Technical Papers
Aug 18, 2012

Uncertainty Quantification for Stream Depletion Tests

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 18, Issue 12

Abstract

This study considers the problem of quantifying stream depletion from pumping test data. Bayesian inference is used to quantify the posterior uncertainty of parameters for a simple vertically heterogeneous aquifer model, in which the pumped semiconfined aquifer is separated by an aquiclude from a phreatic aquifer hydraulically connected to a stream. This study investigates the effects of using different data sets and shows that a single pumping test is generally not sufficient to determine stream depletion within reasonable limits. However, uncertainty quantification conducted within a Bayesian context reveals that by judicious design of aquifer tests, stream depletion can be accurately determined from data.

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Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 18Issue 12December 2013
Pages: 1581 - 1590

History

Received: Sep 13, 2011
Accepted: Aug 7, 2012
Published online: Aug 18, 2012
Discussion open until: Jan 18, 2013
Published in print: Dec 1, 2013

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Authors

Affiliations

Tiangang Cui [email protected]
Postdoctoral Associate, Dept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02139. E-mail: [email protected]
Nicholas Dudley Ward [email protected]
Director, Otago Computational Modelling Group Ltd., P.O. Box 2, Kurow 9446, New Zealand (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]

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