Research and Development Priorities for Energy Islanding of Military and Industrial Installations
Publication: Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 19, Issue 3
Abstract
Research and development for energy systems (e.g., smart and secure microgrids for industrial and military installations and solar cogeneration technologies) must account for deep uncertainties and emergent conditions including economic, regulatory, technological, mission, demographic, and environmental or ecological, among others. Deep uncertainties involve structural and qualitative perspectives or trends that change the game. Recent literature has identified emergent conditions and deep uncertainties that are most influential to decision criteria priorities among existing energy assets and systems. This paper introduces a practical method to help prioritize strategic energy research and development investments and minimize opportunity loss or program risk for investments with a long time horizon. There are a number of interesting observations that can be perceived from this method including robustness, scenario influence, risk, and opportunity. The method is recommended to help achieve consensus of program managers, installation commanders, energy managers, technology vendors, urban planners, and customers and tenants. A quantitative demonstration is provided that addresses five scenarios of deep uncertainty, ten performance criteria, and six investment portfolios.
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Acknowledgments
The following individuals contributed to the effort: Tarek Abdallah [Engineer Research Development Center (ERDC)/Construction Engineering Research Laboratory (CERL)/United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE)], Melanie Johnson (ERDC/CERL), Chris W. Karvetski, Ph.D. (George Mason University), Renae D. Ditmer, Ph.D. (STRATCON LLC), Kevin Brady [Lead, Ft. Belvoir Night Vision and Electronic Sensors Directorate (NVESD) Energy Working Group], Bill Elliott (Ft. Belvoir NVESD Energy Working Group), and Randy Roy (Lars Energy and Ft. Belvoir NVESD Energy Working Group). This effort is supported by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act through ERDC/USACE contract W9132T-10-C-0019. Permission was granted by the Chief of Engineers to publish this information. The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the individual authors and not those of the U.S. Army or other sponsor agencies.
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 19 • Issue 3 • September 2013
Pages: 297 - 305
Copyright
© 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Jan 16, 2012
Accepted: Oct 10, 2012
Published online: Oct 12, 2012
Discussion open until: Mar 12, 2013
Published in print: Sep 1, 2013
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