Evaluating Highway Construction Projects’ Sustainability Using a Multicriteria Group Decision-Making Model Based on Bootstrap Simulation
Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 144, Issue 9
Abstract
Sustainable construction has recently been acknowledged as a crucial issue in the construction industry. Developing and using multicriteria evaluation models to prioritize alternative construction projects based on sustainability indicators plays a major role in promoting sustainable construction. Evaluating construction projects according to sustainable development principles is a complicated problem, because the evaluation includes various indicators that have complex interdependences. Moreover, sufficient data is not normally available for the evaluation of construction projects from a sustainability point of view. To overcome these problems, this paper introduces a novel multicriteria group decision-making (MCGDM) model based on bootstrap simulation. The proposed model uses nonparametric bootstrap simulation to address aggregating inadequate experts’ opinions and employs decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) and fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) to provide the relative importance of evaluation criteria. Furthermore, based on the positive-ideal, negative-ideal, and closeness coefficient in interval intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy sets, a novel ranking score is proposed to compute the sustainability level of the construction projects. The proposed model is employed in a case study for evaluating and prioritizing highway construction projects by considering sustainability indicators. The main contribution of this paper is the development of a novel and applicable mathematical model to assist decision makers (DMs) in evaluating various alternative projects and making the optimum decision based on an integrated consideration of economic, environmental, and social sustainability indicators.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Data Availability Statement
Data generated or analyzed during the study is available from the corresponding author by request. Information about the Journal’s data sharing policy can be found here: http://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001263.
References
Akadiri, P. O., P. O. Olomolaiye, and E. A. Chinyio. 2013. “Multi-criteria evaluation model for the selection of sustainable materials for building projects.” Autom. Constr. 30: 113–125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2012.10.004.
Akbarnezhad, A., K. C. G. Ong, and L. R. Chandra. 2014. “Economic and environmental assessment of deconstruction strategies using building information modeling.” Autom. Constr. 37: 131–144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2013.10.017.
Alborzi, S., A. Aminian, S. M. H. Mojtahedi, and S. M. Mousavi. 2008. “An analysis of project risks using the non-parametric bootstrap technique.” In Proc., 5th IEEE Int. Conf. on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, 1259–1299. Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Atanassov, K., and G. Gargov. 1989. “Interval valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets.” Fuzzy Sets Syst. 31 (3): 343–349. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(89)90205-4.
Atanassov, K. T. 1986. “Intuitionistic fuzzy sets.” Fuzzy Sets Syst. 20 (1): 87–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(86)80034-3.
Baykasoğlu, A., and İ. Gölcük. 2015. “Development of a novel multiple-attribute decision making model via fuzzy cognitive maps and hierarchical fuzzy TOPSIS.” Inf. Sci. 301: 75–98. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ins.2014.12.048.
Baykasoğlu, A., İ. Gölcük, and D. E. Akyol. 2017. “A fuzzy multiple-attribute decision making model to evaluate new product pricing strategies.” Ann. Oper. Res. 251 (1–2): 205–242. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-015-1895-4.
Bourdeau, L. 1999. “Sustainable development and the future of construction: A comparison of visions from various countries.” Build. Res. Inf. 27 (6): 354–366. https://doi.org/10.1080/096132199369183.
Chen, Y., and B. Li. 2011. “Dynamic multi-attribute decision making model based on triangular intuitionistic fuzzy numbers.” Sci. Iran 18 (2): 268–274. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scient.2011.03.022.
Dong, J. Y., and S. P. Wan. 2016. “A new method for prioritized multi-criteria group decision making with triangular intuitionistic fuzzy numbers.” J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst. 30 (3): 1719–1733. https://doi.org/10.3233/IFS-151882.
Efron, B. 1979. “Bootstrap methods: Another look at the jackknife.” Ann. Stat. 7 (1): 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344552.
Efron, B., and B. Gong. 1983. “A leisurely look at the bootstrap, the jackknife, and cross-validation.” Am. Stat. 37 (1): 36–48. https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.1983.10483087.
Efron, B., and R. J. Tibshirani. 1993. An introduction to the bootstrap. New York: Chapman & Hall.
Elomda, B. M., M. Hazman, H. A. Hefny, and H. A. Hassan. 2015. “MCDM approach based on generalized fuzzy decision map method.” In Proc., 2015 IEEE Int. Conf. on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE), 1–8. Piscataway, NJ: IEEE.
