TECHNICAL PAPERS
Nov 1, 1998

Probabilistic Approach to Pavement Design Based on Generalized California Bearing Ratio Equation

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 124, Issue 6

Abstract

In order to realize the thickness design of flexible pavements at a given probability level, supplementary analysis of the generalized CBR equation was carried out. Investigation includes verification of the equation parameters, analysis of the model transformation, and determination of the corresponding confidence intervals. Suggested approximations of the constructed confidence limits for the generalized CBR equation curve enable the implementing of the thickness design for flexible pavements, especially airfields, with a given probability level. For a practical application of the probabilistic approach, a computer program was prepared. An example of thickness design for the flexible pavement at a given probability level is presented. The results of the work provide controlled employment of the generalized CBR equation, thus increasing the reliability of the predictions and conclusions in the design and evaluation of flexible pavements.

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References

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AASHTO. (1993). “AASHTO guide for design of pavement structures 1993.” American Association of State Highway and Transportation Of-ficials, Washington, D.C.
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Chou, Yu T. (1987). “Probabilistic and reliability analysis of the California Bearing Ratio (CBR) design method for flexible airfield pavements.”Proc., 6th Int. Conf. on Struct. Des. of Asphalt Pavements, Ann Arbor, Mich., Vol. 1, 421–427.
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Cooksey, D. L., and Ladd, D. M. (1971). “Pavement design for various levels of traffic volume.”Tech. Rep. AFWL-TR-70-133, Air Force Weapons Laboratory, Kirtland Air Force Base, N.M.
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Divinsky, M., Ishai, I., and Livneh, M. (1996). “Simplified generalized California Bearing Ratio pavement design equation.”Transp. Res. Rec. 1539, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 44–50.
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FAA. (1995). “Airport pavement design and evaluation.”AC 150/5320-6D, U.S. Dept. of Transp., Federal Aviation Administration.
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Hammitt, G. M., Hutchinson, R. L., and Rice J. L. (1971). “Multiple-wheel heavy gear load pavement tests.”Tech. Rep. AFWL-TR-70-113, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, Miss., Vol. 4.
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Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering
Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 124Issue 6November 1998
Pages: 582 - 588

History

Published online: Nov 1, 1998
Published in print: Nov 1998

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Authors

Affiliations

Michael Divinsky
 Chf. Expert Statistical Applications, Mat. and Res. Div., Israel Public Works Dept., 55 Ben-Zvi Rd., Tel Aviv 61940, Israel.
Ilan Ishai
 Assoc. Prof. of Civ. Engrg., Technion—Israel Inst. of Technol., Transp. Res. Inst., Technion City, Haifa 32000, Israel.
Moshe Livneh, Fellow, ASCE
 The Harry Oppenheimer Prof. of Engrg., Technion—Israel Inst. of Technol., Transp. Res. Inst., Technion City, Haifa 32000, Israel.

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