TECHNICAL PAPERS
Mar 1, 1987

Probabilistic Approach to Consistency in Geometric Design

Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 113, Issue 3

Abstract

The practice of evaluating consistency in geometric design is addressed. The current practice is based on comparing the speed of a certain percentile value at the points of interest. The underlying reasoning is to control the amount of speed change incurred by the drivers. This paper shows that comparing the two speed distributions does not give the full picture of all the speed changes that the drivers incur. In the extreme case, it is argued that, theoretically, even when the two distributions are identical, it is still possible that each driver will experience a speed change. Hence, it is proposed to obtain and analyze the distribution of the speed differences. Using an empirical example, it is shown that the current approach is likely to underestimate the amount of the speed changes, and hence, the current approach is prone to accept inconsistent designs as consistent.

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References

1.
Ben‐Akiva, M., Hirsh, M., and Prashker, J. N. (1985). “Probabilistic and economic factors in highway geometric design.” Transp. Sci., 19(1), 11–19.
2.
Craus, J., Livneh, M., and Hirsh, M. (1980). “Guidelines for superelevation on horizontal curves.” Res. Rec. No. 30–80, Transp. Res. Inst., Technion‐Israel Inst. of Tech.
3.
Hayward, J. C. (1980). “Highway alignment and superelevation: Some design speed misconceptions.” Transp. Res. Rec., 757, 22–25.
4.
Hirsh, M., Prashker, J. N., and Ben‐Akiva, M. (1986). “New approach to geometric design of highways.” Transp. Res. Rec.
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Lamm, R. (1984). “Driving dynamic considerations: A comparison of German and American friction factors for highway design.” Transp. Res. Rec., 960, 13–20.
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Leisch, J. E., and Leisch, J. P. (1977). “New concept in design‐speed application.” Transp. Res. Rec., 631, 4–15.
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Livneh, M., and Craus, J. (1978). “Superelevation and curvature of horizontal curves.” Transp. Res. Rec., 685.
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Mclean, J. R. (1981). “Driver speed behavior and rural road alignment design.” Traffic Engrg. and Control, 22(4), 208–213.
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Mclean, J. R. (1974). “Driver behavior on curves—A review.” Proc. 7th Conf. Australian Road Res. Board, 5, 129–148.
10.
Messer, C. J., et al. (1981). “Highway geometric design consistency related to driver expectancy.” Report No. FHWA/RD‐81/035, Fed. Highway Admin., Office of Res. and Devlpmt., Environmental Design.
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Published In

Go to Journal of Transportation Engineering
Journal of Transportation Engineering
Volume 113Issue 3March 1987
Pages: 268 - 276

History

Published online: Mar 1, 1987
Published in print: Mar 1987

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Authors

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Moshe Hirsh
Chf. Traffic Engr., Ministry of Transportation, Jerusalem, Israel 91008

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