Technical Papers
Sep 21, 2020

Optimization of Geometric Parameters for Double-Arch Dams through Bayesian Implementation

Publication: Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 146, Issue 12

Abstract

This paper comprises the search of the optimal geometric parameters (area and volume) for double-arch dams. The approach is structured in several consecutive stages. The process begins with a definition of the problem about Bayesian estimators, to define the dam-shape design values. After that, an iterative sequence of equations calculation was developed until reaching a solution that satisfies the a priori established constraints. A modeling of the optimized dam has been carried out to estimate static and dynamic internal stresses. Data were retrieved from inventories of existing dams, whereas to obtain the unknown data, a Gaussian distribution under hypotheses of the Bayes’ theorem has been employed. This theorem converts the a priori distribution, through unknown parameters, into the a posteriori distribution providing expected estimators. The design of the dam shape is strongly based on the experience, therefore by collecting real information about existing dams a more accurate analysis is possible.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Acknowledgments

The first author acknowledges the Servicios Informáticos CPD of the University of Salamanca for the Wolfram Mathematica license and the University of Salamanca for paying the rights (when applicable) to completely download all the references. The study was funded by Support Program for Foreign Students of Doctorate (PAEDEX) and Ibero-American University Postgraduate Association (AUIP) (Reference No. 3.224.803.003.569). This study was also funded by doctoral school Studii Salamantini of University of Salamanca (Reference No. 100015235810).

