Technical Papers
May 3, 2018

Impact of Skilled Labor Availability on Construction Project Cost Performance

Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 144, Issue 7

Abstract

The North American construction industry began to experience a shortage of skilled labor in the 1980s, which has continued as a repetitive cyclic trend over the last three decades. Although this issue has received significant attention from researchers, less attention has been given to quantifying the impact of skilled labor availability on project performance. This study contributes to the body of knowledge by filling a gap in the existing literature by quantitatively modeling and elucidating the influence of skilled labor availability on construction project cost performance. Data from 97 construction projects completed in the United States and Canada were collected from two industry databases. The primary analysis shows that projects that experienced craft shortages underwent significantly higher growth in cost overruns compared with projects that did not. Further analysis on both databases returned two robust multiple regression models that demonstrate similar patterns of the risk that a skilled labor shortage poses to cost performance. By using data-combining techniques, two data sets were combined to obtain more reliable informative models. The primary benefit of this risk estimation is to enable project management teams to determine whether mitigation strategies are warranted to prevent potential shortfalls in project cost performance. Understanding the level of impact that craft shortages have on project performance can serve as a primary step in developing motivation for industry leaders, communities, and construction stakeholders to address the challenge of skilled labor shortage in construction industry.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Data generated or analyzed during the study (RT-318 Survey) are available at http://uknowledge.uky.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1059&context=ce_etds. Other data analyzed during the study were provided by a third party. Requests for data should be directed to the provider indicated in the Acknowledgements (CII BM&M). Information about the Journal’s data sharing policy can be found here: http://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29CO.1943-7862.0001263.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the Construction Industry Institute for its support of this research through Research Team (RT) 318. In addition, the authors thank the members of CII RT 318 and 335 for their substantial contributions to this research. The views and opinions expressed herein are of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of the Construction Industry Institute or the industry team members of RT-318 and RT-335.

