TECHNICAL PAPERS
Nov 1, 2005

Evaluating Cost Overruns of Asphalt Paving Project Using Statistical Process Control Methods

Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 131, Issue 11

Abstract

While some projects will experience changes to the contracted cost by deduction or additions, construction cost overruns are becoming a common problem in the construction industry. Steps need to be taken to minimize cost overrun through cost and quality control techniques. This paper presents a study conducted to evaluate construction cost overruns of asphalt paving operations performed by the Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT). The main objective is to analyze the main causes of cost overruns and evaluate the amount of cost overrun of asphalt paving operations, using statistical process control (SPC) techniques. Real data from projects in the year 2000 were collected from IDOT. These data contain cost information of 219 projects. The results indicate that the average cost overrun for the sample collected was 4% above the bid price. Reasons for cost overruns are analyzed and a Pareto chart and a cause and effect diagram are constructed. Individuals and Moving Range (MR) control charts are developed and their interpretation and use are discussed. Furthermore, the benefits and limitations of using the individuals and MR chart in cost control applications are pointed out. It is recommended that SPC analysis be an integral part in managing and controlling project costs.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

References

Borror, C. M., Montgomery, D. C., and Runger, G. C. (1999). “Robustness of the EWMA control charts to non-normality.” J. Quality Technol., 31(3), 16–25.
Crowder, S. V. (1992). “An EWMA for monitoring a process standard deviation.” J. Quality Technol., 24(1), 13–17.
Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) (2001). “Project cost overruns survey of problems and recommended best practices.” Quality Financial Management Initiative fiscal year 2001, Southern Resource Center, Washington, D.C.
Hartley, J. R., and Okamoto, S. (1997). Concurrent engineering: Shortening lead times, raising quality, and lowering costs, Productivity Press, Shelton, Conn.
Ho, C., and Case, K. E. (1994). “Economic design of control charts: A literature review for 1981–1991.” J. Quality Technol., 26(3), 25–27.
Hosmer, D., and Lemeshow, S. (1999). Applied survival analysis: Regression modeling of time to event data, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, Wiley, New York.
Illinois Department of Transportation, (IDOT) (2001). “Contract change.” Construction Memorandum Number 01-4, Ill.
Jahren, C., and Asha, A. (1990). “Predictors of cost-overrun rates.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage., 116(3), 548–552.
Lowry, C. A., Champ, C. W., and Woodall, W. H. (1995). “The performance of control charts for monitoring process variation.” Commun. Stat.-Simul. Comput., 21(4), 15–19.
Montgomery D. (2001). Introduction to statistical quality control, 4th Ed., Wiley, New York.
Montgomery, D. C., and Woodall, W. H., ed. (1997). “A discussion of statistically-based process monitoring and control.” J. Quality Technol., 29(2), 8–12.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 131Issue 11November 2005
Pages: 1173 - 1178

History

Received: Sep 13, 2002
Accepted: May 18, 2005
Published online: Nov 1, 2005
Published in print: Nov 2005

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Khaled M. Nassar [email protected]
Associate Professor, University of Maryland Eastern Shore, Princess Anne, MD 21853 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Walid M. Nassar [email protected]
Pavement Specialist, Dar Group, Cairo, Egypt. E-mail: [email protected]
Mohamed Y. Hegab [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics Dept., California State Univ., Northridge, CA 91330–8347 E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share