Long-Term Performance of a Flood Alert System and Upgrade to FAS3: A Houston, Texas, Case Study
Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 16, Issue 10
Abstract
The second-generation radar-based flood alert system (FAS2) has been operational for more than a decade, and provides accurate advanced warning to the Texas Medical Center (TMC) in the Brays Bayou watershed of southwest Houston. Over the past nine years, FAS has generally predicted floods with average differences of 0.88 h in time of peak and 3.6% in peak flows and a value of 0.90 for the overall performance. After years of urbanization in the watershed, the hydrologic model as a core engine in the system has been updated with recent routing information and loss rate factors to provide more reliable prediction information. Recently, the system has been upgraded into its third generation (FAS3) by incorporating a hydraulic prediction tool—FloodPlain Map Library (FPML)—so that mapped warning information in geographic information systems (GIS) and Google Maps can be provided to emergency personnel in real time. In addition to briefly reviewing the theory and design of the flood warning system for Brays Bayou, this paper focuses on recent improvements with a summary of the flood alert system’s performance over the past years, including three recent major events: Hurricane Ike on September 13, 2008, a smaller event on April 27–28, 2009, and a complex event on July 2, 2010.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by the Texas Medical Center and the Severe Storm Prediction, Education, and Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED) Center in Houston Texas. In particular, the authors would like to express their gratitude to Dr. Richard E. Wainerdi and his personnel at the Texas Medical Center for the great support in the past. The authors would also like to thank all the reviewers and the section and associate editors of the Journal for their valuable comments and important advice on improving the quality.
References
Arduino, G., Reggiani, P., and Todini, E. (2005). “Recent advances in flood forecasting and flood risk assessment.” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 9(4), 280–284.
Bedient, P. B., Hoblit, B. C., Gladwell, D. C., and Vieux, B. E. (2000). “NEXRAD radar for flood prediction in Houston.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 5(3), 269–277.
Bedient, P. B., Holder, A., Benavides, J. A., and Vieux, B. E. (2003). “Radar-based flood warning system applied to Tropical Storm Allison.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 8(6), 308–318.
Bedient, P. B., Huber, W. C., and Vieux, B. E. (2008). Hydrology and floodplain analysis, 4th Ed., Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
Carpenter, T. M., Georgakakos, K. P., and Sperfslagea, J. A. (2001). “On the parametric and NEXRAD-radar sensitivities of a distributed hydrologic model suitable for operational use.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam), 253(1), 169–193.
Dolcine, L., Andrieu, H., Sempere-Torres, D., and Creutin, D. (2001). “Flash flood forecasting with coupled precipitation model in mountainous Mediterranean basin.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 6(1), 1–10.
Fang, Z., Bedient, B. P., Benavides, J., and Zimmer, L. A. (2008). “Enhanced radar-based flood alert system and Floodplain Map Library.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 13(10), 926–938.
FEMA and Harris County Flood Control District. (2009). “Tropical Storm Allison recovery project.” 〈http://www.tsarp.org〉 (Jul. 8, 2011).
Gupta, P. K., Singh, R., Raghuwanshi, N. S., Dutta, S., and Panigraphy, S. (2008). “Effect of remotely sensed data on the performance of a distributed hydrological model: Case study.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 13(10), 939–947.
Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC). (1998). HEC-1, flood hydrograph package, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Davis, CA.
Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC). (2002). HEC-RAS, river analysis system, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Davis, CA.
Kalin, L., and Hantush, M. M. (2006). “Hydrologic modeling of an eastern Pennsylvania watershed with NEXRAD and rain gauge data.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 11(6), 555–569.
Maidment, D. (2002). Arc Hydro: GIS for water resources, Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc. (ESRI), Redlands, CA.
Maidment, D., and Djokic, D. (2000). Hydrologic and hydraulic modeling support with geographic information systems, Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc. (ESRI), Redlands, CA, 216.
Merwade, V., Olivera, F., Arabi, M., and Edleman, S. (2008). “Uncertainty in flood inundation mapping: Current issues and future directions.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 13(7), 608–620.
