Simultaneous Determination of Critical Slip Surface and Reliability Index for Slopes
Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 133, Issue 7
Abstract
This paper presents a new method for applying reliability-based design approaches to slope stability analysis. In this method the soil properties are considered to be random variables. The factor of safety of the slope is found using Bishop’s simplified method for noncircular slip surfaces. By considering the variability of the soil properties, the probability of failure is determined from the reliability index . The minimization problem (determination of the lowest value for the range of variables and possible slip surfaces considered) is solved using a genetic algorithm approach, which simultaneously locates the critical slip surface and determines the reliability index. The performance of the new method is compared to some existing reliability approaches when applied to case histories of slope failures from the geotechnical literature. The new approach is seen to provide reasonable and consistent estimates of the reliability index and critical slip surface.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
This research was funded by Iarnród Éireann. The writers wish to thank Mr. Brian Garvey, chief civil engineer with Iarnród Éireann, for technical and financial assistance. The first writer was the recipient of a Geotechnical Trust Fund award from the Geotechnical Society of Ireland. The writers also wish to acknowledge the detailed comments provided by the reviewers of the paper.
References
Baecher, G. B., and Christian, J. T. (2003). Reliability and statistics in geotechnical engineering, Wiley, New York.
Bhattacharya, G., Jana, D., Ojha, S., and Chakraborty, S. (2003). “Direct search for minimum reliability index of earth slopes.” Comput. Geotech., 30, 445–462.
Chowdhury, R. N., and Grivas, D. A. (1982). “Probabilistic model of progressive failure of slopes.” J. Geotech. Engrg. Div., 108(6), 803–819.
Chowdhury, R. N., and Xu, D. W. (1995). “Geotechnical system reliability of slopes.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf., 47, 141–151.
Christian, J. T., Ladd, C. C., and Baecher, G. B. (1994). “Reliability applied to slope stability analysis.” J. Geotech. Engrg., 120(12), 2180–2207.
Cui, L., and Sheng, D. (2005). “Genetic algorithms in probabilistic finite element analysis of geotechnical problems.” Comput. Geotech., 32, 555–563.
Goh, A. T. C. (1999). “Genetic algorithm search for critical slip surface in multiple-wedge stability analysis.” Can. Geotech. J., 36 382–391.
Greco, V. R. (1996). “Efficient Monte Carlo technique for locating critical slip surface.” J. Geotech. Engrg., 122(7), 517–525.
Harr, M. E. (1987). Reliability-based design in civil engineering, McGraw-Hill, New York.
Hasofer, A. M., and Lind, N. C. (1974). “Exact and invariant second-moment code format.” J. Engrg. Mech. Div., 100(1), 111–121.
Hassan, A. M., and Wolff, T. F. (1999). “Search algorithm for minimum reliability index of earth slopes.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 125(4), 301–308.
Ireland, H. O. (1954). “Stability analysis of the Congress Street open cut in Chicago.” Geotechnique, 4, 163–168.
Juang, C. H., Chen, C. J., Rosowsky, D. V., and Tang, W. H. (2000). “CPT-based liquefaction analysis. 2: Reliability for design.” Geotechnique, 50(5), 593–599.
Kottegoda, N. T., and Rosso, R. (1997). Statistics, probability, and reliability for civil and environmental engineering, McGraw-Hill, New York.
Lee, Y.-F., Chi, Y. Y., Lee, D. H., Juang, C. H., and Wu, J. H. (2007). “Simplified models for assessing annual liquefaction probability—A case study of the Yuanlin area, Taiwan.” Eng. Geol. (Amsterdam), in press.
Liang, R. Y., Nusier, O. K., and Malkawi, A. H. (1999). “A reliability based approach for evaluating the slope stability of embankment dams.” Eng. Geol. (Amsterdam), 54, 271–285.
Low, B. K. (1996). “Practical probabilistic approach using spreadsheet.” Uncertainty in the geologic environment: From theory to practice, C. D. Shakelford, P. P. Nelson, and M. J. S. Roth, eds., ASCE, New York, 1284–1302.
Low, B. K. (1997). “Reliability analysis of rock wedges.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 123(6), 498–505.
Low, B. K. (2003). “Practical probabilistic slope stability analysis.” Proc., Soil and Rock America 2003, 12th Pan-America Conf. on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, and 39th U.S. Rock Mechanics Symp., MIT, Cambridge, Mass., 2777–2784.
Low, B. K., and Tang, W. H. (1997). “Reliability analysis of reinforced embankments on soft ground.” Can. Geotech. J., 34, 672–685.
Malkawi, A. I. H., Hassan, W. F., and Abdulla, F. A. (2000). “Uncertainty and reliability analysis applied to slope stability.” Struct. Safety, 22, 161–187.
Malkawi, A. H., Hassan, W. F., and Sarma, S. K. (2001). “Global search method for locating general slip surface using Monte Carlo techniques.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 127(8), 688–698.
Paikowsky, S. G., Birgisson, B., Mcvay, M., and Nguyen, T. (2004). “Load and resistance factor design (LRFD) for deep foundations.” Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
Pan, J. Z. (1980). Antislide of buildings and slope stability analysis, Hydraulic Publisher, Beijing (in Chinese).
Skempton, A. W., and Hutchinson, J. N. (1969). “Stability of natural conditions, the reliability index value of the slopes and embankment foundations.” Proc., 7th Int. Conf. on Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). (1999). “Risk-based analysis in geotechnical engineering for support of planning studies.” ETL 1110-2-556, Appendix A, A1–A23, Vicksburg, Miss.
Val, D., Bljuger, F., and Yankelevsky, D. (1996). “Optimization problem solution in reliability analysis of reinforced concrete structures.” Comput. Struct., 60(3), 351–355.
Whitman, R. V. (1984). “Evaluating calculated risk in geotechnical engineering.” J. Geotech. Engrg., 110(2), 143–188.
Whitman, R. V., and Bailey, W. A. (1967). “Use of computer for slope stability analysis.” J. Soil Mech. and Found. Div., 93(4), 475–498.
Xue, J. F. (2002). “Stability analysis with genetic algorithm and reliability study of earth slopes under earthquake.” MEng thesis, HuaQiao Univ., Quanzhou, China.
Xue, J. F. (2007). “Reliability analysis and the simulation of rainfall infiltration into partly saturated soil slopes.” Ph.D. thesis, Univ. College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Zolfaghari, A. R., Heath, A. C., and McCombie, P. F. (2005). “Simple genetic algorithm search for critical non-circular failure surface in slope stability analysis.” Comput. Geotech., 32, 139–152.
Zou, G. D. (1989). “Optimum method in complex earth slope stability analysis.” Chinese J. Hydraulic Engineering, 20(2), 55–60.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2007 ASCE.
History
Received: Oct 18, 2005
Accepted: Jan 18, 2007
Published online: Jul 1, 2007
Published in print: Jul 2007
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.