TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jun 15, 2009

Storm Identification and Tracking Algorithm for Modeling of Rainfall Fields Using 1-h NEXRAD Rainfall Data in Texas

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 14, Issue 7

Abstract

A method to identify and track rainfall structures using 1-h accumulated NEXt generation RADar (NEXRAD) rainfall data is presented and used to analyze the dynamics of storm features over an area in Texas. Storm features are identified from a Gaussian mixture model using the expectation maximization algorithm. The method assigns NEXRAD pixels to storm features, simultaneously producing a smooth fitted function to the rainfall intensity distribution. Once the storm features are identified, they are tracked using inverse cost functions and using the fact that continuous features overlap each other from frame to frame in the accumulated data. The inverse cost functions also account for storm feature merging, splitting, birth, and death. Application of this storm identification and tracking algorithm for Brazos County (1,500km2) in southeastern Texas distinguishes several characteristics of the storm feature dynamics. From September through April, storm features are predominantly of a frontal nature, with storm features following geostrophic flow along low pressure fronts moving in from the north. In summer (May–August), storm features are convective in nature following random track directions. Both types of storm features have durations of 13h in Brazos County due to the county’s relatively small size compared to the measured average storm speed of 40kmh and due to the fact that most storms only intersect the county over part of their area.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

Adrian, R. J. (1991). “Particle-imaging techniques for experimental fluid-mechanics.” Annu. Rev. Fluid Mech., 23, 261–304.
Bellin, A., and Rubin, Y. (1996). “HYDRO_GEN: A spatially distributed random field generator for correlated properties.” Stochastic Hydrol. Hydraul., 10(4), 253–278.
Berenguer, M., Corral, C., Sanchez-Diezma, R. and Sempere-Torres, D. (2005). “Hydrological validation of a radar-based nowcasting technique.” J. Hydrometeor., 6(4), 532–549.
Blimes, J. A. (1998). “A gentle tutorial of the EM algorithm and its application to parameter estimation for Gaussian mixture and hidden Markov models.” TR-97-021, International Computer Science Institute, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Calif.
Bo, Z., Islam, S., and Eltahir, E. A. B. (1994). “Aggregation-disaggregation properties of a stochastic rainfall model.” Water Resour. Res., 30(12), 3423–3435.
Bowler, N. E. H., Pierce, C. E., and Seed, A. (2004). “Development of a precipitation nowcasting algorithm based upon optical flow techniques.” J. Hydrol., 288(1–2), 74–91.
Bremaud, P. J., and Pointin, Y. B. (1993). “Forecasting heavy rainfall from rain cell motion using radar data.” J. Hydrol., 142(1–4), 373–389.
Brown, R. A., and Lewis, J. M. (2005). “Path to NEXRAD—Doppler radar development at the National Severe Storms Laboratory.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 86(10), 1459–1470.
Choi, J., Socolofsky, S. A., and Olivera, F. (2008). “Hourly disaggregation of daily rainfall in Texas using measured hourly precipitation at other locations.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 13(6), 476–487.
Cowpertwait, P. S. P. (1994). “A generalized point process model for rainfall.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 447(1929), 23–37.
Cowpertwait, P. S. P. (1995). “A generalized spatial-temporal model of rainfall based on a clustered point process.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 450(1938), 163–175.
Cowpertwait, P. S. P. (1998). “A Poisson-cluster model of rainfall: High-order moments and extreme values.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 454(1971), 885–898.
Cox, D. R., and Isham, V. (1988). “A simple spatial-temporal model of rainfall.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 415(1849), 317–328.
Crane, R. K. (1979). “Automatic cell detection and tracking.” IEEE Trans. Geosci. Electron., 17(4), 250–262.
Crum, T. D., and Alberty, R. L. (1993). “The WSR-88D and the WSR-88D operational support facility.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 74(9), 1669–1687.
Crum, T. D., Alberty, R. L., and Burgess, D. W. (1993). “Recording, archiving, and using WSR-88D data.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 74(4), 645–653.
De Lannoy, G. J. M., Verhoest, N. E. C., and De Troch, F. P. (2005). “Characteristics of rainstorms over a temperate region derived from multiple time series of weather radar images.” J. Hydrol., 307(1–4), 126–144.