Hashemi, H., S. M. Mousavi, and S. M. H. Mojtahedi. 2011. “Bootstrap technique for risk analysis with interval numbers in bridge construction projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 137 (8): 600–608. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000344.
Hashemi, H., S. M. Mousavi, R. Tavakkoli-Moghaddam, and Y. Gholipour. 2013. “Compromise ranking approach with bootstrap confidence intervals for risk assessment in port management projects.” J. Manage. Eng. 29 (4): 334–344. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000167.
Heravi, G., M. Fathi, and S. Faeghi. 2017. “Multi-criteria group decision-making method for optimal selection of sustainable industrial building options focused on petrochemical projects.” J. Cleaner Prod. 142 (4): 2999–3013. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.10.168.
Hosseini, S. A., A. la Fuente, and O. Pons. 2016. “Multicriteria decision-making method for sustainable site location of post-disaster temporary housing in urban areas.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 142(9): 04016036. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001137.
Hu, X., and X. Zhang. 2015. “Approaches to interval intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy multiple attribute decision making and their application to evaluating the cluster network competitiveness of SMEs.” J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst. 28 (2): 975–981. https://doi.org/10.3233/IFS-141381.
Huang, J. J. 2015. “Diminishing utility decision model for weighting criteria.” Int. J. Inf. Technol. Decis. Making 14 (6): 1263–1284. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219622015500303.
Jianqiang, W., and Z. Zhong. 2009. “Aggregation operators on intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy number and its application to multi-criteria decision making problems.” J. Syst. Eng. Electron. 20 (2): 321–326.
Junnila, S., A. Horvath, and A. A. Guggemos. 2006. “Life-cycle assessment of office buildings in Europe and the United States.” J. Infrastruct. Syst. 12 (1): 10–17. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1076-0342(2006)12:1(10).
Kamali, M., and K. Hewage. 2017. “Development of performance criteria for sustainability evaluation of modular versus conventional construction methods.” J. Cleaner Prod. 142 (4): 3592–3606. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.10.108.
Khoshnava, S. M., R. Rostami, A. Valipour, M. Ismail, and A. R. Rahmat. 2018. “Rank of green building material criteria based on the three pillars of sustainability using the hybrid multi criteria decision making method.” J. Cleaner Prod. 173: 82–99. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.10.066.
Kim, C. J., J. Kim, T. Hong, C. Koo, K. Jeong, and H. S. Park. 2015. “A program-level management system for the life cycle environmental and economic assessment of complex building projects.” Environ. Impact Assess. Rev. 54: 9–21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2015.04.005.
Kim, D. Y., S. H. Han, and H. Kim. 2008. “Discriminant analysis for predicting ranges of cost variance in international construction projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 134 (6): 398–410. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2008)134:6(398).
Kosko, B. 1988. “Hidden patterns in combined and adaptive knowledge networks.” Int. J. Approximate Reasoning 2 (4): 377–393. https://doi.org/10.1016/0888-613X(88)90111-9.
Kucukvar, M., S. Gumus, G. Egilmez, and O. Tatari. 2014. “Ranking the sustainability performance of pavements: An intuitionistic fuzzy decision making method.” Autom. Constr. 40: 33–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2013.12.009.
Lehtonen, M. 2004. “The environmental-social interface of sustainable development: Capabilities, social capital, institutions.” Ecol. Econ. 49 (2): 199–214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2004.03.019.
Li, D. F. 2010. “A ratio ranking method of triangular intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and its application to MADM problems.” Comput. Math. Appl. 60 (6): 1557–1570. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.camwa.2010.06.039.
Lin, C. J., and W. W. Wu. 2008. “A causal analytical method for group decision-making under fuzzy environment.” Expert Syst. Appl. 34 (1): 205–213. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2006.08.012.
Lin, C. L., and G. H. Tzeng. 2009. “A value-created system of science (technology) park by using DEMATEL.” Expert Syst. Appl. 36 (6): 9683–9697. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2008.11.040.
Marzouk, M., and S. Azab. 2014. “Environmental and economic impact assessment of construction and demolition waste disposal using system dynamics.” Resour. Conserv. Recycle 82: 41–49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2013.10.015.
Medineckiene, M., E. K. Zavadskas, F. Björk, and Z. Turskis. 2015. “Multi-criteria decision-making system for sustainable building assessment/certification.” Arch. Civ. Mech. Eng. 15 (1): 11–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.acme.2014.09.001.
