TECHNICAL PAPERS
Jan 1, 1995

Possible Climate-Change Impacts on Water Supply of Metropolitan Boston

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 121, Issue 1

Abstract

A study of the possible impacts of climate change due to the equivalent of doubling the atmospheric CO 2 on the water-supply system of metropolitan Boston showed serious decreases in reservoir-system safe yield due to the climate-change scenarios of some general circulation models (GCMs). Temperature increases alone and a longer growing season also resulted in severe impacts. Impacts may be mitigated if there are increases in vegetation canopy evapotranspiration resistance due to enriched CO 2 or in precipitation. The decreases in reservoir yield occur because there is less streamflow and downstream-flow maintenance requirements require more water be released. The scenarios of other GCMs result in an increase in safe yield; in those scenarios, evaporation and evapotranspiration increases are offset by large increases in precipitation. The contradictory results of the GCMs are not surprising and again indicate the present uncertainty in climate-change impacts.

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Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 121Issue 1January 1995
Pages: 61 - 70

History

Published online: Jan 1, 1995
Published in print: Jan 1995

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Authors

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P. H. Kirshen, Member, ASCE
Water Resour. Consultant, 90 Farmers Row, Groton, MA 01450.
N. M. Fennessey, Associate Member, ASCE
Sr. Hydrologist, Massachusetts Dept. of Envir. Protection, 1 Winter St., Boston, MA 02108.

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