Milly, P. C. D., Wetherald, R. T., Dunne, K. A., and Delworth, T. L. (2002). “Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate.” Nature (London), 415(6871), 514–517.
Moore, R. J., Bell, V. A., and Jones, D. (2005). “Forecasting for flood warning.” C. R. Geosci, 337(1–2), 203–217.
Mukhopadhyay, B., Nouri, F., Penland, C., and Dutta, A. (2009). “Model flood alert system: Development and application for the Theater District within downtown Houston, Tex.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 14(5), 475–489.
Neary, V. S., Habib, E., and Fleming, M. (2004). “Hydrologic modeling with NEXRAD precipitation in middle Tennessee.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 9(5), 339–349.
Noto, L. V., and La Loggia, G. (2007). “Derivation of a distributed unit hydrograph integrating GIS and remote sensing.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 12(6), 639–650.
Ogden, F. L., Sharif, H. O., Senarath, S. U. S., Smith, J. A., and Baeck, M. L. (2000). “Hydrologic analysis of the Fort Collins, Colorado, flash flood of 1997.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam), 228(1), 82–100.
Palmer, T. N., and Räisänen, J. (2002). “Quantifying the risk of extreme seasonal precipitation events in changing climate.” Nature (London), 415(6871), 512–514.
Serafin, R. J., and Wilson, J. W. (2000). “Operational weather radar in the United States: Progress and opportunity.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 81(3), 501–518.
Slutzman, J. E., and Smith, J. A. (2006). “Effects of flood control structures on flood response for Hurricane Floyd in the Brandywine Creek watershed, Pennsylvania.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 11(5), 432–441.
Van Kalken, T., Skotner, C., and Mulholland, M. (2005). “Application of an open, GIS based on flood forecast system to the Waikato River, New Zealand.” Proc. Int. Conf. on Innovation, Advances and Implementation of Flood Forecasting Technology, P. Balabanis, D. Lumbroso, and P. Samuels, eds., DHI Water and Environment, Tromso, Norway.
Vieux, B. E. (2004). Distributed hydrologic modeling using GIS, 2nd Ed., Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, Netherlands, 289.
Vieux, B. E., and Bedient, P. B. (1998). “Estimation of rainfall for flood prediction from WSR-88D reflectivity: A case study, 17–18 October, 1994.” Weather Forecast., 13(2), 407–415.
Vieux, B. E., and Bedient, P. B. (2004). “Assessing urban hydrologic prediction accuracy through event reconstruction.” J. Hydrol. (Amsterdam), 299(3–4), 217–236.
Vieux, B. E., Park, J. H., and Kang, B. (2009). “Distributed hydrologic prediction: Sensitivity to accuracy of initial soil moisture conditions and radar rainfall input.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 14(7), 671–689.
Werner, M. (2001). “Impact of grid size in GIS based flood extent mapping using a 1D flood model.” Phys. Chem. Earth , 26(7–8), 517–522.
Werner, M., van Dijk, M. J., and Schellekens, J. (2004). “DELFT-FEWS: An open shell flood forecasting system.” Proc. 6th Int. Conf. on Hydroinformatics, S. Y. Liong and K. K. Phoon, eds., World Scientific Publishing Company, Singapore, 1205–1212.
Werner, M., and Whitfield, D. (2007). “On model integration in operational flood forecasting.” Hydrol. Processes, 21(11), 1519–1521.
Whiteaker, T. L., Robayo, O., Maidment, D. R., and Obenour, D. (2006). “From a NEXRAD rainfall map to a flood inundation map.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 11(1), 37–45.
Yates, D., Warner, T. T., Brandes, E. A., Leavesley, G. H., Sun, J., and Mueller, C. K. (2001). “Evaluation of flash-flood discharge forecasts in complex terrain using precipitation.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 6(4), 265–274.
Young, P. C. (2003). “Advances in real-time flood forecasting.” Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A, 360(1796), 1433–1450.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2011 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Nov 6, 2009
Accepted: Jan 12, 2011
Published online: Jan 14, 2011
Published in print: Oct 1, 2011
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.