Estimating Nutrient Outflow from Argicultural Watersheds to the River Kali in India

In India, fertilizers and chemicals are applied to different crops, which in turn, cause nonpoint source pollution of surface water and groundwater of the region. In the present work, extensive water quality surveys were done to estimate the nutrient outflow from three small agricultural watershed of the Kali Basin, Uttar Pradesh, India. A total of 576 field data sets have been collected during March 1999–February 2000 from four sampling stations. During the monsoon period the nutrient outflow from these agricultural watersheds were found to be orders of magnitude higher than during the nonmonsoon period. The percentage of nutrients outflow from each watershed was estimated on a monthly basis by obtaining periodical cropping patterns and the amounts of fertilizer applied for each watershed. A maximum of 85% of total nitrate and 70% of total orthophosphate applied in the field was found to be lost during the month of July from the third agricultural watershed having maximum slope and minimum watershed area. Using the data sets generated during field surveys, commonly used modeling approaches based on mass balance differential loading and decay fraction were tested for their applicability to estimate nonpoint source (NPS) pollution in the River Kali. The NPS concentration and load values computed from these approaches were compared with the NPS values measured in the field and the performances of different equations have been evaluated using error estimations such as standard error, normal mean error, mean multiplicative error, and correlation statistics. Further, a refined model based on reaction kinetics and mass balance differential loading has been proposed for the River Kali that minimizes error estimates and improves correlation between observed and computed nonpoint source loads.