TECHNICAL PAPERS
Apr 1, 1995

Simulation of Long-Term Trends in Chesapeake Bay Eutrophication

Publication: Journal of Environmental Engineering
Volume 121, Issue 4

Abstract

A predictive mathematical model was employed to examine trends in Chesapeake Bay eutrophication from 1959 to 1988. The model provided details of processes and substances for which no record existed. The simulation indicated the volume of anoxic water was largest in the decade 1969–78. Since then, anoxic volume has declined. The decline was largely due to hydrodynamic effects. In 1969–78, high runoff caused the Bay to be highly stratified and inhibited oxygen transport to bottom waters. Less runoff in the years 1979–88 diminished stratification and allowed enhanced oxygen transport to bottom waters. When only years of similar stratification were compared, an increase in anoxic volume was noted from the 1959–68 decade to the 1979–88 decade. The increase was associated with increasing nitrogen concentration in runoff from two major tributaries and with increasing chlorophyll concentration in the mainstem Bay.

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Go to Journal of Environmental Engineering
Journal of Environmental Engineering
Volume 121Issue 4April 1995
Pages: 298 - 310

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Published online: Apr 1, 1995
Published in print: Apr 1995

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Authors

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Carl F. Cerco, Associate Member, ASCE
Res. Hydro., Mail Stop ES-Q, USACE Wtrwy. Experiment Station, 3909 Halls Ferry Rd., Vicksburg, MS 39180.

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