Technical Papers
May 10, 2017

Probabilistic Analyses of Slopes and Footings with Spatially Variable Soils Considering Cross-Correlation and Conditioned Random Field

Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 143, Issue 9

Abstract

This paper presents probabilistic analyses of slopes and strip footings, with spatially variable soil modeled by the random field theory. Random fields are simulated using Latin hypercube sampling with dependence (LHSD), which is a stratified sampling technique that preserves the spatial autocorrelation characteristics. Latin hypercube sampling with dependence is coupled with polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) to approximate the probability density function of model response. The LHSD-PCE approach is applied to probabilistic slope analyses for soils with cross-correlated shear strength parameters, and is shown to be more robust than raw Monte Carlo simulations, even with much smaller numbers of model simulations. The approach is then applied to strip footing analyses with conditioned random fields of Young’s modulus and shear strength parameters, to quantify the reductions in settlement uncertainty when soil samples are available at different depths underneath the footing. The most influential sampling depth is found to vary between 0.25 and 1 times the footing width, depending on the strength mobilization and spatial correlation features. Design charts are established with practical guidelines for quick estimations of uncertainty in footing settlements.

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Acknowledgments

The work presented in this paper is financially supported by the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (Project No. 25201214).

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Go to Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 143Issue 9September 2017

History

Received: Jun 12, 2016
Accepted: Feb 1, 2017
Published online: May 10, 2017
Published in print: Sep 1, 2017
Discussion open until: Oct 10, 2017

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Authors

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M. K. Lo
Ph.D. Candidate, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic Univ., Hung Hom, Hong Kong.
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic Univ., Hung Hom, Hong Kong (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5995-4218. E-mail: [email protected]

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