Simple Modeling Procedure for Estimation of Cyclonic Wind Speeds
Publication: Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 114, Issue 2
Abstract
A new and simple modeling procedure is presented for the probabilistic definition of maximum wind speed due to tropical cyclones. Using a fluid dynamic model, the history of the cyclonic winds is first reconstructed for places of interest on the coast from information of paths and intensities. A probabilistic treatment then permits an estimation of the maximum wind speed associated with different return periods, using various probability distributions. The results from this model are similar to those obtained from more elaborate mthods. The model has been successfully used as part of a large computation scheme to improve coastal wind predictions in México.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
1.
Batts, M. E., et al. (1980). “Hurricane wind speeds in the U.S.,” NBS Building Science Series 124, Department of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Washington, D.C.
2.
Carrier, G. F., Hammond, A. L., and George, O. D. (1971). “A model of the mature hurricane.” J. Fluid Mech., 47, 145–170.
3.
Davenport, A. G. (1978). “Wind structure and wind climate.” Proceedings, the International Research Seminar on Safety of Structures under Dynamic Loading, Norwegian Institute of Technology, Throndheim, Norway, 209–256.
4.
Georgiou, P. N., Davenport, A. G., and Vickery, B. J. (1983). “Design wind speeds in regions dominated by tropical cyclones.” J. Wind Engng. and Ind. Aerodyn., 13, 139–152.
5.
Graham, H. E., and Nunn, D. E. (1959). “National hurricane research project.” Report No. 33, Weather Bureau, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Washington, D.C.
6.
Ho, F. P., Schwerdt, R. W., and Goodyear, H. V. (1975). “Some climatological characteristics of hurricanes and tropical storms, Gulf and East Coasts of the United States.” NOAA Tech. Rep. NWS 15, Washington, D.C.
7.
Ishizaki, H. (1970). “Wind damage and wind load problems in Japan.” Proceedings, U.S.A.‐Japan Research Seminar: Wind loads on structures, Hawaii, 1–12.
8.
Miller, B. I. (1967). “Characteristics of hurricanes,” Science, 157(3795), 1389–1399.
9.
Myers, V. A. (1954). “Characteristics of United States hurricanes pertinent to levee design for Lake Okeechobee, Florida.” U.S. Weather Bureau Hydrometeorological Rep. No. 32, Dept. of Commerce, Washington, D.C.
10.
Russell, L. R. (1971). “Probability distributions for hurricane effects.” J. Wtnvay., Harbors and Coast. Engng. Div., ASCE, 97(WW1), 139–154.
11.
Russell, L. R., and Schueller, G. I. (1974). “Probabilistic models for the Texas Gulf Coast hurricane occurrences.” J. Petroleum Tech., 279–288.
12.
Sánchez‐Sesma, J. (1985). “Maximum wind speeds caused by tropical cyclones,” thesis presented to the National Autonomous University of Mexico, at Mexico City, Mexico, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering (in Spanish).
13.
Sánchez‐Sesma, J., Aguirre, R. J., and Villegas, V. A. (1984). “Design values for maximum wind speeds in México.” IV Congreso Nacional de Ingenieria Estructural, León, Guanajuato, México, G110‐G119 (in Spanish).
14.
Simiu, E., and Scanlan, R. H. (1986). Wind effects on structures: an introduction to wind engineering, 2nd Ed., John Wiley and Sons, New York, N.Y.
15.
Springall, R. G. (1980). “Study and statistical analysis of waves produced by hurricanes in the southeast gulf of México.” Report No. 361, Instituto de Ingenieria, U.N.A.M., México City, Mexico (in Spanish).
16.
Thom, H. C. S. (1968). “Toward a universal climatological extreme wind distribution.” Proceedings, International Research Seminar on Wind Effects on Buildings and Structures, Ottawa, Canada, Vol. 1, University of Toronto Press, Toronto, Canada, 669–684.
17.
Thom, H. C. S. (1970). “Engineering climatology of wind speed with special reference to the Pacific area.” Proceedings, U.S.A.‐Japan Research Seminar: Wind Loads on Structures, Hawaii, 13–20.
18.
Yevjevich, V. (1972). Probability and statistics in hydrology. Water Resources Publications, Ft. Collins, Colo.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
Copyright © 1988 ASCE.
History
Published online: Feb 1, 1988
Published in print: Feb 1988
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.