Dell’Acqua, F., and Gamba, P. (2002). “Rain pattern tracking by means of COTREC and modal matching.” Opt. Eng. (Bellingham), 41(2), 278–286.
Dixon, M., and Wiener, G. (1993). “TITAN—Thunderstorm identification, tracking, analysis, and nowcasting—A radar-based methodology.” J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol., 10(6), 785–797.
Econopouly, T. W., Davis, D. R., and Woolhiser, D. A. (1990). “Parameter transferability for a daily rainfall disaggregation model.” J. Hydrol., 118(1–4), 209–228.
Einfalt, T., Denoeux, T., and Jacquet, G. (1990). “A radar rainfall forecasting method designed for hydrological purposes.” J. Hydrol., 114(3–4), 229–244.
Fraley, C., and Raftery, A. E. (1998). “How many clusters? Which clustering method? Answers via model-based cluster analysis.” Comput. J., 41(8), 578–588.
Fulton, R. A., Breidenbach, J. P., Seo, D. J., Miller, D. A., and O’Bannon, T. (1998). “The WSR-88D rainfall algorithm.” Weather Forecast., 13(2), 377–395.
Grecu, M., and Krajewski, W. F. (2000). “A large-sample investigation of statistical procedures for radar-based short-term quantitative precipitation forecasting.” J. Hydrol., 239(1–4), 69–84.
Gupta, V. K., and Waymire, E. C. (1993). “A statistical-analysis of mesoscale rainfall as a random cascade.” J. Appl. Meteorol., 32(2), 251–267.
Handwerker, J. (2002). “Cell tracking with TRACE3D—A new algorithm.” Atmos. Res., 61(1), 15–34.
Hershenhorn, J., and Woolhiser, D. A. (1987). “Disaggregation of daily rainfall.” J. Hydrol., 95(3–4), 299–322.
Johnson, J. T., et al. (1998). “The storm cell identification and tracking algorithm: An enhanced WSR-88D algorithm.” Weather Forecast., 13(2), 263–276.
Klazura, G. E., and Imy, D. A. (1993). “A description of the initial set of analysis products available from the NEXRAD WSR-88D system.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 74(7), 1293–1311.
Kondragunta, C., Kitzmiller, D., Seo, D.-J., and Shrestha, K. (2005). “Objective integration of satellite, rain gauge, and radar precipitation estimates in the multisensor precipitation estimator algorithm.” 85th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 19th Conf. Hydrology.
Krajewski, W. F., Raghavan, R. and Chandrasekar, V. (1993). “Physically based simulation of radar rainfall data using a space-time rainfall model.” J. Appl. Meteorol., 32(2), 268–283.
Lakshmanan, V., Rabin, R., and DeBrunner, V. (2003). “Multiscale storm identification and forecast.” Atmos. Res., 67–68, 367–380.
Le Cam, L. (1961). “A stochastic description of precipitation.” 4th Berkeley Symp. on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, J. Neyman, ed., Univ. of California, Berkeley, Calif., 165–186.
Li, L., Schmid, W., and Joss, J. (1995). “Nowcasting of motion and growth of precipitation with radar over a complex orography.” J. Appl. Meteorol., 34(6), 1286–1300.
Lovejoy, S., and Schertzer, D. (1986). “Scale-invariance, symmetries, fractals, and stochastic simulations of atmospheric phenomena.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 67(1), 21–32.
Lovejoy, S., and Schertzer, D. (2006). “Multifractals, cloud radiances and rain.” J. Hydrol., 322(1–4), 59–88.
Mecklenburg, S., Bell, V. A., Moore, R. J., and Joss, J. (2000a). “Interfacing an enhanced radar echo tracking algorithm with a rainfall-runoff model for real-time flood forecasting.” Phys. Chem. Earth, Part B, 25(10–12), 1329–1333.
Mecklenburg, S., Joss, J., and Schmid, W. (2000b). “Improving the nowcasting of precipitation in an Alpine region with an enhanced radar echo tracking algorithm.” J. Hydrol., 239(1–4), 46–68.
Mori, N., and Chang, K.-A. (2003). “Introduction to MPIV.” ⟨http://www.oceanwave.jp/softwares/mpiv/⟩ (June 30, 2008).
Morin, E., Goodrich, D. C., Maddox, R. A., Gao, X. G., Gupta, H. V., and Sorooshian, S. (2006). “Spatial patterns in thunderstorm rainfall events and their coupling with watershed hydrological response.” Adv. Water Resour., 29(6), 843–860.
National Weather Service. (2006). “NEXRAD Stage III (MPE) distributed precipitation data.” Radar Operations Center, National Weather Service ⟨http://www.roc.noaa.gov/⟩ (April 7, 2009).
Nelson, B. R., Kim, D., Seo, D.-J., and Bates, J. (2006). “Multi-sensor precipitation reanalysis.” 86th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 20th Conf. Hydrology.
Northrop, P. (1998). “A clustered spatial-temporal model of rainfall.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 454(1975), 1875–1888.
Olivera, F., Choi, J., Kim, D., and Li, M. H. (2008). “Estimation of average rainfall areal reduction factors in Texas using NEXRAD data.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 13(6), 438–448.
Olsson, J. (1998). “Evaluation of a scaling cascade model for temporal rainfall disaggregation.” Hydrology Earth Syst. Sci., 2(1), 19–30.
