Technical Papers
Aug 15, 2012

New Approach for the Assessment of High-Speed Rail Projects and How to Contain Cost Overruns: Lessons from the EVA-TREN Project

Publication: Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 18, Issue 4

Abstract

Cost overruns occur in the majority of transport infrastructure projects in the European Union. An average project is 15–20% over budget, and one in four is above that. Deviations in cost, duration, and environmental impact are especially problematic because such investments add up to billions of Euros and have significant impacts. Based on a recent evaluation of investment for transport and energy networks project in Europe (EVA-TREN) and critical review of the state of the art, this contribution investigates the causes of deviation between project appraisals and real outcomes. Projects with partial or narrow-framed assessments are found to be more likely to face changes in design and technical and/or in environmental specifications and, therefore, delays in implementation. This, in turn, leads to significant cost overruns. The analysis indicates that effective and efficient implementation requires a level of project maturity that essentially hinges on the robustness of the scientific expertise that underlies project appraisal and on the thoroughness of stakeholders’ involvement in the decision process. On this basis, the paper proposes a new framework for organizing transport infrastructure assessments and for monitoring the implementation process.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

Banister, D. (2008). “The sustainable mobility paradigm.” Transp. Policy, 15(2), 73–80.
Chevroulet, T. (2008). “EVA-TREN improved decision-aid methods and tools.” EVA-TREN Experts’ Workshop, Summary and Conclusions, Deliverable 4.1, 〈http://infoscience.epfl.ch/record/125122?ln=en〉 (Feb. 7, 2012).
Ecorys Transport. (2005). “Ex post evaluation of a sample of projects co-financed by the Cohesion Fund (1993–2002).” Final Rep. for European Commission, Ecorys, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
European Commission (EC). (1995). “Council Regulation EC No 2236/95 of 18 September 1995 laying down general rules for the granting of Community financial aid in the field of trans-European networks.” Off. J. Eur. Union, L228, 1–7.
European Commission (EC). (2001). “Directive 2001/42/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 June 2001 on the assessment of the effects of certain plans and programmes on the environment.” Off. J. Eur. Union, L197, 30–37.
European Commission (EC). (2003). “Directive 2003/35/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 May 2003 providing for public participation in respect of the drawing up of certain plans and programmes relating to the environment and amending with regard to public participation and access to justice Council Directives 85/337/EEC and 96/61/EC.” Off. J. Eur. Union, L156, 1–21.
European Commission (EC). (2011). “Directive 2011/92/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 December 2011 on the assessment of the effects of certain public and private projects on the environment.” Off. J. Eur. Union, L26(55), 1–21.
European Court of Auditors. (2010)., Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
EVA-TREN. (2008). “Improved decision-aid methods and tools to support evaluation of investment for transport and energy networks in Europe.” EU 6th Framework Programme, Deliverable 6, Final Rep., TRT, Milan, Italy.
Flyvbjerg, B. (2006). “From Nobel Prize to project management: Getting risks right.” Project Manage. J., 37, 5–15.
Flyvbjerg, B. (2007). “Policy and planning for large infrastructure projects: Problems, causes, cures.” Environ. Plann. B Plann. Des., 34(4), 578–597.
Flyvbjerg, B. (2009). “Survival of the unfittest: Why the worst infrastructure gets built—and what we can do about it.” Oxford Rev. Econ. Policy, 25(3), 344–367.
Giorgi, L., Klautzer, L., Rahman, A., and Schmidt, M., eds. (2005). “Towards a European transport policy information system.” NVL Seminare, Nakladatelství a vydavatelství litomyšlského semináře, Prague.
Japan Research Institute (JRI). (2000). Guidelines for the evaluation of road investment projects, Study Committee on Evaluation of Road Investment, Japan.
Marsden, G., and Stead, D. (2011). “Policy transfer and learning in the field of transport: A review of concepts and evidence.” Transp. Policy, 18(3), 492–500.
Matthews, B., Meunier, D., and Quinet, E. (2008). “An assessment of recent rail investment projects: The effects of imperfect competition.” Paper presented at the Third International Conf. on Funding Transportation Infrastructure, Paris.
Pearman, A., Mackie, P., and Nellthorp, J. (2003). Transport projects, programmes and policies, Aldershot, Ashgate, London.
Peters, D. (2010). “Digging through the heart of reunified Berlin: Unbundling the decision-making process for the Tiergarten-Tunnel mega project.” Eur. J. Transp. Infrastruct., 10(1), 89–102.
Priemus, H. (2007a). “Decision-making on large infrastructure projects: The role of the Dutch Parliament.” Transp. Plann. Technol., 30(1), 71–93.
Priemus, H. (2007b). “Development and design of large infrastructure projects: Disregarded alternatives and issues of spatial planning.” Environ. Plann. B, 34(4), 626–644.
Salling, K. B., and Leleur, S. (2012). “Modelling of transport project uncertainties: Feasibility risk assessment and scenario analysis.” Eur. J. Transp. Infrastruct., 12(1), 21–38.
Schade, W. et al. (2006)., European Commission—DG TREN, Karlsruhe, Germany.
Scholten, B. (2006). “Ex-post vs. ex-ante, overlooked issues, Ecotrans experience.” Proc., EVA-TREN’s 1st Experts’ Workshop on Transport and Energy Infrastructure Appraisal in Europe: Theoretical Basis in Perspective, Synthesis, Chevroulet, T.ed., EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland, 19–25.
Trans-European Transport Network Executive Agency (TEN-T EA). (2010). Mid-term review of the 2007–2013 TEN-T multi-annual work programme project portfolio, European Commission, Brussels.
van Wee, B. (2007). “Large infrastructure projects: A review of the quality of demand forecast and cost estimation.” Environ. Plann. B: Plann. Des., 34(4), 611–625.
Vickerman, R. (2007). “Cost-benefit analysis and large scale infrastructure projects: State of the art and challenges.” Environ. Plann. B, 34(4), 598–610.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 18Issue 4December 2012
Pages: 297 - 304

History

Received: Mar 31, 2011
Accepted: Jul 24, 2012
Published online: Aug 15, 2012
Published in print: Dec 1, 2012

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Tristan Chevroulet [email protected]
Iteral Management Société Anonyme, Rue Voltaire 1, CH-1006 Lausanne, Switzerland (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Liana Giorgi [email protected]
Independent Consultant, Salesianergasse 25/1/6A-1030 Vienna, Austria. E-mail: [email protected]
Christian Reynaud [email protected]
Nestear, 12, avenue Raspail F-94250 Gentilly, France. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share