Technical Papers
Feb 23, 2019

Intertemporal Preferences of Potable Water Supply Consumers

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 145, Issue 5

Abstract

This research explores potable water consumers’ willingness to pay to fund up-front investments in their potable water supply services (PWSSs), which will reduce rates in the longer term. An online survey of 1,970 New Zealand PWSS consumers was carried out in 2011 to identify factors that influence individual discount rates (IDRs) related to PWSS investments—a first of its kind—using dichotomous choice questions. Constrained latent class models (LCMs)—an established technique—were used to test the presence of a class of respondents that is unwilling to invest—a phenomenon that has not yet been tested for PWSS consumers. Confirming PWSS consumers’ IDRs will help water suppliers understand the factors more conducive to consumer support of long-term PWSS investments. The research showed that consumers have an 82% chance of having high discount rates of 45%–55%, and an 18% chance of always being likely to support initial payment increases in the interest of future savings. Decision makers should be aware of high IDRs, but they should recognize that there is a class of consumers that strongly supports long-term investments.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The authors are thankful to Magnus Söderberg and Penny Burns for their contribution to this paper. Funding for this research was provided by the University of South Australia, Opus International Consultants, and Engineers Canada/TD Meloche Monnex.

References

Adamowicz, W. L., D. S. Bunch, T. A. Cameron, B. G. Dellaert, M. Hanneman, M. Keane, J. Louviere, R. Meyer, T. Steenburgh, and J. Swait. 2008. “Behavioral frontiers in choice modeling.” Marketing Lett. 19 (3): 215–228. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11002-008-9038-1.
Ainslie, G. 1975. “Specious reward: A behavioral theory of impulsiveness and impulse control.” Psychol. Bull. 82 (4): 463–496. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0076860.
Andersen, S., G. W. Harrison, M. I. Lau, and E. E. Rutström. 2008. “Eliciting risk and time preferences.” Econometrica 76 (3): 583–618. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2008.00848.x.
Andersen, S., G. W. Harrison, M. I. Lau, and E. E. Rutström. 2014. “Discounting behavior: A reconsideration.” Eur. Econ. Rev. 71: 15–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.06.009.
Benhabib, J., A. Bisin, and A. Schotter. 2010. “Present-bias, quasi-hyperbolic discounting, and fixed costs.” Games Econ. Behav. 69 (2): 205–223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2009.11.003.
Benzion, U., A. Rapoport, and J. Yagil. 1989. “Discount rates inferred from decisions: An experimental study.” Manage. Sci. 35 (3): 270–284. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.35.3.270.
Carlsson, F., and P. Martinsson. 2001. “Do hypothetical and actual marginal willingness to pay differ in choice experiments?: Application to the valuation of the environment.” J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 41 (2): 179–192. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeem.2000.1138.
Carson, R. T. 2000. “Contingent valuation: A user’s guide.” Environ. Sci. Technol. 34 (8): 1413–1418. https://doi.org/10.1021/es990728j.
Caussade, S., J. D. Ortúzar, L. I. Rizzi, and D. Hensher. 2005. “Assessing the influence of design dimensions on stated choice experiment estimates.” Transp. Res. Part B Methodol. 39 (7): 621–640. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trb.2004.07.006.
Coller, M., G. W. Harrison, and E. E. Rutström. 2012. “Latent process heterogeneity in discounting behavior.” Oxford Econ. Papers 64 (2): 375–391. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpr019.
Coller, M., and M. B. Williams. 1999. “Eliciting individual discount rates.” Exp. Econ. 2 (2): 107–127. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009986005690.
Collins, L. M., and S. T. Lanza 2010. Latent class and latent transition analysis: With applications in the social, behavioral, and health sciences. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
Crocker, T. D., and J. F. Shogren. 1993. “Dynamic inconsistency in valuing environmental goods.” Ecol. Econ. 7 (3): 239–254. https://doi.org/10.1016/0921-8009(93)90006-R.
