Reliability Analysis of Unsaturated Soil Slopes
Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 131, Issue 11
Abstract
Many soil slopes are unsaturated in their initial state, and suction contributes to initial stability. Stability of these slopes decreases as suction decreases with time due to rainfall infiltration and water redistribution. Many of the parameters in the assessment of stability are highly variable. In this technical note, sensitivity/reliability analysis of design variables for a typical unsaturated soil slope is conducted. Sensitivity analysis shows that suction parameters have significant influence on the stability. Reliability computations performed for the slope considered show that failure zones are better captured by the reliability index than the conventional factor of safety. The study also shows that variation of saturated hydraulic conductivity significantly influences slope reliability.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
The results presented in this paper are part of the research project “Risk assessment in landslides,” sponsored by the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, New Delhi. Its financial assistance is gratefully acknowledged. The writers thank Mr. M. D. Mukesh for his help in the preparation of the paper. They also thank the anonymous reviewers for their critical comments and suggestions.
References
Alonso, E. E. (1976). “Risk analysis of slopes and its application to slopes in Canadian sensitive clays.” Geotechnique, 26(3), 453–472.
Bergado, D. T., and Anderson, L. R. (1985). “Stochastic analysis of pore pressure uncertainty for the probabilistic assessment of the safety of earth slopes.” Soils Found., 25(2), 87–105.
Cherubini, C. (2000). “Reliability evaluation of shallow foundation bearing capacity on soils.” Can. Geotech. J., 37, 264–269.
Cho, S. E., and Lee, S. R. (2002). “Evaluation of surficial stability for homogeneous slopes considering rainfall characteristics.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 128(9), 756–763.
Döll, P. (1996). “Modeling of moisture movement under the influence of temperature gradients: Desiccation of mineral liners below landfills.” PhD thesis, Technical Univ. of Berlin, Berlin.
Döll, P. (1997). “Desiccation of mineral liners below landfills with heat generation” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 123(11), 1001–1009.
Duncan, J. M. (2000). “Factors of safety and reliability in geotechnical engineering.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 126(4), 307–316.
Fredlund, D. G., and Rahardjo, H. (1993). Soil mechanics for unsaturated soils, Wiley, New York.
Gui, S., Zhang, R., Turner, J. P., and Xue, X. (2000). “Probabilistic slope stability analysis with stochastic soil hydraulic conductivity.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng., 126(1), 1–9.
Li, K. S., and Lumb, P. (1987). “Probabilistic design of slopes.” Can. Geotech. J., 24, 520–535.
Lumb, P. (1966). “The variability of natural soils.” Can. Geotech. J., 3, 74–97.
Matyas, E. L. (1977). “Discussion on Probabilistic analysis of predicted and measured settlements.” R. J. Krizek, R. B. Corotis, and H. H. El-Moursi, eds., Can. Geotech. J., 14, 159–163.
Nowak, A. S., and Carr, R. I. (1985). “Sensitivity analysis for structural errors.” J. Struct. Eng., 111(8), 1734–1746.
Rackwitz, R., and Fiessler, B. (1978). “Structural reliability under combined random load sequences.” Comput. Struct., 9, 484–494.
Rao, P. J., et al., (1995). CRRI Rep. on Investigation, Instrumentation and Monitoring of Landslide at Powari, Himachal Pradesh, India.
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. (1999). “Risk-based analysis in geotechnical engineering for support of planning studies, engineering and design.” Rep. No. 20314-1000, Dept. of Army, Washington, D.C.
van Genuchten, M. Th. (1980). “A closed-form equation for predicting the hydraulic conductivity of unsaturated soils.” Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J., 44(5), 892–898.
van Genuchten, M. Th., Leij, F., and Yates, S. (1991). “The RETC code quantifying the hydraulic functions of unsaturated soils.” Rep. No. EPA/600/2–91/065, U.S. EPA, Office of Research and Development, Washington, D.C.
Wolff, T. F. (1996). “Probabilistic slope stability in theory and practice.” Proc., Conf. on Uncertainty in the Geologic Environment, Uncertainty 96, Part 1 (of 2), Madison, Wis., 419–433.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2005 ASCE.
History
Received: Sep 26, 2002
Accepted: Mar 18, 2005
Published online: Nov 1, 2005
Published in print: Nov 2005
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.