Developing a Probabilistic Multicriteria Method for River Levee Performance Evaluation in Support of Diagnostic Analysis
Publication: Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 22, Issue 3
Abstract
France comprises 10,000 km of river levees. Those levees show highly variable performances caused by the various types of design and construction, age, environment, loadings, and maintenance and repair works performed on them. Available information on levees also varies in quality and most often proves to be incomplete, uncertain, or imprecise. Based on this, a method for providing a quantitative evaluation of levee performance is suggested. Such a method, based on a multicriteria decision-making model and subjective probabilities, takes all available pieces of information into account—design, construction, visual inspections, and geophysical and geotechnical investigations—and reckons them with the level of uncertainty of the available data. This method provides decision-making support in identifying the least efficient sections and setting up investigation and maintenance programs.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
Bianchini, A. (2014). “Pavement maintenance planning at the network level with principal component analysis.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 04013013.
Carvajal, C., Peyras, L., Arnaud, P., Boissier, D., and Royet, P. (2009a). “Probabilistic modelling of flood water level for dam reservoirs.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 223–232.
Carvajal, C., Peyras, L., Bacconnet, C., and Becue, J.-P. (2009). “Probability modelling of shear strength parameters of RCC gravity dams for reliability analysis of structural safety.” Eur. J. Environ. Civ. Eng., 3(1), 91–119.
Cascante, G., Najjaran, H., and Crespi, P. (2008). “Novel methodology for nondestructive evaluation of brick walls: Fuzzy logic analysis of MASW tests.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 117–128.
Davis-McDaniel, C., Chowdhury, M., Pang, W., and Dey, K. (2013). “Fault-tree model for risk assessment of bridge failure: Case study for segmental box girder bridges.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 326–334.
de Finetti, B. (1937). “La prévision: ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives.” Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincare, 7, 1–68.
Deniaud, Y., van Hemert, H., McVicker, J., Bernard, A., Beullac, B., and Tourment, R. (2013). “Functions, forms and failure of levees.” Chapter 3, The international levee handbook, CIRIA, London, 63–192.
Gauthier, E. (1992). “Recherches sur la morphologie et la dynamique fluviales dans le bassin du Buëch (Alpes du sud).” Rapport de thèse, Université Paris X, Nanterre, Paris, 439.
Goossens, L. H. J., Cooke, R. M. D., Hale, A. R., and Rodic-Wiersma, L. J. (2008). “Fifteen years of expert judgement at TUDelft.” Saf. Sci., 46(2), 234–244.
Hong, F., and Prozzi, J. (2006). “Estimation of pavement performance deterioration using Bayesian approach.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 77–86.
Jáuregui, D., White, K., Pate, J., and Woodward, C. (2005). “Documentation of bridge inspection projects using virtual reality approach.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 172–179.
Le Gauffre, P., Joannis, C., Vasconcelos, E., Breysse, D., Gibello, C., and Desmulliez, J. J. (2007). “Performance indicators and multi-criteria decision support for sewer asset management.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 105–114.
Lemaire, M., Chateauneuf, A., and Mitteau, J.-C. (2005). Fiabilité des structures. Couplage mécano-fiabiliste statique, Hermès-science, Lavoisier, Cachan, France, 501.
Mériaux, P., Royet, P., and Folton, C. (2001). Surveillance, entretien et diagnostic des digues de protection contre les inondations, Cemagref, Paris.
O’Hagan, A., et al. (2006). Uncertain judgments: Eliciting experts’ probabilities, Wiley, West Sussex, U.K.
Peyras, L., Merckle, S., Royet, P., Bacconnet, C., and Ducroux, A. (2010). “Study on a semi-probabilistic method for embankment hydraulic works application to sliding mechanism.” Eur. J. Environ. Civ. Eng., 14(5), 669–691.
Saltelli, A., Chan, K., and Scott, M. (2000). Sensitivity analysis, Wiley, New York.
Schlosser, J., and Paredis, C. (2007). “Managing multiple sources of epistemic uncertainty in engineering decision making.”, SAE.
Serre, D., Peyras, L., Curt, C., Boissier, D., and Diab, Y. (2007). “Evaluation des ouvrages hydrauliques de génie civil.” Can. Geotech. J., 44(11), 1298–1313.
Serre, D., Peyras, L., Tourment, R., and Diab, Y. (2008). “Levee performance assessment methods integrated in a GIS to support planning maintenance actions.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 201–213.
Shafer, G. (1976). A mathematical theory of evidence, Princeton University Press, Chichester, West Sussex, U.K., 297.
Sharp, M., et al. (2013). The international levee handbook, CIRIA, London.
Tserng, H., and Chung, C. (2007). “Health assessment and maintenance strategy for bridge management systems: Lessons learned in Taiwan.” J. Infrastruct. Syst., 235–246.
Van Der Meij, R. ( 2013). “Combining information for urban levee assessment.”.
Vuillet, M., Peyras, L., Carvajal, C., Serre, D., and Diab, Y. (2013). “Levees performance evaluation based on subjective probability.” Eur. J. Environ. Civ. Eng., 17(5), 329–349.
Vuillet, M., Peyras, L., Serre, D., and Diab, Y. (2012). “Decision making method for assessing performance of large levee alignment.” J. Decis. Syst., 21(2), 137–160.
Zadeh, L. (1978). “Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility.” Fuzzy Sets Syst., 1(1), 3–28.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 22 • Issue 3 • September 2016
Copyright
© 2016 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Mar 31, 2014
Accepted: Oct 19, 2015
Published online: Feb 17, 2016
Discussion open until: Jul 17, 2016
Published in print: Sep 1, 2016
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.