Technical Papers
Jul 29, 2013

Stochastic Programming for Improved Multiuse Reservoir Operation in Burkina Faso, West Africa

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 141, Issue 3

Abstract

A network of reservoirs and diversion structures in the Comoé River Basin in southwestern Burkina Faso, West Africa, provides municipal water supply and irrigation for sugarcane agribusiness and downstream farmers. The region is characterized by severe intraseasonal and inter-annual variability of precipitation and reservoir inflows. Reservoir operations are generally conservative, even during relatively wet years. A stochastic decision support tool (DST) is described which translates a scenario-tree of streamflow and precipitation forecasts, conditionally weighted by a tercile seasonal precipitation forecast, into optimal release schedules for the upcoming year. It is shown that the DST coupled with the seasonal precipitation forecasts may provide more efficient and equitable release decisions that benefit the variety of stakeholders in the basin.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The authors appreciate the support of Richard Vogel, Steven Block, and Jesus Sanchez in model development. Funding was primarily provided by a grant from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Sectoral Applications Research Program (NOAA Grant Number NA06OAR4310074) as a continuation of the Climate Forecasting and Agricultural Resources (CFAR) Project. Additional support to the first author was from the John R. Freeman Fund of the Boston Society of Civil Engineers, and the Tufts Institute for the Environment. The authors appreciate the review and editorial comments of the reviewers, the Editor, and the Associate Editor.

