Probabilistic Time-Dependent Multihazard Life-Cycle Assessment and Resilience of Bridges Considering Climate Change
Publication: Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Volume 30, Issue 5
Abstract
Climate change and an increase in the number of hazards and/or their intensities may increase the probability of failure associated with civil infrastructure systems. Understanding how natural hazards affect the life-cycle performance of highway bridges can lead to improved preparedness prior to extreme disasters and can ultimately benefit society. In this paper, a framework for time-variant loss and resilience assessment of highway bridges under time-dependent multiple hazards is presented. The effects of earthquakes and floods on bridges are both investigated. The life-cycle hazard losses with and without aging effects and climate change are computed. Additionally, the probabilistic changes in the hazard intensity and frequency resulting from climate change on the total life-cycle hazard loss are also investigated. The proposed framework is applied to a highway bridge located in California.
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Acknowledgments
The support from the National Science Foundation through grants CMS-0639428 and CMMI-1537926; the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Department of Community and Economic Development, through the Pennsylvania Infrastructure Technology Alliance (PITA); and the U.S. Federal Highway Administration Cooperative Agreement Award DTFH61-07-H-00040 is gratefully acknowledged. The opinions and conclusions presented in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsoring organizations.
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Published In
Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Volume 30 • Issue 5 • October 2016
Copyright
© 2016 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Sep 29, 2015
Accepted: Jan 4, 2016
Published online: Mar 28, 2016
Discussion open until: Aug 28, 2016
Published in print: Oct 1, 2016
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