Risk-Based Design of Dike Elevation Employing Alternative Enumeration
Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 140, Issue 8
Abstract
Floods are the most devastating natural disasters and are occurring with increasing frequency and causing losses worldwide. Structural measures have been used as primary tools to control floods and flood losses. Despite devoting considerable resources to structural measures, increasing trends in flood losses and casualties are observed. It is also realized that probability-based design standards are unable to reduce losses efficiently because population dynamics are not taken into consideration. A risk-based approach was introduced in the 1990s in the field of flood management. So far, the implementation of risk-based flood management is lacking due to its inability to provide a uniform standard approach that could be practiced nationwide. The present research provides a risk-based systematic framework for the design of structural measures. The concept of optimum state (OS) is introduced. This framework is based on costs and benefits using expected annual damages (EAD) for the evaluation of flood risk mitigation. EAD addresses the probabilistic nature of flood events and provides risk distributions in the form of EAD curves and EAD distribution maps. The proposed framework supports considering all probable floods instead of a single design flood.
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Acknowledgments
The contribution of Nathan Burley of the University of California, Davis, to improving the research work is gratefully acknowledged.
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Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 140 • Issue 8 • August 2014
Copyright
© 2014 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Jun 5, 2012
Accepted: May 8, 2013
Published online: Apr 18, 2014
Published in print: Aug 1, 2014
Discussion open until: Sep 18, 2014
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