf. of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. Kawaguchi, Japan: J-stage.
Manan, M. M. A., and A. Varhelyi. 2012. “Motorcycle fatalities in Malaysia.” IATSS Res. 36 (1): 30–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iatssr.2012.02.005.
Minh, C. C., S. Kazushi, and S. Matsumoto. 2012. “Maneuvers of motorcycles in queues at signalized intersections.” J. Adv. Transp. 46 (1): 39–53. https://doi.org/10.1002/atr.144.
Olson, Z., J. A. Staples, C. Mock, N. P. Nguyen, A. M. Bachani, R. Nugent, and S. Verguet. 2016. “Helmet regulation in Vietnam: Impact on health, equity and medical impoverishment.” Inj. Prev. 22 (4): 233–238. https://doi.org/10.1136/injuryprev-2015-041650.
Oluwadiya, K. S., O. D. Ojo, O. O. Adegbehingbe, C. Mock, and O. S. Popoola. 2016. “Vulnerability of motorcycle riders and co-riders to injuries in multi-occupant crashes.” Int. J. Inj. Control Saf. Promotion 23 (2): 189–196. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457300.2014.969280.
Sanko, N., D. D. Dissanayake, S. Kurauchi, H. Maesoba, T. Yamamoto, and T. Morikawa. 2009. “Inter-temporal analysis of household car and motorcycle ownership behaviors: The case in the Nagoya metropolitan area of Japan, 1981–2001.” IATSS Res. 33 (2): 39–53. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0386-1112(14)60243-0.
Senbil, M., J. Zhang, and A. Fujiwara. 2007. “Motorcycle ownership and use in Jabotabek (Indonesia) metropolitan area.” In Proc., 96th Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board. Washington, DC: Transportation Research Board. CD-ROM.
Sermpis, D., and I. Spyropoulou. 2007. “Parameters related to modelling motorcycle movement.” In Proc., 86th Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board. Washington, DC: Transportation Research Board. CD-ROM.
Sillaparcharn, P. 2007. “Motorcycle ownership modelling: General approach and application to Thailand.” In Proc., 7th Int. Conf. of Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. Dalian, ChinaKasumiagseki, Japan: Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies.
Tongklao, A., S. Jaruratanasirikul, and H. Sriplung. 2016. “Risky behaviors and helmet use among young adolescent motorcyclists in Southern Thailand.” Traffic Inj. Prev. 17 (1): 80–85. https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2015.1045062.
Velagapudi, S. P., and G. G. Ray. 2015. “A study on motorcycle usage and comfort in urban India.” In Proc., 19th Triennial Congress of the IEA. Melbourne, Australia: International Ergonomics Association.
Vu, A. T., and T. Shimizu. 2005. “Modeling of household motorcycle ownership behaviour in Hanoi City.” J. East. Asia Soc. Transp. Stud. 6 (Jan): 1751–1765. https://doi.org/10.11175/easts.6.1751.
Vu, T. T. A., and H. P. Do. 2013. Traffic congestion in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. [In Vietnamese.] Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: Fulbright Economics Teaching Program.
Wen, C. H., Y. C. Chiou, and W. L. Huang. 2012. “A dynamic analysis of motorcycle ownership and usage: A panel data modeling approach.” Accid. Anal. Prev. 49 (Nov): 193–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2011.03.006.
Wong, K. L. 2013. “An analysis of car and motorcycle ownership in Macao.” Int. J. Sustainable Transp. 7 (3): 204–225. https://doi.org/10.1080/15568318.2013.710057.
Yamamoto, T. 2009. “Comparative analysis of household car, motorcycle and bicycle ownership between Osaka metropolitan area, Japan and Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.” Transportation 36 (3): 351–366. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-009-9196-x.
Yannis, G., J. Golias, I. Spyropoulou, and E. Papadimitriou. 2007. “Mobility patterns of motorcycle and moped riders in Greece.” Transp. Res. Rec. 2031 (1): 69–75. https://doi.org/10.3141/2031-09.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
©2019 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Sep 13, 2017
Accepted: Mar 28, 2019
Published online: Sep 29, 2019
Published in print: Dec 1, 2019
Discussion open until: Feb 29, 2020
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.