References

Altarejos-García, L., I. Escuder-Bueno, and A. Morales-Torres. 2015. “Advances on the failure analysis of the dam-foundation interface of concrete dams.” Materials 8 (12): 8255–8278. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma8125442.
Baker, J. W., and A. Gupta. 2016. “Bayesian treatment of induced seismicity in probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis.” Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 106 (3): 860–870. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120150258.
Bartoli, G., M. Betti, L. Facchini, A. M. Marra, and S. Monchetti. 2017. “Bayesian model updating of historic masonry towers through dynamic experimental data.” Proc. Eng. 199 (2017): 1258–1263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2017.09.267.
Basili, M., and C. Nuti. 2011. “A simplified procedure for base sliding evaluation of concrete gravity dams under seismic action.” Int. Scholarly Res. Not. 2011: 1–14. https://doi.org/10.5402/2011/413057.
Beck, J. L., and L. S. Katafygiotis. 1998. “Updating models and their uncertainties. I: Bayesian statistical framework.” J. Eng. Mech. 124 (4): 455–461. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9399(1998)124:4(455).
Campbell, K. W. 1982. “Bayesian analysis of extreme earthquake occurrences. Part I: Probabilistic hazard model.” Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 72 (5): 1689–1705.
CEN (European Committee for Standardization). 2004. Design of concrete structures. Part 1-1: General rules and rules for buildings. BS EN 1992-1-1. Brussels, Belgium: CEN.
CEN (European Committee for Standardization). 2005. Basis of structural design. BS EN 1990:2002+A1. Brussels, Belgium: CEN.
Conte, J. P., R. Astroza, and H. Ebrahimian. 2015. “Bayesian methods for nonlinear system identification of civil structures.” MATEC Web of Conf. 24 (2015): 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/20152403002.
De Falco, A., M. Mori, and G. Sevieri. 2018. “Bayesian updating of concrete gravity dams model parameters using static measurements.” In Proc., 6th European Conf. on Computational Mechanics (ECCM 6) and 7th European Conf. on Computational Fluid Dynamics (ECFD 7). Glasgow, UK: European Conference on Computational Fluid Dynamics. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Giacomo_Sevieri/publication/326572962_BAYESIAN_UPDATING_OF_CONCRETE_GRAVITY_DAMS_MODEL_PARAMETERS_USING_STATIC_MEASUREMENTS/links/5b56fdd7aca27217ffb723b6/BAYESIANUPDATING-OF-CONCRETE-GRAVITY-DAMS-MODEL-PARAMETERS-USINGSTATIC-MEASUREMENTS.pdf.
Delgado-Hernández, D. J., O. Morales-Nápoles, D. De-León-Escobedo, and J. C. Arteaga-Arcos. 2012. “A continuous Bayesian network for earth dams’ risk assessment: An application.” Struct. Infrastruct. Eng. 2012: 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2012.731416.
Durieux, J. H., and B. W. J. van Rensburg. 2016. “Development of a practical methodology for the analysis of gravity dams using the non-linear finite element method.” J. S. Afr. Inst. Civ. Eng. 58 (2): 2–13. https://doi.org/10.17159/2309-8775/2016/v58n2a1.
Furgani, L. 2014. “Verifiche sismiche di dighe in calcestruzzo.” Ph.D. thesis, Dept. of Civil Engineering Sciences, Roma Tre Univ.
García-Mayordomo, J., and J. M. Insua-Arévalo. 2011. “Seismic hazard assessment for the Itoiz dam site (Western Pyrenees, Spain).” Soil Dyn. Earthquake Eng. 31 (7): 1051–1063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2011.03.011.
Gholizadeh, S., and S. M. Seyedpoor. 2011. “Shape optimization of arch dams by metaheuristics and neural networks for frequency constraints.” Sci. Iranica 18 (5): 1020–1027. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scient.2011.08.001.
Giné Garriga, R., A. Pérez Foguet, J. L. Molina, J. Bromley, and C. Sullivan. 2009. “Application of Bayesian networks to assess water poverty.” In Proc., 2nd Int. Conf. on Sustainability Measurement and Modelling (ICSMN 09), 1–24. Barcelona, Spain: Centro Internacional de Métodos Numéricos en Ingeniería. http://hdl.handle.net/2117/7804.
Hamidian, D., and S. M. Seyedpoor. 2010. “Shape optimal design of arch dams using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and improved particle swarm optimization.” Appl. Math. Modell. 34 (6): 1574–1585. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2009.09.001.
Hariri-Ardebili, M. A., L. Furgani, M. Meghella, and V. E. Saouma. 2016a. “A new class of seismic damage and performance indices for arch dams via ETA method.” Eng. Struct. 110 (Mar): 145–160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2015.11.021.
Hariri-Ardebili, M. A., S. M. Seyed-Kolbadi, and M. R. Kianoush. 2016b. “FEM-based parametric analysis of atypical gravity dam considering input excitation mechanism.” Soil Dyn. Earthquake Eng. 84 (May): 22–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soildyn.2016.01.013.
Kaveh, A., and R. Ghaffarian. 2015. “Shape optimization of arch dams with frequency constraints by enhanced charged system search algorithm and neural network.” Int. J. Civ. Eng. 13 (1): 1–10. https://doi.org/10.22068/IJCE.13.1.102.
Li, P., and C. Liang. 2016. “Risk analysis for cascade reservoirs collapse based on Bayesian networks under the combined action of flood and landslide surge.” In Mathematical problems in engineering, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/2903935.
Millán, M. A., Y. L. Young, and J. H. Prévost. 2002. “The effects of reservoir geometry on the seismic response of gravity dams. Part 1: Analytical model.” Earthquake Eng. Struct. Dyn. 36 (11): 1441–1459. https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.688.
