Technical Notes
Oct 18, 2019

Mechanical-Based Approach for Operational Risk Evaluation of Water Mains in Shanghai

Publication: Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Volume 11, Issue 1

Abstract

A mechanical-based approach was applied in this study to evaluate the operational risk of water mains in the Shanghai region. First, a pipeline’s structural performance in terms of stress indicators and structural failure criteria were determined by the mechanical-based approach. Second, a comprehensive parametric study was carried out to evaluate the variation of operational risk of water mains at different periods. Finally, the evolving operational risk of water mains in the Shanghai region was evaluated. The accuracy and applicability of the mechanical-based approach were validated by reviewing recorded accidents. According to the investigation, the mechanical-based approach is an efficient method to evaluate the operational risk of water mains. The operational risk level of water mains grows with increasing exposure due to corrosion of wall thickness. In applications, the mechanical-based approach can be extended as an early warning system for city officials to improve day-to-day operational conditions. Consequently, an appropriate maintenance scheme can be designed to make the rehabilitation of the entire water supply network economical.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The financial support received from the National Key Research and Development Plan (Grant No. 2016YFC0802400), National Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 51808397), and Shanghai Pujiang Program (Grant No. 18PJ1410100) is gratefully appreciated.

References

Ahammed, M., and R. E. Melchers. 1994. “Reliability of underground pipelines subject to corrosion.” J. Transp. Eng. 120 (6): 989–1003. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(1994)120:6(989).
Ahammed, M., and R. E. Melchers. 1995. “Probabilistic analysis of pipelines subjected to pitting corrosion leaks.” Eng. Struct. 17 (2): 74–80. https://doi.org/10.1016/0141-0296(95)92637-N.
Clark, R. M., C. L. Stafford, and J. A. Goodrich. 1982. “Water distribution systems: A spatial and cost evaluation.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage. Div. 108 (3): 243–256.
Fan, J. J. 2009. “Bursting analysis and preventative measure of water supply pipelines.” [In Chinese.] Shanghai Water 25 (1): 21–24.
Goulter, I. C., J. Davidson, and P. Jacobs. 1993. “Predicting water main breakage rate.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage. 119 (4): 419–436. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(1993)119:4(419).
Goulter, I. C., and A. Kazemi. 1988. “Spatial and temporal grouping of water main pipe breakage in Winnipeg.” Can. J. Civ. Eng. 15 (1): 91–97. https://doi.org/10.1139/l88-010.
Hong, H. P. 1997. “Reliability based optimal inspection and maintenance for pipeline under corrosion.” Civ. Eng. Syst. 14 (4): 313–334. https://doi.org/10.1080/02630259708970225.
Ji, J., D. J. Robert, C. Zhang, D. Zhang, and J. Kodikara. 2017. “Probabilistic physical modelling of corroded cast iron pipes for lifetime prediction.” Struct. Saf. 64 (Jan): 62–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2016.09.004.
Kettler, A. J., and I. C. Goulter. 1985. “An analysis of pipe breakage in urban water distribution networks.” Can. J. Civ. Eng. 12 (2): 286–293. https://doi.org/10.1139/l85-030.
Kim, K., J. Seo, J. Hyung, T. Kim, J. Kim, and J. Koo. 2018. “Economic-based approach for predicting optimal water pipe renewal period based on risk and failure rate.” Environ. Eng. Res. 24 (1): 63–73. https://doi.org/10.4491/eer.2017.188.
Kleiner, Y., and B. Rajani. 2001. “Comprehensive review of structural deterioration of water mains: Statistical models.” Urban Water 3 (3): 131–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1462-0758(01)00033-4.
Li, C. Q., and M. Mahmoodian. 2013. “Risk based service life prediction of underground cast iron pipes subjected to corrosion.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 119 (Nov): 102–108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.013.
MOHURD (Ministry of Housing and Urban Rural Development). 2015. China urban construction statistical yearbook 2015. [In Chinese.] Beijing: China Planning Press.
Rajani, B., and Y. Kleiner. 2001. “Comprehensive review of structural deterioration of water mains: Physically based models.” Urban Water 3 (3): 151–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1462-0758(01)00032-2.
Rajani, B., and J. Makar. 2000. “A methodology to estimate remaining service life of grey cast iron water mains.” Can. J. Civ. Eng. 27 (6): 1259–1272. https://doi.org/10.1139/l00-073.
Rajani, B., and S. Tesfamariam. 2007. “Estimating time to failure of cast-iron water mains.” Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng. Water Manage. 160 (2): 83–88. https://doi.org/10.1680/wama.2007.160.2.83.
Rossum, J. R. 1969. “Prediction of pitting rates in ferrous metals from soil parameters.” J. AWWA 61 (6): 305–310. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1551-8833.1969.tb03761.x.
Sadiq, R., B. Rajani, and Y. Kleiner. 2004. “Probabilistic risk analysis of corrosion associated failures in cast iron water mains.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 86 (1): 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2003.12.007.
Seo, J., M. Koo, K. Kim, and J. Koo. 2015. “A study on the probability of failure model based on the safety factor for risk assessment in a water supply network.” Procedia Eng. 119: 206–215. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2015.08.877.
Tesfamariam, S., B. Rajani, and R. Sadiq. 2006. “Possibilistic approach for consideration of uncertainties to estimate structural capacity of ageing cast iron water mains.” Can. J. Civ. Eng. 33 (8): 1050–1064. https://doi.org/10.1139/l06-042.
Walski, T. M. 1987. “Replacement rules for water mains.” J. AWWA 79 (11): 33–37. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1551-8833.1987.tb02938.x.
Walski, T. M., and A. Pelliccia. 1982. “Economic analysis of water main breaks.” J. AWWA 74 (3): 140–147. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1551-8833.1982.tb04874.x.
Wilson, D., Y. Filion, and I. Moore. 2014. “Mechanistic, probabilistic model to estimate the factor of safety of large-diameter cast iron water mains: Sensitivity analysis.” Procedia Eng. 89: 1390–1396. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2014.11.464.
Wilson, D., Y. Filion, and I. Moore. 2015. “Identifying factors that influence the factor of safety and probability of failure of large diameter cast iron water mains with a mechanistic, stochastic model: A case study in the City of Hamilton.” Procedia Eng. 119: 130–138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2015.08.863.
Zhu, H. Y. 2017. “Research on resilience of urban municipal pipeline for system safety and operation.” [In Chinese.] Master’s thesis, College of Civil Engineering, Tongji Univ.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Volume 11Issue 1February 2020

History

Received: Sep 8, 2018
Accepted: May 7, 2019
Published online: Oct 18, 2019
Published in print: Feb 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Mar 18, 2020

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Chao-Lie Ning [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Shanghai Institute of Disaster Prevention and Relief, Tongji Univ., Siping Rd., Shanghai 200092, China. Email: [email protected]
Professor, Shanghai Institute of Disaster Prevention and Relief, Tongji Univ., Siping Rd., Shanghai 200092, China. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2997-826X. Email: [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Shanghai Institute of Disaster Prevention and Relief, Tongji Univ., Siping Rd., Shanghai 200092, China (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share