References

Abdol, R. C., H. B. Brisbane, and G. D. Eric. 1999. “Causes of the construction skilled labor shortage and proposed solutions.” In Proc., ASC 35th Annual Conf., 187–196. San Luis Obispo, CA: California Polytechnic State Univ.
Agresti, A. 2015. Foundations of linear and generalized linear models. East Orange, NJ: Wiley.
Agresti, A., and B. Finlay. 2009. Statistical methods for the social sciences. 4th ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson Prentice Hall.
Akintoye, A. 2000. “Analysis of factors influencing project cost estimating practice.” Constr. Manage. Econ. 18 (1): 77–89. https://doi.org/10.1080/014461900370979.
Atherton, T., and M. E. Ben-Akiva. 1976. “Transferability and updating of disaggregate travel demand models.” Transp. Res. Rec. 610: 12–18.
Ben-Akiva, M., and D. Bolduc. 1987. “Approaches to model transferability and updating: The combined transfer estimator.” Transp. Res. Rec. 1139: 1–7.
Ben-Akiva, M. E., and T. Morikawa 1990. “Estimation of travel demand models from multiple data sources.” In Proc., 11th Int. Symp. on Transportation and Traffic Theory, Yokohama, Japan.
Bradley, M., and A. Daly. 1991. “Estimation of logit choice models using mixed stated preference and revealed preference information.” In Proc., 6th Int. Conf. on Travel Behaviour, edited by P. Stopher and M. Lee-Gosselin, 209–232. New York: Elsevier.
Business Roundtable. 1983. More construction for the money, construction industry cost effectiveness project. Washington, DC: Business Roundtable.
Business Roundtable. 1997. Confronting the skilled construction workforce shortage. Washington, DC: Business Roundtable.
Chester, M., and C. Hendrickson. 2005. “Cost impacts, scheduling impacts, and the claims process during construction.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 131 (1): 102–107. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2005)131:1(102).
Construction Industry Institute. 1990. An assessment of education and training needs among construction personnel. Austin, TX: Univ. of Texas at Austin.
Construction Industry Institute. 2015. Is there a demographic craft labor cliff that will affect project performance?. Austin, TX: Univ. of Texas at Austin.
Dai, J., P. M. Goodrum, and W. F. Maloney. 2009. “Construction craft workers’ perceptions of the factors affecting their productivity.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 135 (3): 217–226. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2009)135:3(217).
Doloi, H. 2013. “Cost overruns and failure in project management: Understanding the roles of key stakeholders in construction projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 139 (3): 267–279. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000621.
Ernzen, J., and C. Schexnayder. 2000. “One company’s experience with design/build: Labor cost risk and profit potential.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 126 (1): 10–14. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2000)126:1(10).
Everett, J. G., and P. B. Frank, Jr. 1996. “Costs of accidents and injuries to the construction industry.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 122 (2): 158–164. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1996)122:2(158).
Fayek, A. R., M. Dissanayake, and O. Campero. 2003. Measuring and classifying construction field rework: A pilot study. Edmonton, AB, Canada: Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Alberta.
Flyvbjerg, B., M. K. Skamris Holm, and S. L. Buhl. 2004. “What causes cost overrun in transport infrastructure projects?” Transp. Rev. 24 (1): 3–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/0144164032000080494a.
Gharaibeh, H. M. 2014. “Cost control in mega projects using the Delphi method.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 30 (5): 04014024. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000218.
Goodrum, P. M. 2004. “Hispanic and non-Hispanic wage differentials: Implications for United States construction industry.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 130 (4): 552–559. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2004)130:4(552).
Hanna, A. S. 2001. Quantifying the impact of change orders on electrical and mechanical labor productivity. Austin, TX: Construction Industry Institute.
Hanna, A. S., C. S. Taylor, and K. T. Sullivan. 2005. “Impact of extended overtime on construction labor productivity.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 131 (6): 734–739. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2005)131:6(734).
Heravi, G., and E. Eslamdoost. 2015. “Applying artificial neural networks for measuring and predicting construction-labor productivity.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 141 (10): 04015032. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001006.
Hinze, J., and L. L. Appelgate. 1991. “Costs of construction injuries.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 117 (3): 537–550. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1991)117:3(537).
Hwang, B. G., S. R. Thomas, C. T. Haas, and C. H. Caldas. 2009. “Measuring the impact of rework on construction cost performance.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 135 (3): 187–198. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2009)135:3(187).
Improving Construction Safety Performance. 1982. Construction industry cost effectiveness (CICE) project. New York: Business Roundtable.
Karasmaa, N. 2007. “Evaluation of transfer methods for spatial travel demand models.” J. Transp. Res. Part A 41 (5): 411–427. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2006.09.009.
Karimi, H. 2017. “Quantitative analysis of the impact of craft labor availability on construction project performance.” Theses and Dissertations–Civil Engineering, University of Kentucky. https://uknowledge.uky.edu/ce_etds/56.
Karimi, H., T. R. Taylor, and P. M. Goodrum. 2017. “Analysis of the impact of craft labour availability on North American construction project productivity and schedule performance.” Constr. Manage. Econ. 35 (6): 368–380. https://doi.org/10.1080/01446193.2017.1294257.
Karimi, H., T. R. Taylor, P. M. Goodrum, and C. Srinivasan. 2016. “Quantitative analysis of the impact of craft worker availability on construction project safety performance.” J. Constr. Innovation 16 (3): 307–322. https://doi.org/10.1108/CI-10-2015-0050.
Li, Y., L. Jiang, T. R. B. Taylor, and D. N. Ford. 2017. “Impact of labor controls on tipping point dynamics in large complex projects.” Syst. Res. Behav. Sci. in press.
Love, P. E., and H. Li. 2000. “Quantifying the causes and costs of rework in construction.” Constr. Manage. Econ. 18 (4): 479–490. https://doi.org/10.1080/01446190050024897.
Lyneis, J. M., and D. N. Ford. 2007. “System dynamics applied to project management: A survey, assessment, and directions for future research.” Syst. Dyn. Rev. 23 (2/3): 157–189. https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.377.
McTague, B., and G. Jergeas. 2002. Productivity improvement on Alberta major construction projects. Edmonton, AB, Canada: Alberta Economic Development.
Rosenbaum, D. 2001. “Craft labor shortage provokes more studies of pay and safety.” Engineering news record, 11. New York: McGraw-Hill.
RSMeans. 2016. Building construction cost data. Norwell, MA: Construction Publishers & Consultants.
Sawyer, T., and D. Rubin. 2007. “Leaders probe new solutions for industry’s labor shortfall.” Engineering News Record, 15. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Shyr, F.-Y. 1993. “Combining laboratory and field data in rain fatigue analysis.” Ph.D. dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Taylor, T. R. B., H. Karimi, P. M. Goodrum, and M. Albattah. 2016. Is there a demographic craft labor cliff that will affect project performance?. Austin, TX: Univ. of Texas-Austin.
Trost, S. M., and G. D. Oberlender. 2003. “Predicting accuracy of early cost estimates using factor analysis and multivariate regression.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 129 (2): 198–204. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2003)129:2(198).
Wang, Y., P. M. Goodrum, C. T. Haas, and R. W. Glover. 2008. “Craft training issues in American industrial and commercial construction.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 134 (10): 795–803. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2008)134:10(795).
Wong, J. M. W., A. P. C. Chan, and Y. H. Chiang. 2008. “Modeling and forecasting construction labor demand: Multivariate analysis.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 134 (9): 664–672. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2008)134:9(664).

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 144Issue 7July 2018

History

Received: Jul 24, 2017
Accepted: Jan 15, 2018
Published online: May 3, 2018
Published in print: Jul 1, 2018
Discussion open until: Oct 3, 2018

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Postdoctoral Associate, School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Univ. of Tehran, 16 Azar Ave., P.O. BOX 14395-477, Tehran, Iran (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7290-7822. Email: [email protected]; [email protected]
Timothy R. B. Taylor, Ph.D., M.ASCE
P.E.
Associate Professor and Terrell-McDowell Chair of Construction Engineering and Project Management, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506-0281.
Gabriel B. Dadi, Ph.D., M.ASCE
P.E.
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506-0281.
Paul M. Goodrum, Ph.D., M.ASCE
P.E.
Nicholas R. Petry Professor in Construction Engineering and Management, Dept. of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309.
Cidambi Srinivasan, Ph.D.
Professor, Dept. of Statistics, Univ. of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40506-0281.

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share