System Identification via Unscented Kalman Filtering and Model Class Selection
Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 10, Issue 1
Abstract
Identifying the mechanical properties of civil structures is required for life-cycle assessment. Kalman filters are exploited for this goal, enabling the online update of a numerical model, acting as the digital twin of the structure, and quantifying the uncertainty of the estimated properties. As uncertainty about model formulation is usually disregarded in the identification, model class evidence has been recently formulated to compare different parametrizations of the properties of the monitored structure through a metric, allowing selection of the most plausible one. When dealing with parameter estimation, predominantly model evidence is deployed in batch Bayesian estimation. Here, the formulation of model class evidence is proposed for the unscented Kalman filter, which allows online calculation of model class evidence for a system without the need to compute the mapping gradient in time. This formulation was inspired by the model class evidence developed for the extended Kalman filter. Numerical results related to shear buildings are presented to validate the metric, showing the impact of under- and over-parametrizations on identification.
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Data Availability Statement
The models and the code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Acknowledgments
The corresponding author acknowledges the economic support of the University of New Hampshire during his time there as visiting Ph.D. candidate. The authors are indebted to Rodrigo Astroza, Universidad de Los Andes (Chile) for the valuable discussions.
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© 2023 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Received: Mar 8, 2023
Accepted: Jul 27, 2023
Published online: Dec 22, 2023
Published in print: Mar 1, 2024
Discussion open until: May 22, 2024
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