Molina, J. L., and S. Zazo. 2018. “Assessment of temporally conditioned runoff fractions in unregulated rivers.” J. Hydrol. Eng. 23 (5): 04018015. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001645.
Molina, J. L., S. Zazo, and A. M. Martín-Casado. 2019. “Causal reasoning: Towards dynamic predictive models for runoff temporal behavior of high dependence rivers.” Water 11 (5): 1–18. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11050877.
Morales-Nápoles, O., D. J. Delgado-Hernández, D. De-León-Escobedo, and J. L. Arteaga-Arcos. 2013. “A continuous Bayesian network for earth dams’ risk assessment: Methodology and quantification.” Struct. Infrastruct. Eng. 10 (5): 589–603. https://doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2012.757789.
NCSE-02 (Comisión Permanente de Normas Sismorresistentes). 2002. Norma de construcción sismorresistente: Parte general y edificación. Madrid, Spain: Ministro de Fomento.
Pearl, J., and S. Russell. 2001. “Bayesian networks.” In Handbook of brain theory and neural networks, 1–7. Cambridge, UK: MIT Press.
Ross, S. M. 2008. Probability and statistics for engineers and scientists. New Delhi, India: Elsevier.
Saber Mahani, A., S. Shojaee, E. Salajegheh, and M. Khatibinia. 2015. “Hybridizing two-stage meta-heuristic optimization model with weighted least squares support vector machine for optimal shape of double-arch dams.” Appl. Soft Comput. 27 (Feb): 205–218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2014.11.014.
SEPREM (Sociedad Española de Presas y Embalses). 2017. “Spanish association of dams and reservoirs.” Accessed September 1, 2018. http://www.seprem.es/index.php.
Sevieri, G., and A. De Falco. 2020. “Dynamic structural health monitoring for concrete gravity dams based on the Bayesian inference.” J. Civ. Struct. Health Monit. 2020 (10): 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13349-020-00380-w.
Seyedpoor, S. M., J. Salajegheh, and E. Salajegheh. 2010. “Shape optimal design of arch dams including dam-water-foundation rock interaction using a grading strategy and approximation concepts.” Appl. Math. Modell. 34 (5): 1149–1163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2009.08.005.
SNCZI (Inventory of Dams and Reservoirs). 2017. “Global dam and reservoir inventory.” Accessed September 1, 2018. http://sig.mapama.es/snczi/visor.html.
Üneş, F., M. Demirci, and Ö. Kişi. 2015. “Prediction of Millers Ferry Dam reservoir level in USA using artificial neural network.” Periodica Polytech. Civ. Eng. 59 (3): 309–318. https://doi.org/10.3311/PPci.7379.
USACE. 1994. Arch Dan design (Manual no. 1110-2-2201). Washington, DC: USACE.
Xiao-Fei, Z., L. Shou-Yi, and C. Yao-Long. 2009. “Optimization of geometric shape of Xiamen arch dam.” Adv. Eng. Software 40 (2): 105–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advengsoft.2008.03.013.
Yazdani, A., and M. Kowsari. 2013. “Bayesian estimation of seismic hazards in Iran.” Sci. Iranica 20 (3): 422–430. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scient.2012.12.032.
Yuen, K. V. 2010. Bayesian methods for structural dynamics and civil engineering. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.
Yuen, K. V., J. L. Beck, and L. S. Katafygiotis. 2006. “Unified probabilistic approach for model updating and damage detection.” J. Appl. Mech. 73 (4): 555–564. https://doi.org/10.1115/1.2150235.
Zacchei, E., and J. L. Molina. 2018a. “Estimation of optimal area and volume for double arch-dams.” MATEC Web Conf. 211: 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201821114002.
Zacchei, E., and J. L. Molina. 2018b. “Shape optimization of double-arch dams by using parameters obtained through Bayesian estimators.” Iran. J. Sci. Technol. Trans. Civ. Eng. 43 (4): 649–662. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40996-018-0223-z.
Zacchei, E., and J. L. Molina. 2020. “Reviewing arch-dams’ building risk reduction through a sustainability-safety management approach.” Sustainability 12 (1): 392. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12010392.
Zacchei, E., J. L. Molina, and R. Brasil. 2017a. “Seismic hazard and structural analysis of the concrete arch dam (Rules Dam on Guadalfeo River).” Proc. Eng. 199 (2017): 1332–1337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2017.09.334.
Zacchei, E., J. L. Molina, and R. Brasil. 2017b. “Seismic hazard assessment of arch dams via dynamic modelling: An application to the Rules Dam in Granada, SE Spain.” Int. J. Civ. Eng. 2017 (17): 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1007%2Fs40999-017-0278-4.
Zhang, N. L., and D. Poole. 1996. “Exploiting causal independence in Bayesian network inference.” J. Artif. Intell. Res. 5 (1996): 301–328. https://doi.org/10.1613/jair.305.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Structural Engineering
Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 146Issue 12December 2020

History

Received: Oct 26, 2019
Accepted: May 29, 2020
Published online: Sep 21, 2020
Published in print: Dec 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Feb 21, 2021

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Enrico Zacchei, Ph.D. [email protected]
Researcher, Itecons–Institute for Research and Technological Development in Construction, Energy, Environment and Sustainability, Pedro Hispano Ave., Coimbra 3030-289, Portugal (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]
Professor, IGA Research Group, Higher Polytechnic School of Ávila, Univ. of Salamanca, 50 Hornos Caleros Ave., Ávila 05003, Salamanca, Spain. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1001-3601. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share