TECHNICAL PAPERS
Nov 1, 1984

Load Combinations and Clustering Effects

Publication: Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 110, Issue 11

Abstract

The probability of a first‐excursion failure under individual and combined loading is estimated. First‐order results and upper bounds are constructed from the probability density and mean upcrossing rate functions of each response. Nonergodic and nonstationary effects within load events are included. Second‐order reliability estimates are also presented, accounting for the tendency of threshold crossings to occur in clusters. Various sources of such clustering are identified, and their effects on the failure rate quantified. Extensions to the cases of dependent loads and fatigue‐related failures are examined briefly.

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Go to Journal of Structural Engineering
Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 110Issue 11November 1984
Pages: 2690 - 2708

History

Published online: Nov 1, 1984
Published in print: Nov 1984

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Steven R. Winterstein
Acting Assist. Prof., formerly Research Assist., Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Stanford Univ., Stanford, Calif.
C. Allin Cornell, M. ASCE
Prof. (Research), Dept. of Civ. Engrg., Stanford Univ., Stanford, Calif.

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