Brief Report
Jan 1980
Dam Failure in Benefit/Cost Analysis
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VIEW THE REPLYAuthors: Gregory Baecher, AM.ASCE, Richard de Neufville, M.ASCE, and Marie-Elisabeth PateAuthor Affiliations
Publication: Journal of the Geotechnical Engineering Division
Volume 106, Issue 1
Abstract
An important potential cost of dam building, the possibility of failure, is not now included in benefit/cost analyses. The probability of failure has been implicitly assumed to be zero, on the rational, e.g., that.well-built dams do not fail... The fact is, dams that were thought to be well-built fail with depressing regularity. To presume that the probability of failure is zero, because we ignore what it is precisely, is unconservative and possibly irresponsible. This note suggests an explicit procedure for incorporating the risk of failure in the economic evaluations of dams. Further details and supporting evidence are available from the writers.
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Journal of the Geotechnical Engineering Division
Volume 106 • Issue 1 • January 1980
Pages: 101 - 105
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© 1980 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published in print: Jan 1980
Published online: Feb 11, 2021
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Gregory Baecher, AM.ASCE
Richard de Neufville, M.ASCE
Marie-Elisabeth Pate
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Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.