Research Article
Oct 1979
Reliability of Seismic Resistance Predictions
Authors: Rudolf F. Drenick and Chung-Bang YunAuthor Affiliations
Publication: Journal of the Structural Division
Volume 105, Issue 10
Abstract
This paper explores the effect of uncertainties in the information regarding the ground-motion statistics during an earthquake, and finds that they are large enough to preclude sufficient confidence from being placed in many predictions of earthquake resistance. It recommends that the usual all-probabilistic approach be replaced with a suitable combination of probabilistic and worst-case analyses. It finally reports on a study in which this combination was explored. It appears to be sufficiently successful to encourage consideration of the combined approach.
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Published In
Journal of the Structural Division
Volume 105 • Issue 10 • October 1979
Pages: 1879 - 1891
Copyright
© 1979 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Oct 1979
Published online: Feb 1, 2021
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Authors
Affiliations
Rudolf F. Drenick
Prof. of System Engrg., Polytechnic Inst. of New York, Brooklyn, N.Y.
Chung-Bang Yun
Amoco Production Research Center, Tulsa, Okla.; formerly, Post Doctoral Research Fellow, Polytechnic Inst. of New York, Brooklyn, N.Y.
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.