Egan, K. J., J. R. Corrigan, and D. F. Dwyer 2015. “Three reasons to use annual payments in contingent valuation surveys: Convergent validity, discount rates, and mental accounting.” J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 72: 123–136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2015.05.002.
Flachaire, E., and G. Hollard. 2006. “Controlling starting-point bias in double-bounded contingent valuation surveys.” Land Econ. 82 (1): 103–111. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.82.1.103.
Frederick, S., G. Loewenstein, and T. O’Donoghue. 2002. “Time discounting and time preference: A critical review.” J. Econ. Literature 40 (2): 351–401. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.40.2.351.
Gately, D. 1980. “Individual discount rates and the purchase and utilization of energy-using durables: Comment.” Bell J. Econ. 11 (1): 373–374. https://doi.org/10.2307/3003422.
Hajkowicz, S., M. D. Young, S. Wheeler, D. Hatton MacDonald, and D. Young. 2000. Supporting decisions understanding natural resources management development techniques: A report to the Land and Water Resources Research and Development Corporation. Canberra, Australia: Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization.
Hanemann, W. M. 1985. “Some issues in continuous and discrete response contingent valuation studies.” Northeastern J. Agric. Econ. 14 (1): 5–13.
Harrison, G. W., M. I. Lau, and M. B. Williams. 2002. “Estimating individual discount rates in Denmark: A field experiment.” Am. Econ. Rev. 92 (5): 1606–1617. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282802762024674.
Hess, S., and J. Rose. 2007. “A latent class approach to modelling heterogeneous information processing strategies in SP studies.” In Proc., Oslo Workshop on Valuation Methods in Transport Planning. Oslo, Norway.
HM Treasury. 2018. The green book: Central government guidance on appraisal and evaluation. London: HM Treasury.
Jianakoplos, N. A., and A. Bernasek. 1998. “Are women more risk averse?” Econ. Inquiry 36 (4): 620–630. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7295.1998.tb01740.x.
Kirby, K. N., and N. N. Maraković. 1996. “Delay-discounting probabilistic rewards: Rates decrease as amounts increase.” Psychonomic Bull. Rev. 3 (1): 100–104. https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03210748.
Kirby, K. N., and M. Santiesteban. 2003. “Concave utility, transaction costs, and risk in measuring discounting of delayed rewards.” J. Exp. Psychol. Learn. Memory Cognit. 29 (1): 66–79. https://doi.org/10.1037/0278-7393.29.1.66.
Knetsch, J. L. 2005. “Gains, losses, and the US-EPA economic analyses guidelines: A hazardous product?” Environ. Resour. Econ. 32 (1): 91–112. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-005-6029-z.
Kovacs, K. F., and D. M. Larson. 2008. “Identifying individual discount rates and valuing public open space with stated-preference models.” Land Econ. 84 (2): 209–224. https://doi.org/10.3368/le.84.2.209.
Lebègue, D. 2005. Révision des taux d’actualisation des investissements publics. Paris: Commissariat Général au Plan.
Lind, R. C. 1990. “Reassessing the government's discount rate policy in light of new theory and data in a world economy with a high degree of capital mobility.” J. Environ. Econ. Manage. 18 (2): S8–S28. https://doi.org/10.1016/0095-0696(90)90035-W.
List, J. A., and C. A. Gallet. 2001. “What experimental protocol influence disparities between actual and hypothetical stated values?” Environ. Resour. Econ. 20 (3): 241–254. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1012791822804.
Loomis, J., T. Brown, B. Lucero, and G. Peterson. 1996. “Improving validity experiments of contingent valuation methods: Results of efforts to reduce the disparity of hypothetical and actual willingness to pay.” Land Econ. 72 (4): 450–461. https://doi.org/10.2307/3146908.
Mitchell, R. C., and R. T. Carson. 1981. An experiment in determining willingness to pay for national water quality improvements. Washington, DC: USEPA.
Murphy, J. J., P. G. Allen, T. H. Stevens, and D. Weatherhead. 2005. “A meta-analysis of hypothetical bias in stated preference valuation.” Environ. Resour. Econ. 30 (3): 313–325. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-004-3332-z.
