Technical Papers
Jun 27, 2022

Risk-Informed Digital Twin of Buildings and Infrastructures for Sustainable and Resilient Urban Communities

Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 8, Issue 3

Abstract

The digital twin (DT) is a virtual replica of real-world buildings, processes, structures, people, and systems created and maintained to answer questions about its physical part, the physical twin (PT). In the case of the built environment, the PT is represented by smart buildings and infrastructures. Full synchronization between the DT and the PT will allow for a perpetual learning process and updating between the two twins. In this work, we introduce a novel concept of DT called risk-informed digital twin (RDT). In the DT the model predictions are developed through data-driven tools and algorithms. However, multiple sources of uncertainty during the lifecycle challenge our understanding and ability to effectively model the performance of the modeled systems. The RDT’s importance lies in its integration of the methods and tools of statistics and risk analysis with machine learning. To this aim, the platform incorporates a novel framework of data-driven uncertainty quantification and risk analysis rooted in information theory. At the core of the RDT is a framework of sustainable and resilient based engineering (SRBE), introduced in this work and considered the first step toward the extension of performance-based engineering (PBE) approaches to socioecological-technical systems under uncertainty. A risk-informed multicriteria decision support tool able to incorporate social aspects is also included, and it can be used for sustainable and resilient design in the early stage, or management under uncertainty of smart buildings and infrastructure systems.

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Data Availability Statement

All data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Acknowledgments

The author thanks the following for the interesting and fruitful conversations aimed at the development of shared knowledge: Khalid M. Mosalam (University of California at Berkeley) and all the members of Singapore Berkeley Building Energy Efficiency and Sustainability in the Tropics (SinBerBEST) and Tsinghua-Berkeley Shenzhen Institute (TBSI); Hans Heinimann (ETH-Singapore); Poul Henning Kirkegaard, Lars V. Andersen, and Søren Wandahl (Aarhus University); and Enrico Zio (Politecnico Milano). The author also thanks the anonymous reviewers who provided constructive comments and contributed to significntly improve the quality of the paper.

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ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 8Issue 3September 2022

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Received: Jan 29, 2021
Accepted: Feb 8, 2022
Published online: Jun 27, 2022
Published in print: Sep 1, 2022
Discussion open until: Nov 27, 2022

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Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil and Architectural Engineering, Dept. of Engineering, Aarhus Univ., Aarhus 8000, Denmark. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9729-9536. Email: [email protected]

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  • From Building Information Modelling to Digital Twins: Digital Representation for a Circular Economy, A Circular Built Environment in the Digital Age, 10.1007/978-3-031-39675-5_1, (3-20), (2024).
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