Deterioration Forecasting Model with Multistage Weibull Hazard Functions
Publication: Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 16, Issue 4
Abstract
In this paper, a time-dependent deterioration forecasting model is presented. In the model the deterioration process is described by transition probabilities, which are conditional upon actual in-service duration. The model is formulated by the multistage Weibull hazard model defined by using multiple Weibull hazard functions. The model can be estimated based upon inspection data that are obtained at discrete points in time. The applicability of the model and the estimation methodology presented in this paper are investigated against an empirical data set of highway utilities in the real world.
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 16 • Issue 4 • December 2010
Pages: 282 - 291
Copyright
© 2010 ASCE.
History
Received: Jan 28, 2010
Accepted: Apr 28, 2010
Published online: May 5, 2010
Published in print: Dec 2010
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