TECHNICAL PAPERS
Mar 1, 1990

Estimating Accident Benefits of Reduced Freeway Congestion

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 116, Issue 2

Abstract

This paper quantifies relationships between accident rates and congestion on California urban freeways. Data for a number of freeway sections in the San Francisco Bay Area are analyzed and numerous alternative accident‐model specifications are developed and tested. Accident rates are compared under conditions of queuing and no queuing and for a variety of geometric and traffic conditions. No matter how the data are stratified, the same picture emerges: In the presence of queuing, the average accident rate is about two‐three times higher than the rate when there is no queuing. This leads to the development of a simple accident‐rate estimation procedure that is recommended for use in cost‐benefit analyses of the impacts of freeway improvements on accident rates.

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References

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Ceder, A. (1982). “Relationship between road accidents and hourly traffic flow‐II, probabilistic approach.” Accid. anal. prev., 14(1), 35–44.
2.
Ceder, A., and Livneh, M. (1982). “Relationships between road accidents and hourly traffic flow‐I, analysis and interpretation.” Accid. Anal. Prev., 14(1), 19–34.
3.
Chang, M.‐S. (1982). “Conceptual development of exposure measures for evaluating highway safety.” Transp. Res. Rec., 847, 37–42.
4.
Jara‐Diaz, S. R., and Gonzalez, S. M. (1986). “Flexible models for accidents on Chilean roads.” Accid. Anal. Prev., 18(2), 103–108.
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Silcock, D. T., and Worsey, G. M. (1982). “Relationship between accident rates, road characteristics and traffic on two urban routes.” Research Report No. 40, Transport Operation Res. Group, Univ. of Newcastle Upon Tyne, Newcastle Upon Tyne, Great Britain.
6.
Sullivan, E. C., and Hsu, C.‐I. (1988). “Accident rates along congested freeways: Final report.” Research Report UCB‐ITS‐RR‐88‐6, Inst. of Transp. Studies, Univ. of California, Berkeley, Calif.

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Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering
Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 116Issue 2March 1990
Pages: 167 - 180

History

Published online: Mar 1, 1990
Published in print: Mar 1990

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Authors

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Edward C. Sullivan, Member, ASCE
Assoc. Prof., Civ. Engrg. Dept., California Polytech. State Univ., San Luis Obispo, CA 93407

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