Raffel, M., Willert, C., and Kompenhans, J. (1998). “Particle image velocimetry—A practical guide.” Experimental fluid mechanics, Springer, Berlin.
Redner, R. A. and Walker, H. F. (1984). “Mixture densities, maximum-likelihood and the EM algorithm.” SIAM Rev., 26(2), 195–237.
Reed, S. M., and Maidment, D. R. (1999). “Coordinate transformations for using NEXRAD data in GIS-based hydrologic modeling.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 4(2), 174–182.
Rinehart, R. E., and Garvey, E. T. (1978). “3-dimensional storm motion detection by conventional weather radar.” Nature (London), 273(5660), 287–289.
Rodriguez-Iturbe, I., Cox, D. R., and Eagleson, P. S. (1986). “Spatial modeling of total storm rainfall.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A,410(1839), 27–50.
Rodriguez-Iturbe, I., Cox, D. R., and Isham, V. (1987). “Some models for rainfall based on stochastic point-processes.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 417(1853), 269–288.
Rodriguez-Iturbe, I., Cox, D. R., and Isham, V. (1988). “A point process model for rainfall—Further developments.” Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 417(1843), 283–298.
Rodriguez-Iturbe, I., Marani, M., D’Odorico, P., and Rinaldo, A. (1998). “On space-time scaling of cumulated rainfall fields.” Water Resour. Res., 34(12), 3461–3469.
Schumacher, R. S., and Johnson, R. H. (2005). “Organization and environmental properties of extreme-rain-producing mesoscale convective systems.” Mon. Weather Rev., 133(4), 961–976.
Schumacher, R. S., and Johnson, R. H. (2006). “Characteristics of U.S. extreme rain events during 1999–2003.” Weather Forecast., 21(1), 69–85.
Seed, A. W., Srikanthan, R., and Menabde, M. (1999). “A space and time model for design storm rainfall.” J. Geophys. Res., [Atmos.], 104(D24), 31623–31630.
Seo, D. J., Breidenbach, J. P., and Johnson, E. R. (1999) “Real-time estimation of mean field bias in radar rainfall data.” J. Hydrol., 223(3–4), 131–147.
Socolofsky, S. A., Adams, E. E., and Entekhabi, D. (2001). “Disaggregation of daily rainfall for continuous watershed modeling.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 6(4), 300–309.
Steinacker, R., Dorninger, M., Wolfelmaier, E., and Krennert, T. (2000). “Automatic tracking of convective cells and cell complexes from lightning and radar data.” Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 72(2–4), 101–110.
Tessier, Y., Lovejoy, S., and Schertzer, D. (1993). “Universal multifractals—Theory and observations for rain and clouds.” J. Appl. Meteorol., 32(2), 223–250.
Upton, G. J. G. (2000). “Using volumetric radar data to track horizontal and vertical movements of storms.” Phys. Chem. Earth, Part B, 25(10–12), 1117–1121.
Veneziano, D., Bras, R. L., and Niemann, J. D. (1996). “Nonlinearity and self-similarity of rainfall in time and a stochastic model.” J. Geophys. Res., [Atmos.], 101(D21), 26371–26392.
Veneziano, D., and Villani, P. (1996). “Identification of rain cells from radar and stochastic modelling of space-time rainfall.” Meccanica, 31(1), 27–42.
Wheater, H. S., et al. (2000). “Spatial-temporal rainfall fields: Modelling and statistical aspects.” Hydrology Earth Syst. Sci., 4(4), 581–601.
Wilson, J. W., and Brandes, E. A. (1979). “Radar measurement of rainfall—A summary.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 60(9), 1048–1058.
Wilson, J. W., Crook, N. A., Mueller, C. K., Sun, J. Z., and Dixon, M. (1998). “Nowcasting thunderstorms: A status report.” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79(10), 2079–2099.
Woolhiser, D. A., and Osborn, H. B. (1985). “A stochastic model of thunderstorm rainfall intensities.” Water Resour. Res., 21(4), 511–522.
Zawadzki, I. I. (1973). “Statistical properties of precipitation patterns.” J. Appl. Meteorol., 12(3), 459–472.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 14Issue 7July 2009
Pages: 721 - 730

History

Received: Sep 15, 2006
Accepted: Feb 17, 2009
Published online: Jun 15, 2009
Published in print: Jul 2009

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Janghwoan Choi [email protected]
Research Assistant, Zachry Dept. of Civil Engineering, Texas A&M Univ., 3136 TAMU, College Station, TX 77843-3136. E-mail: [email protected]
Francisco Olivera, M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, Zachry Dept. of Civil Engineering, Texas A&M Univ., 3136 TAMU, College Station, TX 77843-3136 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Scott A. Socolofsky, M.ASCE [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Zachry Dept. of Civil Engineering, Texas A&M Univ., 3136 TAMU, College Station, TX 77843-3136. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share