Technical Papers
Apr 4, 2013

Application of Dormant Reliability Analysis to Spillways

Publication: Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 20, Issue 1

Abstract

Dams are essential infrastructures for water supply, flood control, energy production, and irrigation. A critical component for the safety of a dam is the spillway system which, by controlling releases, prevents overtopping of the dam. This in turn reduces impacts associated with excessive downstream flows and upstream water levels on infrastructures, the population, and the environment. This paper addresses reliability issues related to emergency spillways and specifically the estimation of their reliability level after prolonged periods of dormancy. During dormancy, spillway components are exposed to the environment and sustain cumulative damage that may trigger latent failures or failures on demand. Regular inspections and tests are used to detect and remediate latent failures and to assess the level of deterioration of components. The purpose of this study is to develop procedures to account for dormancy in the reliability analysis of spillways. It also demonstrates how these procedures can be used to evaluate the impact of the frequency of inspections and tests on the overall reliability of the spillways. This paper introduces measure of performance, dormant availability analysis, and dormant availability analysis via integrity assessment as methods to illustrate the unavailability or probability of failure on demand of a spillway system as a function of its dormancy period. This information can be used to determine the optimum frequency of inspection and tests taking into account the safety of the structure as well as the costs associated with inspection and testing.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

This research was funded from a Discovery Grant from the National Research Council of Canada and through contributions from the USACE–CERL and Hydro-Québec. The authors would also like to acknowledge the constructive comments from the reviewers.

References

Australian National Committee on Large Dams (ANCOLD). (2003). “Guidelines on risk assessment.” Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Barker, M., Vrivian, B., and Bowles, D. (2006). “Reliability assessment for a spillway gate upgrade design in Queensland, Australia.” USSD Conf. Proc., Denver CO.
Berntsson, S. (2001). “Dam safety and risk management, case study: Risk analysis of spillway gate function.” Center for Safety Research, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.
Bivins, W. S. (1981). “Risk analysis application in dam safety.” Proc., Int. ANS/ENS Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Risk Assessment, American Nuclear Society, La Grange Park, IL.
Bowles, D. S. (2004). “ALARP evaluation: Using cost effectiveness and disproportionality to justify risk reduction.” ANCOLD Bull., 127, 89–106.
Chouinard, L., Foltz, S., Robichaud, J., and Wittebolle, R. (2003). “Condition assessment methodology for spillways.” U.S. Army Construction Engineering Laboratory, Champaign, IL.
DEFRA. (2002). “Flood and reservoir safety integration.” Rep., Dept. for Environment, Flood and Rural Affairs, Surrey, U.K.
Ebeling, C. E. (1997). An introduction to reliability and maintainability engineering, McGraw Hill, New York.
Estes, A., Foltz, S., and McKay, D. (2005).“Estimating risk from spillway gate systems on dams using condition assessment data.” U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Washington, DC.
Green, A., and Bourne, A. (1972). Reliability technology, Wiley-Interscience, London.
International Commission on Large Dams (ICOLD). (1995). “Dam failure statistical analysis.” Bulletin 99, Paris.
Janssen, J. P. F. M., et al. (1994). “The design and construction of the new waterway storm surge barrier in the Netherlands.” ICOLD, 16th Congress, International Commission on Large Dams, Paris.
Lewin, J., Ballard, G., and Bowles, D. (2003). “Spillway gate reliability in the context of overall dam failure risk.” USSD Annual Lecture, USSD, Denver CO.
National Research Council (NRC). (1988). “Committee on techniques for estimating probabilities of extreme floods.” Estimating probabilities of extreme floods, methods and recommended research, National Academy, Washington, DC.
Putcha, C., and Patev, R. (2000). “Investigation of risk assessment methodology for dam gates and associated operating equipment.” U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Washington, DC.
Putcha, C., and Patev, R. (2005). “Risk analysis of dam gates and associated operating equipment using fault tree analysis.” U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Washington, DC.
Schultz, R. (2009). “Tool to determine characteristic life and predict probability of failure of mechanical and electrical components for dams.” U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Washington, DC.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). (2006). “Reliability analysis of navigation lock and dam mechanical and electrical equipment.” Washington, DC.
U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. (2011). “Interim dam safety public protection guidelines, a risk framework to support dam safety decision-making.” Denver, CO.
VonLoh, J. (1981). “Reliability growth and its applications to dormant reliability.” U.S. Air Force, Washington, DC.
Walsh, J. T. (1996). “System reliability for dormant and semi-dormant operation of complex systems.” TRW strategic systems division, San Bernardino, CA.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 20Issue 1March 2014

History

Received: Feb 28, 2012
Accepted: Mar 28, 2013
Published online: Apr 4, 2013
Published in print: Mar 1, 2014
Discussion open until: May 12, 2014

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Maryam Kalantarnia [email protected]
Graduate Student, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada H3A 2K6 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Luc Chouinard
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics, McGill Univ., Montreal, QC, Canada H3A 2K6.
Stuart Foltz
Research Engineer, U.S. Army Construction Engineering Research Laboratory, 2902 Newmark Dr., Champaign, IL 61822.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share