Research Article
Sep 1973
Structural Risk Analysis and Reliability-Based Design
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VIEW THE REPLYPublication: Journal of the Structural Division
Volume 99, Issue 9
Abstract
Existing probability bases of reliability analysis and reliability based design are summarized. The importance of risk and uncertainty considerations in structural evaluation and design are emphasized, and practical methods for risk assessment in terms of failure probability and for development of reliability-based design criteria are described and developed. Advocates the systematic analysis of uncertainty through first-order statistical analysis, and the explicit use of failure (or survival) probability as measure of risk and safety, to fully realize the potentials of probability theory in structural evaluation and design.
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Journal of the Structural Division
Volume 99 • Issue 9 • September 1973
Pages: 1891 - 1910
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© 1973 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published in print: Sep 1973
Published online: Feb 1, 2021
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Alfredo H-S. Ang, M.ASCE
Prof. of Civ. Engrg., Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Ill.
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Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.