References

Ariyawansa, K. A., and Felt, A. (2004). “On a new collection of stochastic linear programming test problems.” INFORMS J. Comput., 16(3), 291–299.
Beale, E. M. (1955). “On minimizing a convex function subject to linear constraints.” J. R. Stat. Soc., 17B, 173–184.
Bellman, R. E. (1957). Dynamic programming, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.
Birge, J., and Louveaux, F. (1997). Introduction to stochastic programming, Springer, New York.
Blaney, H. F., and Criddle, W. D. (1950). “Determining water requirements in irrigated areas from climatological irrigation data.” Technical Paper No. 96, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Soil Conservation Service, Washington, DC.
Brouwer, C., and Heibloem, M. (1986). Irrigation water management no. 3 irrigation water needs, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome.
Brouwer, C., Prins, K., and Heibloem, M. (1989). Irrigation water management no. 4 irrigation scheduling, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome.
Croley, T. E. (2000). Using meteorology probability forecasts in operational hydrology, ASCE Press, Reston, VA.
Dantzig, G. B. (1955). “Linear programming under uncertainty.” Manage. Sci., 1(3–4), 197–206.
Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Hagedorn, R., and Palmer, T. N. (2006). “Development in dynamical seasonal forecasting relevant to agricultural management.” Clim. Res., 33(1), 19–26.
Doorenbos, J., and Pruitt, W. O. (1977). “Guidelines for predicting crop water requirements.”, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, 144.
Escudero, L. F., de la Fuente, J. L., Garcia, C., and Prieto, F. J. (1996). “Hydropower generation management under uncertainty via scenario analysis and parallel computation.” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., 11(2), 683–689.
Fernandez, W., Vogel, R. M., and Sankarasubramanian, A. (2000). “Regional calibration of a watershed model.” Hydrol. Sci. J., 45(5), 689–707.
Golembesky, K., Sankarasubramanian, A., and Devineni, N. (2009). “Improved drought management of falls lake reservoir: Role of multimodel streamflow forecasts in setting up restrictions.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 188–197.
Hamlet, A. F., and Lettenmaier, D. P. (1999). “Columbia River streamflow forecasting based on ENSO and PDO climate signals.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 333–334.
Hargreaves, G. H., and Samni, Z. A. (1982). “Estimating potential evapotranspiration.” J. Irrig. Drain. Div., 108(3), 223–230.
Ingram, K., Roncoli, C., and Kirshen, P. (2002). “Opportunities and constraints for farmers of West Africa to use seasonal precipitation forecasts with burkina faso as a case study.” Agric. Syst., 74(3), 331–349.
Jacobs, J., et al. (1995). “SOCRATES: A system for scheduling hydroelectric generation under uncertainty.” Ann. Oper. Res., 59(1), 99–133.
Kabore, E., and Yaka, P. (2000). Etude et Modelisation Statistique de la Prevision Saisonniere de la Pluie en Afrique de l’Ouest : Cas du Burkina Faso. Atelier Régional Sur La Prévision Saisonnière En Afrique De L’ouest, Centre Africain Pour Les Applications De La Meteorologie Au Developpment (ACMAD) (in French).
Kall, P., and Wallace, S. W. (1994). Stochastic programming, Wiley, New York.
Kirshen, P. H., and Flitcroft, I. (2000). “Use of seasonal forecasting to improve agricultural production in west Africa—An institutional analysis of Burkina Faso.” Nat. Resour. Forum, 24(3), 185–195.
Kracman, D. R., McKinney, D. C., Watkins, D. W., Jr., and Lasdon, L. S. (2006). “Stochastic optimization of highland lakes system in Texas.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 62–70.
Labadie, J. W. (2004). “Optimal operation of multireservoir systems: State-of-the-art review.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 93–111.
Neelin, J. D. (1998). “ENSO theory.” J. Geophys. Res., 103(C7), 14261–14290.
Pereira, M. V. F., and Pinto, L. M. V. G. (1985). “Stochastic optimization of a multireservoir hydroelectric system: A decomposition approach.” Water Resour. Res., 21(6), 779–792.
Rader, M., Kirshen, P., Roncoli, C., Hoogenboom, G., and Ouattara, F. (2009). “A decision support system for resource poor farmers in Burkina Faso.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 323–333.
Roncoli, C. (2006). “Ethnographic and participatory approaches to research on farmers’ responses to climate predictions.” Clim. Res., 33(1), 81–99.
Roncoli, C., et al. (2009a). “From accessing to assessing forecasts: An end-to-end study of participatory forecast dissemination in Burkina Faso (West Africa).” Clim. Change, 92(3–4), 433–460.
Roncoli, C., et al. (2009b). “From management to negotiation: Technical and institutional innovations for integrated water resource management in the Upper Comoé River Basin, Burkina Faso.” Environ. Manage., 40(4), 695–711.
Roncoli, C., Crane, T., and Orlove, B. (2008). “Fielding climate change in cultural anthropology.” Anthropology and climate change: From encounters to action, S. Crate and M. Nuttall, eds., Left Coast Press, Walnut Creek, CA, 87–115.
Roncoli, C., Ingram, K., and Kirshen, P. (2002). “Reading the rains: Local knowledge and rainfall forecasting among farmers of Burkina Faso.” Soc. Nat. Resour., 15(5), 411–430.
Roncoli, C., Ingram, K., Kirshen, P., and Jost, C. (2003). “Meteorological meanings: Understandings of seasonal rainfall forecasts by farmers of Burkina Faso.” Weather, climate, and culture, S. Strauss and B. Orlove, eds., Berg, New York, 181–202.
Roncoli, C., Ingram, K., and Kirshen, P. H. (2001). “The costs and risks of coping with drought: Livelihood impacts and farmers’ responses in Burkina Faso.” Clim. Res., 19(2), 119–132.
Sahinidis, N. V. (2004). “Optimization under uncertainty: State-of-the-art and opportunities.” Comput. Chem. Eng., 28(6–7), 971–983.
Sankarasubramanian, A., Lall, U., Souza Filho, F. D., and Sharma, A. (2009). “Improved water allocation utilizing probabilistic climate forecasts: Short term water contracts in a risk management framework.” Water Resour. Res., 45(11), W11409.
Sivakumar, M. V. K. (2006). “Climate prediction and agriculture: Current status and future challenges.” Clim. Res., 33(1), 3–17.
Thomas, H. A. (1981). “Improved methods for national water assessment.”, Water Resources Council, Washington, DC.
Thomas, H. A., Marin, C. M., Brown, M. J., and Fiering, M. B. (1983). “Methodology for water resource assessment.”, National Technical Information Service, Springfield, VA.
Watkins, D. W., Jr., McKinney, D. C., Lasdon, L. S., Nielsen, S. S., and Martin, Q. W. (2000). “A scenario-based stochastic programming model for water supplies from the highland lakes.” Int. Trans. Oper. Res., 7(3), 211–230.
Watkins, D. W., Jr., Wei, W., and Nykanen, D. K. (2006). “Simple forecast-operations model using hydrologic persistence.” Proc., 7th ASCE/EWRI Operations Management Workshop, ASCE, Reston, VA.
Yeh, W. W.-G. (1985). “Reservoir management and operation models: A state-of-the-art review.” Water Resour. Res., 21(12), 1797–1818.
Yeh, W. W.-G., Becker, L, and Zettlemoyer, R. (1982). “Worth of inflow forecast for reservoir operation.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage., 257–269.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 141Issue 3March 2015

History

Received: Jul 13, 2012
Accepted: Jul 26, 2013
Published online: Jul 27, 2013
Published ahead of production: Jul 29, 2013
Discussion open until: Dec 11, 2014
Published in print: Mar 1, 2015

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Derek Etkin, A.M.ASCE
CDM Smith, Cambridge, MA 02139.
Paul Kirshen, M.ASCE [email protected]
Univ. of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
David Watkins, M.ASCE
Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan Technological Univ., Houghton, MI 49931.
Carla Roncoli
Dept. of Anthropology, Emory Univ., Atlanta, GA 30322.
Moussa Sanon
Institut de L’Environnement et des Recherches Agricoles (INERA), Burkina Faso, West Africa.
Leopold Some
Institut de L’Environnement et des Recherches Agricoles (INERA), Burkina Faso, West Africa.
Youssouf Dembele
Institut de L’Environnement et des Recherches Agricoles (INERA), Burkina Faso, West Africa.
Judith Sanfo
Direction de la Météorologie (DM), Burkina Faso, West Africa.
Jacqueline Zoungrana
La Direction Générale des Ressources en Eau (DGRE), Burkina Faso, West Africa.
Gerrit Hoogenboom
AgWeatherNet, Washington State Univ., Prosser, WA 99350.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share