TECHNICAL PAPERS
Apr 15, 2002

Life-Cycle Cost Analysis using Deterministic and Stochastic Methods: Conflicting Results

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Publication: Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Volume 16, Issue 2

Abstract

Life-cycle cost analysis is an essential approach to differentiating alternative rehabilitation strategies for steel bridge paint systems. An economic analysis (EA), which is a deterministic method, and the Markov decision process (MDP), which is a stochastic method, were used to carry out the life-cycle cost analysis. These analyses were applied to data from two state Departments of Transportation. The deterioration curves for steel bridge paint condition rating against age were constructed. Different rehabilitation scenarios were proposed for steel bridge paint. The EA and the MDP were used to analyze and differentiate among the proposed rehabilitation scenarios. The results of the EA were different from those of MDP for the two data sets. MDP favored the “do nothing” scenario until the end of paint life and then a complete repainting. EA indicated that the scenario “do spot repairs at state 3 of the paint life” and repeat that until the end of the bridge life was superior. The results were analyzed to determine the reason for the conflict.

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References

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Go to Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Volume 16Issue 2May 2002
Pages: 63 - 74

History

Received: Feb 26, 2001
Accepted: Oct 26, 2001
Published online: Apr 15, 2002
Published in print: May 2002

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Authors

Affiliations

Tarek M. Zayed, S.M.ASCE
Assistant Professor, Construction Engineering and Management Dept., Faculty of Engineering, Zagazig Univ., Egypt; presently, Visiting Assistant Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering Dept., Univ. of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH 45219.
Luh-Maan Chang, M.ASCE
Associate Professor, Construction Division, School of Civil Engineering, Purdue Univ., 1284 Civil Building, West Lafayette, IN 47907.
Jon D. Fricker, M.ASCE
Professor, Transportation and Infrastructure Systems Engineering Area, School of Civil Engineering, Purdue Univ., 1284 Civil Building, West Lafayette, IN 47907.

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