Climate Change Impact on Seismic Vulnerability of Aging Highway Bridges
Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 9, Issue 4
Abstract
The lateral load–carrying capacity of highway bridges is adversely affected by corrosion deterioration of reinforced concrete (RC) bridge piers during earthquakes. Recent studies reveal that increased global warming due to climate change causes changes in temperature and humidity that further exacerbate the corrosion deterioration of RC bridge piers. This climate change–induced corrosion deterioration may further impair the performance of bridges when located in regions of moderate to high seismic zones. Consequently, this study provides a probabilistic framework for considering the joint impact of corrosion deterioration, earthquakes, and climate change on the lifetime vulnerability of highway bridges. The framework is demonstrated using a case study of a nonseismically designed highway bridge located close to marine sources within seismic active region of Gujarat, India. An improved corrosion deterioration model is utilized that incorporates climate change and concrete cracking effects for estimating time-dependent corrosion of the RC bridge pier. A robust, experimentally validated finite-element model is developed that can capture the varied failure modes of the bridge pier. A set of recorded ground motions that represents regional seismicity is selected to perform nonlinear time-history analyses. Time-varying damage state thresholds and probabilistic seismic demand models are used to develop seismic fragility curves for the bridge while also accounting for the climate change effects. Results reveal that consideration of climate change effects significantly increases the seismic fragility of the deteriorated bridge up to 53%. Lastly, the developed methodology is demonstrated for seismically designed bridge to evaluate the impact of modern codes for ductile detailing and durability provisions on bridge vulnerability incorporating climate change effects.
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Data Availability Statement
All data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Acknowledgments
The financial support provided by the Science and Engineering Research Board (statutory body under the Department of Science and Technology, India) through Grant Number SRG/2021/001574 for this study is thankfully acknowledged.
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Published In
ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 9 • Issue 4 • December 2023
Copyright
© 2023 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Feb 8, 2023
Accepted: Jul 10, 2023
Published online: Oct 12, 2023
Published in print: Dec 1, 2023
Discussion open until: Mar 12, 2024
ASCE Technical Topics:
- Bridge engineering
- Bridges
- Bridges (by material)
- Bridges (by type)
- Climate change
- Climates
- Concrete
- Concrete bridges
- Corrosion
- Deterioration
- Earthquake engineering
- Engineering fundamentals
- Engineering materials (by type)
- Environmental engineering
- Geotechnical engineering
- Highway bridges
- Materials characterization
- Materials engineering
- Reinforced concrete
- Seismic effects
- Seismic tests
- Structural engineering
- Tests (by type)
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