Mojtahedi, S. M. H., S. M. Mousavi, and A. Aminian. 2009. “A non-parametric statistical approach for analyzing risk factor data in risk management process.” J. Appl. Sci. 9 (1): 113–120. https://doi.org/10.3923/jas.2009.113.120.
Motuzienė, V., A. Rogoža, V. Lapinskienė, and T. Vilutienė. 2016. “Construction solutions for energy efficient single-family house based on its life cycle multi-criteria analysis: A case study.” J. Cleaner Prod. 112 (1): 532–541. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.08.103.
Qin, Q., F. Liang, L. Li, Y. W. Chen, and G. F. Yu. 2017. “A TODIM-based multi-criteria group decision making with triangular intuitionistic fuzzy numbers.” Appl. Soft. Comput. 55: 93–107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2017.01.041.
Robinson, J. P. 2016. “Contrasting correlation coefficient with distance measure in interval valued intuitionistic trapezoidal Fuzzy MAGDM problems.” Int. J. Fuzzy Syst. Appl. (IJFSA) 5 (4): 16–51. https://doi.org/10.4018/IJFSA.2016100102.
Shao, J., and D. Tu. 1995. The jackknife and bootstrap. New York: Springer.
Shen, L. Y., V. W. Tam, L. Tam, and Y. B. Ji. 2010. “Project feasibility study: the key to successful implementation of sustainable and socially responsible construction management practice.” J. Cleaner Prod. 18 (3): 254–259. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2009.10.014.
Sonmez, R. 2008. “Parametric range estimating of building costs using regression models and bootstrap.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 134 (12): 1011–1016. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2008)134:12(1011).
Tzeng, G. H., W. H. Chen, R. Yu, and M. L. Shih. 2010. “Fuzzy decision maps: A generalization of the DEMATEL methods.” Soft Comput. 14 (11): 1141–1150. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-009-0507-0.
Ugwu, O. O., and T. C. Haupt. 2007. “Key performance indicators and assessment methods for infrastructure sustainability—A South African construction industry perspective.” Build. Environ. 42 (2): 665–680. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2005.10.018.
Ugwu, O. O., M. M. Kumaraswamy, A. Wong, and S. T. Ng. 2006. “Sustainability appraisal in infrastructure projects (SUSAIP). Part 1: Development of indicators and computational methods.” Autom. Constr. 15 (2): 239–251. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2005.05.006.
Uygun, Ö., H. Kaçamak, and Ü. A. Kahraman. 2015. “An integrated DEMATEL and Fuzzy ANP techniques for evaluation and selection of outsourcing provider for a telecommunication company.” Comput. Ind. Eng. 86: 137–146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2014.09.014.
WCED 1987. Our common future-brundtland report. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
Wei, G. 2015. “Approaches to interval intuitionistic trapezoidal fuzzy multiple attribute decision making with incomplete weight information.” Int. J. Fuzzy Syst. 17 (3): 484–489. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40815-015-0060-1.
Xu, Z., and M. Xia. 2012. “Identifying and eliminating dominated alternatives in multi-attribute decision making with intuitionistic fuzzy information.” Appl. Soft. Comput. 12 (4): 1451–1456. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2011.08.046.
Yao, H., L. Shen, Y. Tan, and J. Hao. 2011. “Simulating the impacts of policy scenarios on the sustainability performance of infrastructure projects.” Autom. Constr. 20 (8): 1060–1069. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2011.04.007.
Yu, R., and G. H. Tzeng. 2006. “A soft computing method for multi-criteria decision making with dependence and feedback.” Appl. Math. Comput. 180 (1): 63–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2005.11.163.
Zadeh, L. A. 1965. “Fuzzy sets.” Inf. Control 8 (3): 338–353. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X.
Zhao, X., L. Chen, W. Pan, and Q. Lu. 2017. “AHP-ANP-Fuzzy integral integrated network for evaluating performance of innovative business models for sustainable building.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 143 (8): 0401705. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001348.
Zhong, Y., F. Y. Y. Ling, and P. Wu. 2017. “Using multiple attribute value technique for the selection of structural frame material to achieve sustainability and constructability.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 143 (2): 0401609. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001210.
Zoubir, A. M., and B. Boashash. 1998. “The bootstrap and its application in signal processing.” IEEE Signal Process Mag. 15 (1): 56–76. https://doi.org/10.1109/79.647043.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 144 • Issue 9 • September 2018
Copyright
©2018 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Aug 10, 2017
Accepted: Jan 23, 2018
Published online: Jul 16, 2018
Published in print: Sep 1, 2018
Discussion open until: Dec 16, 2018
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.