New Zealand Treasury. 2008. Public sector discount rates for cost benefit analysis. Wellington, New Zealand: New Zealand Treasury.
Nylund, K. L., T. Asparouhov, and B. O. Muthén. 2007. “Deciding on the number of classes in latent class analysis and growth mixture modeling: A Monte Carlo simulation study.” Struct. Equation Model. 14 (4): 535–569. https://doi.org/10.1080/10705510701575396.
Poirier, J. 2012. How to deal with protest bids and preference for the status quo in choice experiments? A cross-nested logit model approach to stated-preference choice data. Lyon, France: Lyon 2 Univ.
Robak, A. 2013. “Identifying and monetising the impacts of potable water supply infrastructure investments in New Zealand using stated and revealed preferences.” Ph.D. dissertation, School of Commerce, Univ. of South Australia.
Savage, S. J., and D. M. Waldman. 2008. “Learning and fatigue during choice experiments: A comparison of online and mail survey modes.” J. Appl. Econom. 23 (3): 351–371. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.984.
Scarborough, H. 2011. “Intergenerational equity and the social discount rate.” Aust. J. Agric. Resour. Econ. 55 (2): 145–158. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8489.2011.00532.x.
Smith, N., G. McDonald, M. Economics, and D. Wilson. 2010. Water demand management: An economic framework to value with case study application. Auckland, New Zealand: Beacon Pathway.
Statistics New Zealand. 2013. “2013 Census meshblock dataset.” http://archive.stats.govt.nz/Census/2013-census/data-tables/meshblock-dataset.aspx#csv.
Stevens, T. H., N. E. DeCoteau, and C. E. Willis. 1997. “Sensitivity of contingent valuation to alternative payment schedules.” Land Econ. 73 (1): 140–148. https://doi.org/10.2307/3147083.
Thaler, R. 1981. “Some empirical evidence on dynamic inconsistency.” Econ. Lett. 8 (3): 201–207. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(81)90067-7.
Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat. 2007. Canadian cost-benefit analysis guide: Regulatory proposals. Ottawa: Treasury Board of Canada Secretariat.
Treasury Board Secretariat. 1998. Benefit cost analysis guide. Ottawa: Treasury Board Secretariat.
Ubfal, D. 2016. “How general are time preferences? Eliciting good-specific discount rates.” J. Dev. Econ. 118: 150–170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2015.07.007.
UK Treasury. 2003. The green book: Appraisal and evaluation in central government. London: TSO.
USEPA. 2016. Guidelines for preparing economic analyses. Washington, DC: USEPA.
Viscusi, W. K., J. Huber, and J. Bell. 2008. “Estimating discount rates for environmental quality from utility-based choice experiments.” J. Risk Uncertainty 37 (2): 199–220. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-008-9045-x.
Water New Zealand. 2010. Water New Zealand national performance review 2008/09 Summary Report. Wellington, New Zealand: Water New Zealand.
Water New Zealand. 2011. Water New Zealand national performance review 2009/10 Summary Report. Wellington, New Zealand: Water New Zealand.
Water New Zealand. 2012. Water New Zealand national performance review 2010/11 Summary Report. Wellington, New Zealand: Water New Zealand.
Wen, C. H., and S. C. Lai. 2010. “Latent class models of international air carrier choice.” Transp. Res. Part E Logist. Transp. Rev. 46 (2): 211–221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2009.08.004.
Yang, C. C. 2006. “Evaluating latent class analysis models in qualitative phenotype identification.” Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 50 (4): 1090–1104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2004.11.004.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 145Issue 5May 2019

History

Received: Mar 8, 2018
Accepted: Oct 10, 2018
Published online: Feb 23, 2019
Published in print: May 1, 2019
Discussion open until: Jul 23, 2019

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Research Manager, Innovation & Future Ready, WSP Canada, 80 Bishop Dr., Fredericton, NB, Canada E3C 1B2 (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9813-3703. Email: [email protected]
Henning Bjornlund, Ph.D.
Research Professor in Water Policy and Management, School of Commerce, Univ. of South Australia, 37-4 North Terrace, Adelaide SA 5001, Australia.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share