CPT-Based Probabilistic and Deterministic Assessment of In Situ Seismic Soil Liquefaction Potential
Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 132, Issue 8
Abstract
This paper presents a complete methodology for both probabilistic and deterministic assessment of seismic soil liquefaction triggering potential based on the cone penetration test (CPT). A comprehensive worldwide set of CPT-based liquefaction field case histories were compiled and back analyzed, and the data then used to develop probabilistic triggering correlations. Issues investigated in this study include improved normalization of CPT resistance measurements for the influence of effective overburden stress, and adjustment to CPT tip resistance for the potential influence of “thin” liquefiable layers. The effects of soil type and soil character (i.e., “fines” adjustment) for the new correlations are based on a combination of CPT tip and sleeve resistance. To quantify probability for performance-based engineering applications, Bayesian “regression” methods were used, and the uncertainties of all variables comprising both the seismic demand and the liquefaction resistance were estimated and included in the analysis. The resulting correlations were developed using a Bayesian framework and are presented in both probabilistic and deterministic formats. The results are compared to previous probabilistic and deterministic correlations.
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Acknowledgments
Financial support was provided by the California Department of Transportation (CalTrans), the California Energy Commission (CEC), and Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E) through the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER) Center’s Lifelines Program, Task 3D02. This support is greatly appreciated. The writers would like to thank Daniel Chu’s contribution of the Taiwan data and review of the processed Taiwan case histories. Thanks also go to Professor Emeritus T. Leslie Youd for reviewing a portion of the database. The comments and suggestions by Professor Emeritus I. M. Idriss, Professor Emeritus T. Leslie Youd, and Professor Geoffrey Martin during the PEER quarterly meetings were very useful in guiding this work. Thanks also go to Professor K. Tokimatsu and Dr. Y. Suzuki for providing useful data from the Kobe earthquake, and the anonymous reviewers who provided comments that helped them improve this paper.
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Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 132 • Issue 8 • August 2006
Pages: 1032 - 1051
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© 2006 ASCE.
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Received: Dec 30, 2004
Accepted: Dec 9, 2005
Published online: Aug 1, 2006
Published in print: Aug 2006
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